Auguraltrader

Auguraltrader Updated 

Have been tracking Gold and the Gold miners ETF GDX... It has been a while and it appears that Gold and GDX are at least in sync again. GDX appears to have closed the week above the long term range and just broke out, if not about to... MACD and VolDiv have not yet crossed over but indications show. The TD Setup is still showing primary bullish and a new Setup is...

Auguraltrader Updated 

2023, the SGD/MYR rate should be looking about 3.45; and if this is so, then from end Oct (4Q2023) is possible for the rate to be 3.7ish. I do not know the economic fundamentals enough to comment, but the technicals are already pointing to that projection. Long ago, I heads up friends about the SGD/MYR going from 2.5-2.6 to 3/3.50. First part happened within a...

Auguraltrader

Just wanted to show something here... I do play around with timelines, and with BTCUSD, it is a little uncanny that more of these are followed. See example in chart for pretty much 2024, only one time in end March did it fail. Otherwise, there is a 7-14 day heads up on the imminent direction. Uncanny. So the point is that tomorrow should see the peak, and by...

Auguraltrader

Just a quick demonstration... Accouding to the TD Setup rules, a normally perfected TD Buy Setup would see the lowest point of the 8th and 9th candle be lower than the lowest point of the 6th and 7th candle. This to say, if it is normally projectable, then there would be a Lower Low point less than 17113 over the next three days, if not another three days after...

Auguraltrader

Using the BTCUSD 4H chart, here I show how to do: 1. Projection for upside target; 2. Identify and qualify a breakdown. First, if you scroll to the left of the chart, you will see that a rally and retracement was identified. An arrow was mapped to the length of the first rally. Then clone the arrow and shift the clone to start at the bottom most point of the...

Auguraltrader

As in chart projection, downside firmed and first target is 62,000 Waves of Lower Low broken the bullish uptrend, so reversed for short bear trend.

Auguraltrader

The SG10Y Bond Yields spiked and got back into the range. Then it spiked further today attempting to breakout from the Gann Fan trendline. MACD somewhat supportive but not yet crossed over. An early indication of an imminent retracement (indicated within the range). Any further and stronger break would suggest a bigger correction incoming; IMHO, overdue.

02:40

Auguraltrader

This is the FTMUSD chart and how I do the projection. I like FTM cos of 1. What it is 2. It is a reliable laggard that moves after BTC or ETH moves 3. It moves more in percentage terms 4. Technical indicators and chart patterns are relatively stable Do note that there is a target and a top out date/time. So... here it is! Let's track it!!!

02:18

Auguraltrader

This is how I do a simple geometric Fibonacci projection... 1. Set up the Fibonacci projection 2. Draw an arrow from 0 to 1, clone it 3. Shift the cloned arrow to the bottom of the retracement 4. Mark out the level, usually at 1.618, and time frame is around that spot.

Auguraltrader

The Combined US indexes are clearly in bearish divergence, as previously described. However, it appears that there is a thin underlying technical and funding support to push this index(es) into the Fibonacci target over the next couple of weeks till the end of April. A trajectory of the expected retrace to run scenario is drawn in light yellow, to the upside...

Auguraltrader

Its been years of waiting and I think it is about time! Gold is rotating back and should finally close the week outside of the constipation box (yellow). MACD and VolDiv are crossing above and should be supporting a rise in Gold. New target for this run, 2600 (Jan 2025). Heads up!

Auguraltrader

The SG10Y had been previously established to be a reliable indicator of the US S&P500 index, and US markets in general. It has had a 100% read accuracy in forewarning of imminent volatility, particularly when the SG10Y breaks out of trendlines. So the end of the week saw Nvidia spark a rally in the S&P500, and closing at record highs for the week. Usually, I...

Auguraltrader

In line with the earlier posts about SG10Y and Combined US indices, the VXX is showing similar spiking potential. Observable with bullish divergence of MACD and VolDiv and a bottoming out of the VXX with a strong bounce off support

Auguraltrader

Here is how I see it... 1. MACD Bearish divergence on both MACD and VolDiv and being extended further, increases probability of a retracement happening; 2. Sequential counts completed... retrace ent could begin within the next 5 candles; 3. Candlestick pattern shows a toppish doji; 4. SG10Y heads up for volatility and retracement incoming, So there... heads...

Auguraltrader

Track record of tracking the SG10Y yields in giving heads up to the S&P500 or US market direction has been quite uncanny... This time, the technical outlook for the SG10Y is suggesting a breakout, and in doing so, should see market volatility to the downside. MACD is suggesting a potential breakout, as is a recent close to the high and breaking the Fibonacci...

Auguraltrader

Heads up that there is a significant development in the market structure, as observed by the last two weeks of activity. Previous week, the weekly candle broke down two support lines, and closed well below. In addition, there was support from the TD Sequential counts for a downward momentum. This was also corroborated by the MACD and the VolDiv. However,...

Auguraltrader Updated 

Over the last couple of days, the previous posts have been showing a number of indications from various perspectives about a financial market breakdown, and here we have an essential heads up... VOLATILTIY. I use the VXX ETN for the metrics it provides, albeit its idiosyncrasies. August into September, a breakdown into a lower range indicated that a RISK-ON...

Auguraltrader Updated 

EWS really going to do it this time it seems... close below the support line. This is premature on the weekly chart, but heads up, two things to happen... First, a close below the support means a breakdown underway, especially if it is accompanied with a lower low. Second, there needs to be a late week rebound strong enough to get it back above support line. Then...