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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Time to Fill the Gap?!WTI Oil experienced a significant drop at the opening due to tensions between Israel and Iran. Historically, there is a high probability that such gaps will be filled. This presents a potential opportunity for long positions. The price has now reached a crucial daily support level and is consolidating within a narrow range on the 4-hour chart. I have identified a confirmed breakout of a resistance zone within this range, indicating a potential upward movement. It is possible that the oil price will increase and reach levels around 70.00 - 71.00.
TVC:USOILLong
by linofx1
4
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips. The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order. I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
25
US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineHello Traders In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XTIUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TVC:USOILLong
by ForexMasters2000
3
WTI Crude Oil Outlook: Eyeing Potential Demand Zone RecoveryWTI crude oil is currently trading around $68.25 as of this Tuesday, following a significant gap-down opening to start the week. The move lower was largely influenced by easing tensions in the Middle East, as recent developments suggested a more contained military approach, which alleviated fears of a broader conflict that could disrupt oil supply. Upcoming U.S. Economic Data: GDP and Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus The U.S. economic calendar this week includes key data releases, beginning with the flash Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q3 on Wednesday, projected to show an annualized growth rate of around 3%. A stronger-than-expected GDP figure could bolster the USD, adding pressure to USD-denominated assets like crude oil, as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Following the GDP report, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls will provide additional insight into U.S. labor market conditions, which could further influence dollar strength and, subsequently, WTI prices. Technical Analysis: WTI Trading in Demand Zone From a technical perspective, WTI crude is currently positioned within a demand zone, where buyers could be eyeing a recovery of Monday's gap-down. This demand zone represents a critical area where traders are observing whether buying interest will drive prices higher to close the gap. A recovery attempt here, with a tight stop loss, could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup, particularly if data later in the week doesn’t significantly strengthen the USD. Conclusion The WTI crude oil market remains vulnerable to geopolitical developments and U.S. economic data this week, with a stronger USD potentially capping any recovery attempts. However, should the upcoming data align with current estimates or underperform, there may be room for WTI to rally from its demand zone, attempting to reclaim some of the lost ground from the recent gap-down. Traders may want to monitor these key levels and events closely, as they could provide both direction and confirmation for near-term price movement in WTI crude oil. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
5
Potential bullish reversal?USO/USD is reacting on the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 65.52 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level . Take profit: 70.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
2
HOW And WHY The Markets MoveIn this video I explain HOW and WHY the markets move. At it's core, trading is a zero-sum game, meaning that nothing is created. There must always be a counter-party to any trade, after all it is called "trading". Because of this, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market and it is what is required by all participants, albeit more for the larger entities out there. In order for these larger entities to trade, they must do so in stages of buying and selling, and not all in one single position like we do as retail traders. They buy on the way down, and sell on the way up, throughout many different time horizons. Therefore, they require price to be delivered efficiently in order to sustain this working machine. I hope you find the video somewhat insightful. Regardless of your beliefs, I think it can be agreed that these two principles are what drives the marketplace and it's movements. - R2F
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OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded
7
What Is a Petrodollar and How Does It Affect the Global Economy?What Is a Petrodollar and How Does It Affect the Global Economy? The concept of petrodollars is an insightful topic to study. The petrodollar isn’t a specific currency but a financial system that reflects economic and political forces that have shaped international relations for decades. This concept is critical to understanding global trade dynamics and geopolitical strategies. Petrodollar: Definition and Origins A petrodollar refers to the US dollars earned by oil-exporting countries through the sale of oil to other nations. The term gained fame in the 1970s, a period marked by significant changes in the global economic landscape, particularly concerning energy resources and currency stability. Historical Context The petrodollar system received a significant boost in development as a result of economic necessity and geopolitical strategy during the turbulent 1970s. Key historical events, such as the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the 1973 oil crisis, and the US–Saudi agreement, set the stage for the creation of the term ‘petrodollar’. These events emphasised the importance of securing stable economic fundamentals in the face of global uncertainty. Bretton Woods Agreement The Bretton Woods Agreement, established in 1944, created a system of fixed exchange rates anchored by the US dollar, which was convertible to gold. This system fostered post-war economic stability. The Bretton Woods Agreement led to the formation of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The system eventually collapsed in 1971 when President Richard M. Nixon ended the dollar’s convertibility to gold. This collapse left the global economy searching for a new anchor. 