EURUSD Top Down Analysis for todayIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD pair to ascertain where it is going.
Our analysis reveals we are to expect short-term bullishness on the 1 hour to drive prices into our 4 hour PB, following which prices are expected to drop significantly towards the 4 hour liquidity target.
Kalapanzy
USDJPY Looking BearishOn the Monthly chart, this pair is currently retracing bearish inside a Bullish PB.
On the Weekly, we can see that this pair is in a large bearish grind. We sent out a bearish analysis a few weeks back. If you didn't see it, be sure to take a look at it.
Let's go further down in our analysis of this pair.
On the Daily Chart, this pair has continued its bearish push, and it is currently holding 3 PBs to the downside. The story is not different on the 4-hour chart. The market is making 5 PB down on the 4 hour chart, and 4 PB down on the 1 hour chart. It is not very often to find a pair that aligns on bias across all of its timeframes. Here is a rare exception.
To take our trade, we will be waiting for price to retrace bullish into our refined zone. When that happens, we will look to jump on the trade using the Panz Pips trader checklist.
A quick Top Down Analysis on the EURUSDHelo students and traders.
Here is a quick top down analysis on the EURUSD.
By way of summary, we have come to the realisation that this pair is Bearish on the Monthly, Bearish on the Weekly, Bullish on the Daily and 4 hour, while holding a clear bearish perspective on the 1 hour time frame.
Because we believe in trading the smaller timeframe in the direction of the larger timeframe, we will want to hold on to the perspectives of the Weekly and the 1 hour charts, and will be looking to trade this pair bearish.
Find out how we arrived at this perspective...
Near 1000 Pip Dip ExpectedThe EURUSD has been pushing bullish for a while now. On the Weekly chart, we see that the market has been in a down swing that started on July 17, 2023. The market dipped to form a low at 1.0446, following which it began to retrace bullish on October 4.
Since October until now, the market has gone through a bullish retracement. Upon seeing the retracement, we were able to find and mark our order block and refine it to the expected reversal zone.
Last week saw prices come into our zone and push away in a bid to commence the reversal. If this perspective holds, this pair is expected to dip all the way down to take out the liquidity target at 1.4663 and push beyond it.
This down extension push is expected to give us a push in excess of 700 pips and can push as far as 1000 pips and more.
Short Term Bearish Before Going Bullish...?On this 4 hour, this market has maintained its bullishness, printing higher highs and higher lows from over a week now. Prices are currently in a Bullish PB that is forming a high at the moment. Because the market never moves in a straight line, the market is expected to experience some bearish retracement back into our PB, from where it would be expected to experience some reversal before the continuation of the up move.
We have refined our PB to a rather smaller zone. It is expected that prices will come right into our zone, and begin to reverse from there. When that happens, prices will be expected to resume the bullish push and go all the way to the 4 hour liquidity target above.
Some Bullishness ExpectedToday, we will be looking at this pair from the 4 hour perspective. On this timeframe, we have seen the market continue to make higher highs and higher lows over the past 2 weeks. This up trend is expected tocontinue for a little longer.
From our analysis, the market is current making 4 PBs to the top side. We expect to see some retracement at this level to bring prices into our PB, and possibly into our refined zone, from where we will be looking to see prices reverse bullish and go all the way to the our daily liquidity target at the top.
It is expected that prices will continue to move bullish until it gets to our weekly zone above.
A LONG Bullish Run; But How Much Longer...?There is nothing as exciting as finding market direction and having the market play out in your direction and according to your plan and prediction.
From last week, we saw prices retrace bearish in our 4-hour zone. On Friday, at about 1500 WAT, prices finally dipped into our zone and from there we knew it was time for the long bullish ride up.
Because we were looking at the 4-hour timeframe analysis, our target was and still is the 4-hour liquidity above. Over the course of this week, we have seen prices soar all the way up towards our target liquidity. Prices are not there yet. They are currently just a few pips shy of our target.
The question is, "Will the bullishness continue all the way up to hit our target?" I guess you know my answer already. Of course, they will. We are holding on to our trade perspective, our bullish direction, and our trade. We will stay bullish, and we expect the market to stay bullish too, until we hit our target. When that happens, then we can expect the market to begin to lose steam and, from there, look to reverse.
Are We Bullish Again...?On this pair, we have seen the market give us some strong bullish potential. On Friday, we saw the market come all the way down to our 4-hour bullish zone, and from there, it began to reverse bullish. Yesterday, we witnessed the bullishness continue, and we looked to take a trade. The market went in the direction of the 4-hour analysis. The market went all the way to our 4-hour liquidity.
