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SWING TUTORIAL - ICICIPRULIIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ICICIPRULI (ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Sep 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend. At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity. The trading strategy yielded approximately 88% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 724 and serving as our Exit too. As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in March 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS: 1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in March 2023. 2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 724. 3. Return: Approximately 88%. 4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED: 1. Price Action Analysis 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) 3. Momentum Reversal 4. Trend Analysis 5. Chart Patterns NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:ICICIPRULIEducation
by thepranam
Summary of the week and a swing long position & locked profit FX:HKG33 Summary of the week for the index. 1h chart form a golden cross below zero line and happen that 4h chart had formed the same golden cross even though both are below zero line. I took a aggressive & several long position. TP at 20735 level at time was looking at the index trying to close the week gap. I did keep some position open hoping that the US trading time could continue to boost the index. But it seems it loose its steam and 4h chart not strong for MACD & Signal line breakout zero line. the Index closed at 20506.46 (still record a decline of 1.21% -250.70). Looking at the W chart it seems pulling back and let's continue to monitor if its prepare for the next climb. You may note that the W chart the MACD is above zero line still consider bullish but with weak lighter green histo. Jya. Let's zen during weekend with 🍵 & 📙
HLong
by ChenQianYu
SWING TUTORIAL - MFSLIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:MFSL (MAX FINANCIAL SERV LTD) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in July 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend. At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Highs. This Higher High Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity. The trading strategy yielded approximately 80% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 1148 and serving as our Exit too. As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS: 1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023. 2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 1148. 3. Return: Approximately 80%. 4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks. NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:MFSLEducation
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - ANGELONENSE:ANGELONE 's stock price has been retesting around the 2000 resistance level for approximately two and half years. Following multiple retest, the stock finally broke out above this level in October 2023 and has since established it as a key support. The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 3895, representing a 87% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 45% to revisit the 2000 support level again. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support. Currently, ANGELONE is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 3895. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 2000, indicates a bullish trend reversal. KEY OBSERVATIONS: - Two-year resistance level of 2000 broken in October 2023 - Stock surged 87% to 3895 before correcting 45% - 2000 level now serves as robust support - Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum - Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 3895 RECOMMENDATION: Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding ANGELONE for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield: - 35% returns from the current price (as of writing) - 87% returns from the support point (2000) This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in ANGELONE, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal. IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware that there is a possibility that the stock may revisit this Support level at 2000 in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 3895. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly. DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:ANGELONELong
by thepranam
stuck in the middle breakout or breakdown? FX:HKG33 Hi ya everyone here's to a week filled with optimistic, progress and hapiness - may the market treat us well! As you can see from previous post ; last week 1h chart that the MACD & KDJ movement that gave us some insights testing the support level. It has climbing up steadily. quite handsome! It didnt breakdown to 19753 level and staying above 20240 level. Last Friday HSI closed at 20804.11 (+725.01; +3.61%) ; however it still record a down 447.87 ; -2.11% for the week. As mentioned, a healthy pullbackis just the market catching its breath before the next big climb! This D chart showing the momentum has turn weak the MACD had a dead cross and the KDJ is at weak zone too. For today, we are looking at 20700, if it holds above this level then it could break 20900 and next resistance at 21395. May trade within the range of 20400 - 20600. For this week, the key support level at 20400 (the 52MA). Note : the last high was Jan'23 (closed at 22635); the recent high (closed at 23119) early this month Oct'24. Happy trading everyone! My take:- For today I'll watch and wait for a better entry point to avoid my previous mistake enter the party too early. No action is an action. while waiting let's zenning with 📙🍵
H
by ChenQianYu
SWING IDEA - XCHANGINGNSE:XCHANGING has been rallying since the last few months. Currently it is at a S/R zone of 128. We have to wait a couple of weeks to see if this will turn out to be a Support Zone or a Resistance zone. If it turns out to be a good Support Zone, we also have a MACD crossover incoming and once the crossover completes, it can rally up the stock at least till its Swing High Levels. Another point to note is while the Lower Low Pattern on Price Action and Higher High Pattern started forming in the April of last year, this is only the next MACD crossover we are going to see after that.
