The latest economic data shows that the US consumer CPI data in November was 0.1%, 0% higher than expected; the core CPI was 0.3%, overall in line with expectations, but higher than October. Judging from the release of this CPI data, the market generally expects that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will maintain the current benchmark interest rate...
At the time of the risk of key central bank events, the market will face the release of US consumer inflation data within the day, which will play a key role in influencing market expectations of the Fed's next policy actions.U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation is expected to be mixed at the front end of the curve. The core consumer price index is expected...
Before, I have notified that oil can be bought gradually starting at 69.4 Oil reached a minimum of 68.8 yesterday. If you follow my strategy to buy gradually, you have made a lot of profits now. There is currently a lot of resistance near 70.8-71. Judging from the chart, oil has temporarily moved out of the downward trend, but it needs to be observed whether...
Not only did the number of new non-farm payrolls in November exceed expectations, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 3.7%, and hourly wages exceeded expectations.After the release of non-farm payrolls data, the swap contract showed that the market lowered its expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2024, and the probability of...
The number of people applying for unemployment benefits announced yesterday rose to 220,000 at the beginning of the week ended December 2, slightly lower than the expected 222,000.The number of people renewing unemployment benefits in the United States fell to 1.86 million in the week ended November 25, the largest decline since July and the second decline since...
From a technical point of view, the oil is already oversold You can try to buy oil gradually at 69.4 now and control your position, so that your success rate will be greatly increased. Mine share my thoughts every day, follow me, if my point of view is useful to you, please join me and like and comment
Yesterday, ADP employment data was released. The report showed that the number of ADP jobs in the United States increased by 103,000 in November, less than the expected 130,000, and also less than the previous revised value of 106,000.Four consecutive months fell short of expectations, adding new evidence to the cooling of the US labor market. At the same time,...
After the market movements of the market on Monday and Tuesday, the basic state of the strengthening of the US dollar and the weakening of gold has been temporarily determined.The market will next welcome the release of data this week. ADP employment change data will be released on Wednesday, the number of initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday,...
Oil was supported near 72, has now risen, has broken through the downward trend, and is now in shock If the oil does not fall below the important support of 72 this week, we can be sure that the oil may have reached a phased bottom. So this week we need to pay important attention to the support strength of 72. If it falls below, the oil will look for the...
Yesterday's crazy gold finally calmed down today. Today, the United States will release November's service industry PMI data, as well as JOLTs job vacancy data, which are all very important news. Will it make gold crazy again? Let's continue to see. Yesterday we mentioned that Friday's non-farm payrolls is a time window to determine the future direction of...
OPEC has not taken a real approach to enforce compliance with selective production cuts, and the production cuts are expected to continue until the first quarter of 2024.Since OPEC's meager production cuts of one million barrels per day are unlikely to offset the impact of the decline in global crude oil demand, it is expected that there may be an oversupply of...
The current geographic situation is still an uncertain factor in the capital market. In the weekend news, the Israeli military said that Israeli ground forces are actively carrying out operations in various parts of the Gaza Strip.Sunday's bombing caused dozens of Palestinian casualties, and civilians sought refuge in smaller and smaller areas in southern...
Severe storms in the Black Sea region interrupted Kazakhstan and Russia's oil exports of up to 2 million barrels per day.The Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan said that the average daily oil production of Kazakhstan's largest oilfield will be reduced by 56%.This has led to the possibility of short-term supply constraints and pushed up crude oil prices.Secondly, a...
Due to the strong performance of U.S. economic data, U.S. Treasury bonds continued to rise strongly, while the dollar index rebounded slightly after falling for a few days.Next will be the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for October released today. Wall Street expects personal consumption expenditures inflation to decline slightly, and...
Due to speculation that the Federal Reserve has completed raising interest rates and will ease policy next year, U.S. Treasury bonds continued their November rally, the dollar fell and gold rose. The dollar is under selling pressure, mainly because the market generally believes that the Fed will not raise interest rates further.This led to the devaluation of...
Yesterday I said that oil has broken through the downward trend, and now it is blocked from falling in the middle of the trend line. If it continues to fall, we need to observe the support strength of 76-76.3 So you can buy gradually in this range, because the OPEC meeting is still uncertain, if it falls below the range, you need to strictly set the stop...
As can be seen from the chart, oil is still in a downward trend, but 73.7-74.1 has been supported twice. It can be judged that oil has not chosen the direction before the OPEC+ meeting. The support of 73.7-74.1 can still be observed today. If it breaks below, it may reach near 72, but the chance of this is very small. The upper resistance is between 75.8-76.2....
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday showed that the total number of new home sales in the United States fell by 5.6% to 679,000 units in October.This growth rate was lower than all the expectations of the industry media in the survey of economists. Another data released later also performed poorly: the Dallas Fed business activity index...