FieryTrading

FieryTrading

""The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." A quote that most traders are familiar with. It basically means to buy assets during periods of weakness. Bitcoin is currently experiencing a very volatily bearish period. With a daily RSI sitting around 32 points, it takes just one red day for the daily RSI to hit oversold levels. During strong long-term...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility that Bitcoin is copying the 2019 mid-cycle bull-market and the following bear market. I don't see this as the most likely scenario, but it's still a scenario that can happen one way or another. As seen on the chart, Bitcoin saw a massive ~370% gain after bottoming in November 2022. A similar gain was achieved...

FieryTrading

Bitcoin's has practically not moved over the last two weeks. Zooming out, BTC has been trading within a bearish channel since the start of March. I've made several bearish posts before, where I expected the halving to turn out to be a sell-the-news event. Thus far, that expectation has not really played out yet, which is good for the bulls. We cannot deny the...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take another look at Bitcoin's performance after the halving. As known by now, Bitcoin halvings have always led to a massive pump in Bitcoin's price. My expectation is that this halving won't be any different. Yes, I've mentioned a couple of times that I see a decent probability for the halving to be a sell-the-news event, since we...

FieryTrading

In this signal I'm going to combine two important reversals: - The daily RSI on GRT has hit oversold for the first time since September 2023. Daily oversold RSI's are amazing buying opportunities during bull-markets. - The price retested the bear-market highs of ~0.23 from back in January 2023 as support. This might be the final bearish move in the next few...

FieryTrading

With BTC trading bearish over the last few weeks, alts have taken a big hit. MATIC is one of the alts who has practially lost all the gains over the last half year in a matter of weeks. However, MATIC has found support on the main bear market support (purple). This signal is based on the idea that the support will hold and that both alts and BTC will reverse from...

FieryTrading

In this analysis we're going to discuss a very simple trading strategy that will suit your long-term portfolio: buying into extreme weakness. As seen on the chart, Bitcoin has only been oversold on the daily RSI on three occassions over the past 1.5 years. Every single time this occured it proved to be an extremely profitable entry point. With Bitcoin seeing...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I want to take a look at one of my more popular indicators; Bitcoin's Logarithmic Price Bands. In case you want to know more about this indicator, please check out the link on the bottom of this post. Back in March I made an analysis with the same title, where I argued that Bitcoin had entered an area of danger (the yellow mid band of the...

FieryTrading Updated 

Normally I don't look that much at moving averages because they are largely lagging indicators. However, sometimes the indicator shows a strong divergence. As seen on the chart, the 200 EMA has offered strong support on the way up, but has now caused a strong rejection, making way for the bears to push the price further down. Like mentioned in the analysis...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility of Bitcoin forming massive cup and handle pattern, spanning over nearly 3 years. With the halving coming up, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook has turned out sour. With this signal I want to prepare ourselves for the possibility of Bitcoin giving away all of 2024's gains and retesting the 40k-35k area. My...

FieryTrading

As of this week, the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has broken out of a 6-month consolidation period. This means that money is flowing out of altcoins into Bitcoin again. It's difficult to predict how high BTC.D will go, but I think we can make a an educated guess by looking at the diagonal purple resistance. Historically, bull-markets (especially for alts) started...

FieryTrading

Preface: I'm still bullish on Bitcoin. Long-term trend still is dominantly bullish. With this analysis I merely want to discuss a potential downwards move after the halving. With the BTC halving approaching fast (time flies!), I'm becoming concerned that the market will actually treat the halving as a sell-the-news-event, rather than a buying one. The simple...

FieryTrading

In my most recent BTC analysis I talked about Bitcoin's pending break out of the bull-flag pattern on the chart. As of today, my initial entry has been hit and the top resistance has been retested as support. This makes me believe that the break out is legit and that a new leg up is on the horizon. My target remains at 80k, although I wouldn't be surprised if...

FieryTrading Updated 

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's performance over the last few weeks. My earlier analyses proved to be wrong, so waiting until the market shows us clarity is always a good idea. Now that BTC has established two higher-lows after the big sell-off on March 5th, we can say with some confidence that BTC is currently trading in a bull-flag...

FieryTrading

In this analysis we talk more about yesterday's analysis where I discussed the completely normal correction that BTC has been seeing. Furthermore, chances are that we will see more of those correction in the coming months. As seen on the chart, Bitcoin sees multiple deep corrections (>20%) during bull-cycles. Sometimes they are less excessive, but >20% is...

FieryTrading

Bitcoin has been trading relatively bearish over the last month. However, this appears to be normal trading behaviour after a new all-time high has been made. As seen on the chart, BTC did the same thing two cycles ago. Make a new ATH by ~7%, and then dump ~33%. Not sure whether we will dump 33% this time due to diminishing returns theory. Looking at this...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a look at ETH's price action over the last few weeks. It appears that ETH is underway to form a classical pattern that most of you a familiar with, a dead cat bounce into another sell-off. Keep in mind, the dead cat has not been confirmed yet, since the price needs to go below the purple dotted line. Still, it's a pattern that will...

FieryTrading

With BTC selling off, alts are naturally following suit. However, I think that it's more likely than not that alts will bounce soon. As for FTM, this token is currently around 30% down from the top after a massive run-up. The 4H RSI is oversold for the first time since the huge run-up started in January. Furthermore, the price is currently sitting at the 0.382...