1973 Oil Crisis In 1973, the Organisation of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) declared an oil embargo against the US and other Western countries that supported Israel during the Yom Kippur War. The embargo prohibited oil exports to target countries and led to a reduction in oil production. The immediate impact was a sharp increase in oil prices. This crisis underscored the strategic importance of oil and prompted economic shifts. US–Saudi Agreement On 8th June 1974, Saudi Arabia entered into an agreement with the United States to accept dollars as the sole payment currency for its oil in exchange for the countries’ bilateral cooperation and US military support to the Saudi regime. This so-called ‘petrodollar agreement’ virtually pegged the value of the US dollar to global oil demand and ensured its continued dominance as the world’s main reserve currency. Mechanisms of the Petrodollar System The petrodollar system refers to the practice of trading oil in US dollars, as well as the broader arrangements that support it. Let’s see how it is manifested. Oil Purchases Global oil sales are predominantly in US dollars, regardless of the buyer or seller’s country. This practice means that countries buying oil must hold dollar reserves, which creates a constant global demand for dollars. This supports the currency’s value and gives the US significant influence over global financial markets. As a benefit, uniformity reduces currency risk and transaction costs. Oil Sales The settlement of oil transactions involves the transfer of dollars through international banking systems, although US banks are the most predominant. The US can exert economic pressure by restricting access to the dollar financial system, effectively imposing sanctions on countries. Recycling of Petrodollars Petrodollar “recycling” refers to the way oil-exporting countries utilise their oil revenue. These countries spend part of their oil revenues on foreign goods and services and save another portion as foreign assets. These assets can include deposits in foreign banks, bonds, and private equity investments. Ultimately, the foreign exchange earned by oil exporters from increased oil exports flows back into the global economy, hence the term “recycled.” Economic and Political Implications The petrodollar system has profound implications for the global economy and geopolitics. Global Trade and Geopolitics The petrodollar system standardises oil pricing, simplifies transactions, and reduces exchange rate risks for oil-importing countries, thereby facilitating smoother international trade flows. The petrodollar system cemented the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia, along with other oil-producing nations, forming a strategic alliance that would influence global politics for decades. Oil-Exporting Countries Oil-exporting countries reinvest revenues into exploration, drilling, and infrastructure projects, boosting oil production and driving technological advancements. Additionally, petrodollars allow oil-exporting nations to invest in the domestic economy and stimulate domestic growth. US Economic Influence The petrodollar system increased global demand for the dollar, solidifying its status as the world’s primary reserve currency. Oil-exporting countries holding large reserves of US dollars invest them in US government securities, which support the US economy. The demand for US dollars maintains a favourable trade balance for the United States. Oil transactions increasing the global circulation of dollars support US exports. High dollar demand ensures ample liquidity in the forex market, making it the most widely traded currency. If you are interested in trading currencies such as the US dollar, explore popular USD pairs on the TickTrader platform. Criticisms and Challenges While the petrodollar provides economic and geopolitical advantages, it also exposes countries to a number of risks and challenges. Economic Disparities Critics argue that the petrodollar exacerbates global economic inequality. By concentrating economic power and benefits in the hands of a limited group of oil-exporting countries, it perpetuates inequality and prevents more equitable economic development. This concentration of wealth and influence often puts poorer countries at a disadvantage, as they find it difficult to compete on a world stage dominated by petrodollar transactions. Dependency and Vulnerability The petrodollar system also creates dependencies: 1. Oil-importing countries must maintain dollar reserves, potentially exposing their economies to changes in the USD rate. 2. Oil-exporting countries invest heavily in the US economy and financial instruments, making them vulnerable to economic fluctuations and potential restrictions by the US, such as sanctions. 3. The US economy profits from the capital inflows, as they help finance the federal budget and support economic growth. Reduced inflows may negatively impact the US economy. 