NSE:XCHANGINGLong
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - BCLINDNSE:BCLIND is currently at a good demand zone. The stock is about to close a gap which was created last March. Some good volume and market conditions and it should be able to close the gap by this week or next week. It can start pumping up more and reach its Swing High levels once the Gap has been successfully closed. Company also has a strong 1Y Beta of 1.85. MACD line and signal has a very good split which indicates strong Bullish momentum. If market conditions are good in the coming days, this trade should not have any issues completing sooner.
NSE:BCLINDLong
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - ASIANTILESNSE:ASIANTILES seems to be breaking out from its S/R zone at the 90s level. Watch how the same S/R zone played a crucial role right from April 2020 all the way through April 2022. NSE:ASIANTILES is revisiting the same levels again after more than 2 years later and also with good volumes and a big green candle as well. Price Action and Moving Averages also gave a good Convergence Divergence signal back in mid of 2023. As long NSE:ASIANTILES maintains its weekly closing above this level, it should easily be able to revisit its Swing High levels soon. Stock looks very bullish over the long run especially.
NSE:ASIANTILESLong
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - GLANDStock has completed its Correction phase and found its lowest at 860, much below the 1700 IPO listing. Stock seems to be forming a new Higher High and Higher Low Pattern since Oct 2023. Also it can be seen following the Trendline as well. A Hammer on the weekly close last week, could indicate a strong support forming exactly on the Trendline, which is a good sign for further upward move. If all goes right, the stock could make it to its next leg up. Stoploss mentioned is crucial. If broken, the stock could start seeing further lows.
NSE:GLANDLong
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - TV18BRDCSTNSE:TV18BRDCST is looking good currently on the weekly charts. The stock is currently trying to break out of the Support/Resistance zone of 48. Weekly closings above this levels could take the stock further upward. MACD also made a cross nearly after the Convergence Divergence that has occurred in March 23. Technically stock is showing some good hopes and can try to revisit its Swing High levels again. If market conditions favor, this trade could get completed sooner than expected.
NSE:TV18BRDCSTLong
by thepranam
2
SWING TUTORIAL - RALLISIn this tutorial, we analyzes the reversal of NSE:RALLIS 's 50% decline, identifying key technical indicators that signaled a buying opportunity. We'll explore how to recognize bullish momentum and optimal entry points using chart analysis. NSE:RALLIS reached its all-time high at 362 before experiencing a significant downturn. However, the stock began forming support levels near 200 in June 2022 and retested this level again in May 2023. Key Observations: 1. Support Levels: The stock consistently found support at ₹200, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in June 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. Trading Strategy and Results: Based on this analysis, our entry point was established at the MACD crossover. The stock subsequently rose to its swing high levels, yielding approximately 85% returns in just 57 weeks. Note: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing support levels, MACD movements, and consolidation patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:RALLISEducation
by thepranam
11
SWING IDEA - MANAKSTEELNSE:MANAKSTEEL 's stock price has been consolidating around the 50 resistance level for approximately two years. Following multiple tests, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024 and has since established it as a key support. The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 107, representing a 114% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 50% to revisit the 50 support level. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support. Currently, MANAKSTEEL is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 107. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 50, indicates a bullish trend reversal. KEY OBSERVATIONS: - Two-year resistance level of 50 broken in January 2024 - Stock surged 114% to 107 before correcting 50% - 50 level now serves as robust support - Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum - Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 107 RECOMMENDATION: Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding MANAKSTEEL for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield: - 50% returns from the current price (as of writing) - 99% returns from the support point (50) This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in MANAKSTEEL, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal. IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware of an unfilled gap between 60 and 60.25, which remains open. There is a possibility that the stock may revisit this level in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 107. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly. DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:MANAKSTEELLong
