SUMMARY: Long DXY will continue to rise and USD110 is on the books. We are in a crypto bear market. Usually, crypto bear markets last 9-12 months. Many projects will fail in these period. Asset selections and fundamentals are extremely important. Looks like DXY will continue to rise, as DXY rises , usually BTC & crypto fall then become flat for an extended...
SUMMARY: Long, Dutch Gas will go well over €200 shortly because of massive Gas shortages and storage across Europe are emptying. Double bottom and W pattern - Technical target is €280 per MWH Energy prices approaching 10x long run average. EU industry will become globally uncompetitive , especially manufacturing countries like Germany , Poland et al. Sweden...
SUMMARY: Long, prices are rising due macro deficit in supply, falling inventories, inflation, securities risks, and disruptions are adding to price rising. On a Technical basis, we are forming a higher low on an uptrend and are above the 20/55 EMAs and MA.
SUMMARY: Long, UK GAS prices are going to go higher and start to cause serious economic damaged to the UK economy and politics. It is going to take many months and years to stabilise UK energy markets, if UK maintains full economics sanctions against Russia. UK imports large quantity of gas and even larger amount of Oil, Gasloine and Diesel from Russia. ...
There was almost a month earlier sell off before the market was informed of the French Government directive to sell energy at a lose to consumers. There is, in several months, an upcoming Federal election in France. The energy discount to consumers is said to cost €8.8 billion to the company is in loses vs. Spot price. Another way to think of the Price...
A head and shoulders played out bringing the NASDAQ to 14300 level. Question : will the trend continue down or will The Fed stimulate markets again?
SUMMARY: Quick look at BTC macro bull case. Fundamentals are look as strong as ever and recent pull back has provided space for a new impulsive move to the upside. We may re-test support - 38k-40k - again in the next week or two or could equally take off from here.
Cathie has been in over drive selling we book with her deflation theory and innovation stocks as the principal reason her fund will outperform. The in period her fund is down almost 50%, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway is up almost 35%. In order for Cathie’s ARK fund to beat Berkshire should would need a 85% turnaround. Usually takes years to achieve this...
It is not a market a follow. Why has the CAC40 hit a new ATH? There are even pricing voids created by its 22% rise in 1 month. In the old days, it would have been consider great to have had a 15% return in a good "year".
SUMMARY: Short, looks like a further pull back may occur. However, most of the leverage has been taken out on this liquidation cascade. Long Term still bullish and market structure is holding for uptrend.
SUMMUARY: Long, liquidity is improving for POWR, especially since its' Coinbase listing and is still in a bullish uptrend - above the EMAs. Mkt Cap is currently $230m, and would not take much interest to push valuation higher. POWR continues to expand its use case in Europe.
SUMMARY: Long, $1 target could easy be achieved for Harmony as it is a top quality project and would equate to about a $10bn market cap.
Summary: Short, ccy is in a multi-months downtrend and for a 5 wave impulse with a target of sub $0.70 The Australian economy is weakening and has recently dropped its zero COVID policy. During the first 2 years the Australia has racked up record government debt and is running large government budget deficits. Increasing global volatility, especially with...
SUMMARY: Short, looks like another a week or two before a reversal takes hold. We have two falling wedges on daily period and several weeks period. There is a bullish divergence forming on the 4H and just appearing on the daily too. If there is a sharp break down, technical target would be the $40k support.
SUMMARY: Don't touch, these are inefficient financial instruments and one is better off buying and owning Bitcoin itself. There is a huge administrative cost to owning an ETF , in addition to the costly futures contract that underlies it. It has been forecasts that there could be as much as a "11% drag on yield" using a Bitcoin Futures ETF. The fund portfolio...
SUMMARY: long, expect a little more chop for the next week or 2 before investors add risk back to their portfolios. Very unlikely the Feb Reserve will reduce QE and financial asset purchases. A strong resumption of bull market will continue in January, once institutional players get their new P&Ls. As usual, December is for profit taking & sell off lose...
SUMMARY: Long, Market structure is still intact and uptrend likely to continue. Price is consolidating between the moving averages and held support and is forming an Higher Low. In addition, the $SPX and $NDX are on track to hit new ATHs and are both in an extremely strong bullish trend. Links below. Also, I made a short video to cover the Macro Bull Case for BTC.
SUMMARY: Long, market is deleverage a little after the omicron scare, formed a higher low and is moving towards a new ATH. Bull market structure is intact and a recent flush to de-leverage long positions. Bullish Cross forming on the MACD daily and all happening under fearful conditions. continued bullish momentum for both SPX and NDX is extremely bullish for...