4. Changes in geopolitical alliances, regional conflicts, and economic policies can impact the stability and future of the petrodollar system. The collapse of the petrodollar could have serious consequences for the US and global economy. Future of the Petrodollar The future of this system is uncertain, especially with the changing geopolitical landscape. Saudi Arabia has opted to terminate the 50-year petrodollar agreement with the US, and it expired on June 9, 2024, which was referred to as the end of the petrodollar in the news. This agreement has been the cornerstone of the petrodollar system, and its expiration marks a significant shift. It means that oil will be traded in multiple currencies, including the Chinese yuan, euro, yen, and potentially digital currencies like Bitcoin. These efforts reflect a growing desire to reduce dependency on the dollar and diversify economic risks. These changes may contribute to a more balanced global economic environment by weakening the influence of the dollar, creating a more multipolar currency system, and providing countries with greater financial autonomy. Another threat to the oil-US dollar system is that countries seek sustainable energy alternatives and new economic alliances emerge. In particular, the shift to renewable energy could reduce the world’s dependence on oil, thereby decreasing the centrality of the traditional energy system and the US dollar, causing a reassessment of the existing order. Final Thoughts The petrodollar, born out of historical necessity and strategic agreements, may no longer be a cornerstone of economics and geopolitics. As global energy and financial systems evolve, the role of the petrodollar has become the subject of critical analysis and debate, and the recent termination of the US–Saudi agreement is a prime example of the changing economic and geopolitical landscape. Changes may lead to revaluation of various currencies and market volatility. Those who are interested in catching market volatility and trading on news events, can open an FXOpen account and start trading various USD pairs. FAQ What Is the Petrodollar? The petrodollar is the name of the system that reflects US dollars earned by a country through the sale of its petroleum to other countries. This term highlights the relationship between global oil sales and the US dollar. When Was the Petrodollar Created? The petrodollar concept was created in the mid-1970s. The turning point came in 1974 when the United States and Saudi Arabia reached an agreement that oil prices would be set exclusively in US dollars. This agreement followed the collapse of the Bretton Woods System and the 1973 oil crisis. Why Is Oil Only Traded in Dollars? Currently, oil is not only traded in dollars. Some oil-exporting countries use their national currencies, and the euro and Chinese yuan may be widely used for oil trading in the near future. Oil was traded in dollars mainly because of the 1974 US-Saudi agreement. It created a standard currency for oil transactions and reduced exchange rate risks. But since the agreement was terminated in June 2024, other currencies may become more common in oil transactions. Is the US Dollar Backed by Oil? No, the US dollar is not backed by oil. Since the end of the Bretton Woods System in 1971, no physical commodity has backed the dollar. However, the petrodollar system creates a close link between the dollar and the global oil trade, maintaining the value of the dollar through constant demand for it in international markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSDEducation
by FXOpen
2
A potential upside reversal is on the horizon!A potential upside reversal is on the horizon! USO/USD is reacting on the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 65.52 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level . Take profit: 70.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by Neil-Armstrong
1
#WTI Crude Oil 4-HWTI Crude Oil 4-Hour Analysis WTI Crude Oil is trading within a falling channel on the 4-hour chart, currently finding support at the channel's lower boundary. This support level could provide a potential buy opportunity, especially if bullish momentum builds. Additionally, a breakout above the channel's upper resistance line would signal further upside, opening the door for more buy entries. Technical Outlook: - Pattern: Falling Channel - Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) - Support Level: Channel lower boundary - Further Opportunity: Buy more if resistance breakout occurs Traders may look to enter buy positions at the channel support and consider adding to positions if a breakout above the upper resistance confirms additional bullish momentum. Indicators like RSI for oversold conditions or MACD for bullish crossovers can provide extra confirmation before entering.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by PIPSFIGHTER
WTI CRUDE OIL: 1H Death Cross suggests another Low is coming.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.281, MACD = -0.560, ADX = 26.062) with the bearish bias evident as in the last 3 weeks the price is trading inside a Channel Down. The formation of a 1H Death Cross earlier today, draws comparisons with the October 15th one. Both price actions found a temporary support on the 1.382 Fibonacci level at the time of the Death Cross but the 1H RSI was rebounding on a bullish divergence. We expect the price to extend replicating that bearish wave and approach the 1.618 Fib eventually (TP = 66.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 71.62. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 73.20 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
A turning point for crude?Yesterday saw a significant turnaround for crude prices. Having started Wednesday sharply lower, crude suddenly reversed. Front-month WTI had come close to breaking below $70 per barrel. But the turnaround saw it make back all its early losses and end the day creeping into positive territory. Prices have built on these gains this morning. Could this be an early sign that the bulls could take back control? If so, it’s certainly been a long time coming. But it will take a concerted and aggressive buying programme from current levels to drive out the shorts and take prices back above significant levels. Nevertheless, yesterday’s reversal may turn out to be the first step. As compelling as the ‘slowing demand growth’ argument has been in pushing oil lower, there comes a time when a story starts to lose its power. Could this be the case now, or are we witnessing a head-fake? It’s possible that the short-sellers are beginning to take a back seat now, particularly as traders continue to worry about the likely Israeli response to the Iranian missile attack earlier this month.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
2