by thepranam
Testing the Support Level. One to Zero. FX:HKG33 Testing at strong support level at ¬20240 if it breached, the index is going to test 19753. Hi ya! How is everyone looking at Hang Seng Index and its performance last week? From the 1h chart with MACD movement, seems the mometum is weakening, both index and indicator are in bearish crossover. As mentioned in previous post, we prefer to see the index climbing up the staircase slow and steady which is more sustainable. Nonetheless, for shorter tf swing trade continue to short. Manage position size and the bearish mode expecting to continue at least for this week. Enter short position where tf 1m,5m,15m diverge and using JD line for confirmation of bearish momentum. As you can see from the D chart, the movement and the momentum has been declining and we can see the MACD and signal line is crossing down. You may check other shorter tf 12h - 30m at point of writing ; the index and indicator are below the zero level. With expectations of more stimulus from gov ; the investors still hesitate to take further position with the recent disappointment. Sell the news, buy the dip! This pull back is healthy. With longer tf W chart the index is on the uptrend, time is all we need. Continue to monitor and set SL for all position. Happy trading everyone!
HShort
by ChenQianYu
SWING TUTORIAL - PODDARMENTIn this tutorial, we analyzes the reversal of NSE:PODDARMENT 's 50% decline, identifying key technical indicators that signaled a buying opportunity. We'll explore how to recognize bullish momentum and optimal entry points using chart analysis. NSE:PODDARMENT reached its all-time high before experiencing a significant downturn. However, the stock began forming support levels at 250 in June 2023 and repeatedly retested this level until June 2024. Key Observations: 1. Support Levels: The stock consistently found support at ₹250, indicating a potential reversal. 2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure. 3. Consolidation: Price action demonstrated a consolidation phase, forming a strong support zone. 4. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in June 2024 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity. Trading Strategy and Results: Based on this analysis, our entry point was established at the MACD crossover. The stock subsequently rose to its swing high levels, yielding approximately 67% returns. Note: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing support levels, MACD movements, and consolidation patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry points. Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
NSE:PODDARMENTEducation
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - OLECTRANSE:OLECTRA Greentech Ltd. has garnered significant interest recently, following the Government of India's announcement of an incentive scheme for electric vehicles (EVs). This development has positively impacted the stock's performance. Key Observations: 1. Resistance Turned Support: The ₹1640 level, previously a resistance point, has been successfully retested and converted into support (June retest). The stock has since maintained an upward trajectory. 2. MACD Crossover: A bullish MACD crossover is imminent on the weekly chart, indicating building momentum. 3. Swing High Target: A successful crossover could propel the stock towards its previous swing high levels in the coming weeks. Recommendation: If the MACD crossover materializes, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend. Investors should monitor the market conditions closely to ensure the trade setup aligns with the anticipated plan. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:OLECTRALong
by thepranam
SWING IDEA - DISHTVNSE:DISHTV appears to be forming a Flag Pattern on its weekly chart, indicating potential upside momentum. Despite Monday's market downturn, the pattern has demonstrated resilience, maintaining support levels. If the pattern holds, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward trend, targeting Swing High levels. This bullish outlook is further reinforced by the company's recent partnership with SEI ROBOTICS to launch the innovative 'DISH TV SMART+ BOX', integrating TV and OTT capabilities across devices. Key takeaways: - Flag Pattern formation on weekly chart - Strong support levels despite market volatility - Potential upside momentum towards Swing High levels - Positive news catalyst: Partnership with SEI ROBOTICS for SMART+ BOX launch Recommendation: Investors and traders should monitor DISHTV's price action closely, as a breakout above the Flag Pattern's Support levels could trigger a significant move. We maintain a bullish stance, anticipating a potential revisit of Swing High levels in the near term. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:DISHTVLong
by thepranam