We are expecting to see some bearish pullbacks today to drive prices all the way down into our bullish PB and ultimately into our refined zone. From there, we will look forward to seeing the market reverse bullish, and using one of our trade entry setups, we will look to get in on this trade.
There is a possibility that the market will pullback for a bit and reverse without getting to our zone. But not to worry; when that happens, we will be ready to take a look at it and determine how to jump on the trade.
So we are expecting a down move followed by an up move.
The most important thing is that the market will retrace bearish into the PB, and from there, look to go all the way up to our liquidity target above.
Is the 4-Hour Direction dictating the Bullishness...?From our analysis yesterday, we had a strong bias of dual direction on this pair. While the daily and 1 hour charts were saying the markets will be going bearish, the 4-hour was holding a bullish sway.
Yesterday, we saw the markets take a strong bullish swing that completely up-turned the bearish bias. We now have a bullish bias on both the 1 hour and 4 hour charts.
So let's analysis this market from the 1 hour perspective.
On the 1 hour, the market is in a bullish PB. It has gone on to make a high that is really up high. If the market begins to retrace at this level, we will look to see prices come into our refined zone, and from there look to take a bullish position. When that happens, our target would be the liquidity target above.
By this, it is clear that we are currently looking to have a bearish retracement into our PB and ultimately the 1 hour zone, but we need to have a confirmation before we can say for sure that the pullback has commenced.
Some of the Reasons Why We Are Selling This PairThis pair has witnessed a large amount of back-and-forth swings in the last couple of days. We witnessed price fluctuations that resulted in a direction switch over and over again. Right now, we are going to ignore all other timeframes and look at this market analysis from a 4-hour perspective.
On the 4-hour chart, we can see that the market is on a down PB from weeks ago. As of last week, we had marked out our zone in the PB from which we looked to see a reversal. Yesterday saw prices rally all the way up into our zone, and from there, as expected, the market began to show signs of bearish reversals.
In a bid to catch that bearishness, we were able to jump on that trade using the panzy pips trade system.
The trade is expected to dip all the way down to the 4-hour liquidity target below.
Now it is also important to look at the charts from multiple timeframes at the same time, so forget my earlier statement that we would only pay attention to the 4-hour chart. You all should know by now that that was a joke. So let's look at the 1-hour perspective.
On the 1-hour chart, the market is bullish, with 2 PBs to the top. The 4-hour bearish impulse has experienced a good amount of support around the 1-hour PB zone (the zone is not marked out on the chart, to keep the charts clean).
There is obviously a good deal of support around that level, and we believe it is because of the 1-hour zone. We would be expecting prices to breach that level and continue to dip all the way to our 4-hour liquidity level.
But where that fails and the zone holds, prices would be expected to rally all the way to the top to liquidate the 1-hour target, which is the 4-hour zone, while at the same time threatening the daily timeframe zone.
Are We Still Bearish on The EURUSD, Or Is It Time To Go Bullish?From our previous analysis of this pair, we have been able to keep track of a lot of the market and price movements.
Analyzing the markets from a 1-hour perspective over the past few days, we have witnessed a lot of back and forths, though in all of those, the market found ways to take us to our targets at each of those instances before catapulting in several directions. So today, we will be looking at this pair from a 4-hour perspective.
On the higher timeframes of the monthly, weekly, and daily, we find an agreement of direction, with all of these timeframes indicating that the market is currently bearish.
On the 4-hour chart, we find the market is currently in a down trend, making 1 PB down. This week, we have seen the market plummet down to spike the 4-hour liquidity target, but without taking it out or closing below it. Instead, prices ran bullish after hitting the 1 hour timeframe liquidity target at the same level.
Enough of the narrative. Now the analysis.
From a 4-hour perspective, the price is currently in a bearish trend and is now on a bullish retracement. Price seems to be aiming for some higher level within the PB to get its reversal. When the reversal comes, we would expect prices to dip all the way to our 4-hour liquidity target below. That is the move necessary to complete the 4-hour swing and move us into the next bearish PB on the 4-hour.
Upon
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Drawing from our earlier last-week analysis, we saw this market push bearish on the 1-hour chart. Our analysis had shown signs of a bulish retracement, and we had marked out the expected retracement zone. In the cause of the retracement, our zone was breached, and so we looked on to see a reversal from the next possible zone.
With the turn of the new week, we have seen the market u-turn at our next zone on the 1 hour chart, and from there it has begun to melt bearish.
It is our expectation that the bearish trend setting in will give us the needed extension to see prices dip all the way to the 1-hour chart liquidity target.
