Trading Alert: Ready for a Bounce to 2810? XAUUSD Market Insights:
Supply Zone: Currently facing resistance at 2788-90.
Support Level: Key buying opportunity at 2780-74.
Target: Aiming for 2810.
Upcoming Catalyst: NFP report this Friday could create volatility.
Strategy:
Watch for a bullish reversal at support to enter a long position.
Be ready for potential price swings around the NFP release.
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Trendpattern
$SPY tough spot right now, but there's still a glimmer of hope!On the daily chart, there are three bearish signals without even considering indicators:
1. Price is below the EMAs.
2. With a gap down.
3. From a coil spring.
On the weekly chart, the trend remains intact. However, if we drop below the fast EMA, a significant test will be the slow EMA.
The key level to watch is the low of the daily channel line at $554, which aligns with the weekly slow EMA at approximately $551. For me, that represents the definitive line in the sand for SPY.
XAUUSD: Watch for a Sharp Decline Soon!XAUUSD MARKET ANALYSIS
Today, we are focusing on key intraday levels that could influence trading decisions:
Support Level: 2734-30
Resistance Level: 2748-50
Upcoming Market Events:
This Friday, we have the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which historically tends to create significant volatility in the market. The data released can lead to quick price movements, offering potential trading opportunities.
Monitor Price Action:
If the price approaches the support level (2734-30) and holds, it may provide a buying opportunity, signaling potential upward momentum.
Conversely, if the price breaks through the resistance level (2748-50), it could indicate a bullish trend, suggesting traders might consider entering long positions.
Consider Market Sentiment:
Pay attention to pre-NFP sentiment in the market. A strong jobs report could lead to a rally, while a weaker report might trigger a sell-off. Adjust your strategies accordingly.
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Still Waiting For Change Of Character in M15, To Start My Buys1. Am excited price has broken a very strong H4 low, therefore anytime soon price will start reversal.
2.Here you can see what am expecting the price to do so that I can start buying and in the other hand I included the POIS for sells, for those still interested in selling.
3.I have more than a week without executing orders this is because am patiently waiting for the market to give me that setup that I love which is the one shown in that diagram above, am not interested in selling for me personally is very risky but doing sells is the best option because main trend is bearish.
4. So, congrats to those who have been selling until this point, you are the real definition of no risk no gain, but don't worry soon or later I'll get those buys I've been waiting.
$Gold Market UpdateI’m currently watching a potential trap in the gold uptrend, and we just executed a perfect trade off the second retracement after a pullback. Given the rising tensions in the Middle East, there’s a strong possibility of a sharp surge in TVC:GOLD prices.
With Israel tightening its preparations for potential military action, markets may react with flight-to-safety sentiment, pushing gold prices higher. The overall trend remains bullish.
Happy Trading.
BTC and Trendlines: Patience over FOMO for a Clear SignalTrendlines are key to staying disciplined. Recently, BTC has seen some impressive inflows, with a couple of green bars showing up nicely on the charts. In the past, this might have triggered some FOMO, tempting me to start adding capital as those green bars intensified. But does this necessarily mean we’re seeing a trend reversal? Absolutely not.
The real difference between FOMO and a solid trade setup lies in waiting for the ‘jive’ of multiple signals to confirm the move. For me, the most reliable indicator remains the trendline. If the yellow trendline is decisively broken, then we can confidently say BTC is on Wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 1. However, this recent green uptick alone isn’t enough to suggest a decent trade opportunity yet.
Points A, B, and C might have been valid entry points in the past, but without a clear break of the upper trendline, the risk of a reversal still looms large. For confirmation, I’m looking for a decisive break—a full open and close above the trendline, ideally on at least a 4-hour timeframe. Only then can we be more certain about BTC’s next big move.
If Point D is reached (around $63,600), that’s where I’m fully in—riding it up to around $130K. Until then, it’s all about waiting for the signals to align and not getting caught up in short-term excitement.
USDCHF short bullish expectations
USDCHF short bullish expectations, based on trend pattern. Price looks like its find, create strong base on supp zone. +We have today FOMC where i expect bullish power for USD on short term.
For stronger bullish trend confirmation we can follow break of 0.84700 zone.
There is and chance for creating of ASCENDING PATTERN, violet line is top zone/resistance of ascending triangl
TP: 0.85400 (80)
SL: 0.84100
GBPAUD bearish take over?
GBPAUD many are project bullish expectations in last period, especially when we are saw break of uper trend line. Whats now, looks like break is be fake and now we can expect bearish push till bottom trend line and personally here expecting and break of same and higher bearish continuation.
GBP is have nagative results on today GDP event
TP: 1.91900 (350)
SL: 1.97000
EURJPY returning back to the primary trend directionPrimary trend: Long
On July 10th a new high was made, and the RSI showed a Overbought condition, leading the direction to change, and create a secondary trend for about 2months
The secondary trend stopped at a support, and RSI showed Oversold condition and the price rise again with strong candles.
RSI has already crossed the 50 level and a pattern.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.Today's key levels for gold indicate a bearish outlook. Technical analysis shows that gold has recently completed a growth structure, reaching around $2,509 per ounce, with current consolidation patterns forming below this peak. Expectations suggest a potential downward movement targeting levels like $2,468 and possibly down to $2,426
S1: $2,581.10
S2: $2,578.05
S3: $2,575.40
R1: $2,586.80
R2: $2,589.45
R3: $2,592.50
These levels can act as critical points where price action might either bounce back or break through.
“Gold prices have been on a strong upward trajectory”In the U.S., the New York Fed Empire State manufacturing index for September rose from -4.7 to 11.5, indicating that the manufacturing sector has returned to growth territory. This data marked the highest level since April 2022. Despite this strong economic signal, the recovery in U.S. dollar assets remained limited. As a result, gold prices saw an upward movement, reaching the $2,585 level.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2585 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
Shall We See a Drop From Here before the bull trend continues?We don't have to Know What will Happen next to make money.
We have seen some big moves from last week, such as breaking the 2531 level and creating a new All-time High. With some major economic News in the pipeline, this week will be another one with high volatility. Let's see how Price action rolls out this week.
Note: (1) If the price breaks above 2585, we shall continue to ride the Bull trend.
(2) If we see a bearish Price action we shall join bears in their short-term drop to key support levels.
(3) Buying the dip shall be our long-term approach to keep riding with the Bulls.