The -1 STD Has proven to be the end of the Vix to ramp SPY game. We are here again. just in time for the Fed to disappoint the market.
The Fed hates PM's and Crypto. Sell overbought and buy back cheaper. :-) In the end Fiat loses to scarcer, tradable assets.
Everything is pointing to 3040, IHS and A-B-C pattern.
SVXY is painting a Head and shoulder pattern. We break through this resistance area $55 will prove to be a tougher nut to crack, and dovetails nicely int Fed meeting.
Time to take some chips off the table, or position more bearishly.
Bitcoin to gold ratio shows where traders want to hide. Hitting resistance but, keeps knocking on heavens door.
So, end of September starts the Oil selling season. Will the big traders squeeze a move to $64, or will the range from August cap the move? Taking a shot short at $56.50-57, then if stopped out look for a final blow off move.
We are nearing the breakout on the shoulder at 2940 area. Looks like new highs going into the Fed meeting
Market could not make a new high, on gold or in GDX. Another sell signal that is reliable for a pullback. COT window dressing perhaps. Be careful
BTC typically moves as and ahead of Chinese monetary stress.
Enthusiasm is leaving the building
Stochs and Channel deviation suggests a buy here for GORO
Three factors; Seasonals are positive for the next sixt weeks, we broke down through two standard deviations of the channel and reversed higher, and our Momentum Reversal signal flashed a buy (Trade genius Money maker). This is a tradeable event. Now go and search the components and select the trade that fits your criteria.
The Sell off was extreme enough to trigger a reversal indicator, and the -2std of a upward leaning channel. Must respect that until or unless that fails.
Measured move to 19 area. Silver breaking out will help.