We see a minor swing, and that would be the target for our trade. We have marked out our zone from the bearish minor PB taken off the 1-hour chart. Prices are expected to pullback into that zone, following which we would be looking forward to seeing a bearish reversal indicating the end of the bullish pullback.
The moment we have our price in the zone, we will pull out our trade checklist (Panzy Pips Trade Entry Checklist) and follow through with taking our trade.
Stay with me, guys. This is gonna be a hell of a ride down the slope.
A Market Torn in Two Parts ... Are We Bullish or Bearish...?This pair has witnessed a great deal of back forth in the preceding days and weeks. In todays anaylsis, we see how the market on the 1 hour has once again flipped from a bullish perspective (PB) right into a bearish perspecrive with a new PB to the downside.
We will look to hold this bearishness with the ultimate goal of targeting our Daily liquidity target all the way down below.
The Bearish Run Resumesin our last analysis, we saw this pair breach our zone and go higher for a deeper retracement. According to our analysis, we refused to see the 1 hour zone as a reversal in itself but rather as forming a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
From our current analysis, it is clear that that was the intendment of the market. We have seen prices go all the way to our refined zone at the top and from there made a sharp reversal to continue the beraish run.
We are in on this position,even though we did not catch it from the top as displayed on the chart. The trade depiction on the chart is just to show the entire trade from the zone to liquidity target.
The bearishness has resumed, the bears are back, ready to drive the market to new lows, and we are right here, ready to hop on the slide down, all the way into the money
A Bearish RollerCoaster ... 100 Pips in SightWe are witnessing a strong bearish momentum on this pair. From the Monthly to the 1 hour charts, all the timeframes are bearish.
Comign through from yesterday's analysis of this pair, we see how prices have continued to melt towards our 4 hour and 1 hour timeframe targets.
From yesterday, we see how the market gave is a nice dip that went to hit our liquidity target. We are seeing a retracement into the PB. We have marked out our zone in line with the Panzy Pips education strategy, and now we are waiting to see prices come into our zone, give us some good bearish reversal, afterwhich we will look to jump on the bearish rollercoaster as the market glides down towards the liquidity target below.
Another Chance to Catch the TradeWe have been bearish on this pair since last week, when we started sharing our analysis actively.
Yesterday, we caught the trade from the top and were able to watch it progress to where it stands currently.
You missed the trade entry yesterday. That's ok. Because right now, you have a chance at joining the trend.
With the market making a pullback into our PB and entering our zone, we have begun to see signs of a bearish reversal that should see prices melt towards our liquidity target below. We are setting up to catch another entry off this pair, and our setup is seen on the chart.
Our trade entry is a SELl STOP and we are looking to get taken in when the market reverses.
Looking to go the full length of what is left, our target remains the liquidity target below.
Bullish Again on the USDCADOn this pair, we see bullishness across multiple timeframes. Market is bullish on the Monthly chart, all the way down to the 1-hour chart.
On the 1-hour chart, we see the market has just made a new high with 6 PBs up.
We are expecting the price to retrace bearish into the PB, come into our refined zone, and from there we will watch out for bullish reversals to take our trade long. Our targer for this trade will be the 1-hour liquidity target above.
Another Trading OpportunitySo yes we missed the previous swing. Not because our analysis were wrong, but rather because of our refinement of the PB to a much smaller zone.
No need to reflect on it or worry about it for too long. It is gone. Let it go. So we move our focus to the next swing.
The market is setting up for the next swing. We have a new PB and we are getting ready to jump on it. As always, we have marked out our refined zone from the PB and now we are waiting.
Price is currently retracing bearish. We expect prices to come into our zone, and from there we will look to trade this pair. As you already know, if you are regular with our analysis, the target is the 1 hour liquidity target up above.
A Little Bearishness Before We Go BullishBorrowing from our previous analysis, we saw how the market went all the way bullish to hit our liquidity target. After doing that, it gave us more bullish setups and trading opportunities, all of which played out.
Today, we are on the 1-hour chart again, and we are looking to predict market direction. The market is currently in an uptrend, with 6 PBs to the north. We have every reason to believe this market will continue to be bullish and remain so, all the way to the daily liquidity target above.
But before we look to jump on a bullish trade, we would want to see a bearish pullback into our PB. We have refined the PB for our zone, so we will wait for the price to come into that zone. When price comes to our zone, we would apply our rules to identify early reversals, following which we will use one of the trade entry methods.
The Bullish RUN ContinuesWith the previous Bullish swing completed, it is time to look on to the next.
The market has given us a new PB, an area to trade from. From the PB, we have made an attempt to refine it to get our zone within 1 hour.
With our zone clearly marked out as seen on the chart, we anticipate price dipping into the zone, and from there we will be looking to trade.
The trend is bullish in the 1-hour timeframe, and our TP target is the 1-hour liquidity target.
Still Holding Bearish... But for How Long...?This pair is bearish on the 1 hour and the 4 hour. We choose to limit ourselves to just the 4 and 1 hour charts for now; those are the charts we will be considering the most when taking our trades.
On the 4-hour, we found a bearish push last week, and we were able to catch a bearish trade. We have held on to that position till now, believing that the market still has a bearish trend.
On the 1 hour, we see the market in a bearish PB. The current bullish push has not been able to overthrow the bearish setup. We can see from the charts that the bullish push has come deep into our refined PB zone. We agree that the zone is threatened, but it is still yet to be breached. Until our Bearish zone is breached, we cannot say the bulls have taken over, and as such, we will still hold on to our bearish perspective.
Now for the further analysis:
We hope to see the bearish zone hold. Where it holds, prices are expected to drop bearish toward the 1-hour liquidity target.
Where our expectations fail, we will see our zone breached. In that circumstance, we hope to see prices soar higher for a bit to give us a deeper retracement into the 4 hour PB. From there, we will hope to see a deeper retracement reversal, after which the market will be expected to run the 4 hour liquidity target below.
A Bullish U-Turn in SightSo finally, we have come to the end of the 1-hour bearish trend that was based on the 4-hour bearish swing.
Remember that our trading Bearish was a counter trade in light of the 1 hour. Even though we were stopped out on that trade, I am sure we have all learned a very important lesson: always listen to the trend and go in its direction. Recall that the 1-hour was screaming bullish while the 4-hour was bearish. The 1-hour chart definitely chose to hold strong and move the market in its direction.
So let us now look at the market in the direction of the trend.
On the 1-hour chart, we can see that the market has made three bullish swings. It is currently making 3 PBs to the top. On the 4-hour chart, the market is equally bullish, with 1 PB to the up side. On the daily, we still have the market in a bearish PB.
The bullishness of the 1 hour and the 4-hour charts are likely to be retracements on the daily charts. Be that as it may, we will still expect the bullishness to hold sway and look for trading opportunities in that direction.
We would expect the market to remain bullish until the daily zone. The zone is our refinement of our bearish PB. When the market gets there, we will be more attentive to see a reversal play out.
We have established that the market is currently bullish on the 1 hour and 4 hour charts. So let's consider some trading opportunities. On the 1-hour chart, we have 3 PBs to the top side. We expect to see a bearish market pullback to give us an opportunity to get in on the LONG trade. The market is expected to retrace to our zone, as marked on the chart. From there, we would look to trade bullish using one of the trade entry methods taught at Panzy Pips Forex.
There is also the likelihood of the market reversing without getting to our marked reversal zone. Where that happens, we will apply the rules taught by Panzy Pips to catching such trades, and we will look to catch that wave all the way up to the top.
Long story short, we are out of this trade, and the trend is bullish on the 1-hour chart.
4 Hour Liquidity Target Hit after 3 Days of WaitingIn the preceding days, we conducted an analysis of this pair. Among the things we found on the first day of this week was that this pair was Bearish. Our analysis revealed that the market was heading Bearish to hit the 1 hour and 4 hour liquidity targets. Two days ago, on Tuesday, we saw the market go on to hit the 1-hour Bearish liquidity target. Even though the 4-hour target was a few pips away, the market did not hit it. It rather saw a Bullish pullback that came with so much momentum to upturn the Bears and turn the market Bullish on the 1 Hour.
As always, there was a temptation to take the Bullish turn, but we took it only monentarily, remembering that that Bullish impulse on the 1 hour was just a pullback/retracement on the 4 hour timeframe. And so even while we were looking to buy, we had our fingers crossed that the maket would again turn Bearish in the direction of the 4 hour.
Yesterday, we witnessed the market turn bearish on the 1-hour TF. I took out our PB and completely invalidated our Bullish setup, but this was after we had caught 1 successful swing on the 1 hour TF.
Switching Bearish on the 1 hour, we re-analyzed the charts to see a clear direction. With the 1 hour and the 4 hour timeframes looking bearish as of yesterday, we were sure the price was ready to take out our 4 hour liquidity.
Looking at the chart this morning, I can see that the market has dipped far enough to take out our 4-hour liquidity, following which it has commenced a Bullish pullback.
On the 1 hour and the 4 hour, we are Bearish. Our trade setups disclose 1 hour and 4 hour TFs having Bearish PBs. We will look to trade these, marking out our zones for reversal, and enter our trades using one of the several entry methods taught at the PanzyPips Academy.