UnclePennybagss

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY breaking out of the falling wedge yesterday to finally make a higher high on the daily after 6 days of selling. I'm confident this is rend change as the VOLD ratio was trending at 3.5 all day, indicating that 3.5 times as much volume was flowing into up stocks as down stocks. ADD was pinned near +1800, indicating that 1.8K stocks was trending up. And...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY hitting 14 month highs on Thursday, rallying this Friday the morning, likely lead by NVDA's price target and weighing upgrade by MS. Changing their price target from $450 to $500l. Chips stocks gapping up For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: USI:ADD pinned near +\-2000 USI:VOLD ratio over +/- 3 USI:TICK cumulating past 0 wicking...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY has been rallying into the FED Interest rate decision today, so keep in mind that the expectation is for the fed to pause interest rates. Therefore, if we get a hike, maximum short is in play, especially for the high beta names that have been rallying, CVNA, UPST, AFRM. If we get a rate pause, then it's unclear what will happen, my estimate is that...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY getting ever so close to breaking out from the 430 level after a nasty fakeout below the 426 support. For a BO we can trust, the ideal situation would be to find some support off the open near 428 and then attempt a BO. We don't want this to go right off the open as it's less likely to succeed. For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: ...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY 430 resistance and 426 support continues to be the range we are stuck in. The good news is that the range is still providing many opportunities. However, no swing positions should be placed until either of these levels is broken and confirmed with A retest 2. A strong enough move that a retest isn't possible 3. A fakeout is a signal to get out/ in...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY failed to get under the important support at 426 early in the session PD which led to a small rally, giving it back mid day, but then finishing strong into the close and AH. PM session is showing strength trading nears the monthly highs at 430. As yesterday was a trend day to the upside, with up stock having 4X the volume as down stocks, I anticipate...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY slightly higher as the debt ceiling bill passes in the House, will now move to the Senate. Garnering bipartisan support, the bill to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling was approved and is set to be delivered to the Senate. With a Monday deadline looming, the Senate is expected to pass the measure before the government exhausts its ability to pay...

UnclePennybagss Updated 

AMEX:SPY lower ahead of an imminent vote in Congress later today, coupled with disappointing quarterly revenue results from Hewlett Packard Enterprise adding to the negative sentiment. Key Res for today is 420.50, PD inflection and pivot high. Key support today is 416. Friday had the characteristics of a positive trend day. If you saw the internals it could...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY is trading sharply higher to start the week post long weekend as a provisional agreement was reached among lawmakers to increase the national debt limit, averting a potential default. This news coincided with an early rally in the market, led primarily by shares of Nvidia, a leading chipmaker and AI firm. SPY had been edging higher each time a new...

UnclePennybagss Updated 

AMEX:SPY showing strength late in PD session and in the PM. Price rejected the 416 level PD, I suspect it will make another attempt to BO as talks of raising the debt ceiling come "Close", saying members of the committee. Key levels for SPY are 414 support and 416, 419 resistance. For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: USI:ADD pinned near +\-2000...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY breaking out of the tight range after failing to get below 410. NASDAQ:NVDA (the fifth most valuable company on wall street) posted an incredible guidance and beat an already bold earnings prediction by 50% this quarter. Key levels for SPY are 410 support and 419 resistance. For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: USI:ADD pinned near...

UnclePennybagss Updated 

AMEX:SPY opening lower today, teetering on the key 417.50 support that was originally a key resistance level of the wedge pattern. 417.50 has been tested multiple times over the prior two days, if we swipe underneath today and hold, that will be a key indicator of today's potential bearing action. Keep in mind this could all be invalidated if debt ceiling talks...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY inched higher O/N after finishing the day with a strong rally out of the wedge. Congress appears to be reaching a deal on the debt ceiling over the weekend. For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: USI:ADD pinned near +\-2000 USI:VOLD ratio over +/- 3 USI:TICK cumulating past 0 wicking to +/-900 NYSE:FTCH - Farfetch's Q1 Loss...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY broker out of the sticky range between 409.30 and 414 on extremely strong VOLD, ADD, and TICK ratios. However, showing signs of weakness or likely profit taking this morning. I think as long as we can hold over 414 early on the strength will continue. If not, looking for support at 412.80 (yesterday BO area). Keep yours ears peel for decisions on the...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY pointing to a higher open coming up this morning as lawmakers near a deal to avoid debt default. Price still remain tight between 409.30 and 414. The first close on the hourly past these levels might give us an indication of which way the market wants to go, until then, no directional bias. For further confirmation of a trend day, watch for: ...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY continuation to tighten between 409.30 and 414 as investors await critical debt limit talks and the release of retail sales data, both of which would offer valuable insights into the state of the economy. The first close on the hourly past these levels might give us an indication of which way the market wants to go, until then, no directional bias....

UnclePennybagss Updated 

AMEX:SPY Futures are seeing a slight uptick, bolstered by positive inflation data this morning. The QQQ index ended Wednesday at its highest level in over eight months, driven by large-cap tech stocks and falling Treasury yields. SPY is looking relatively flat, but is showing signs of rejecting the 413 level that we blasted to late is prior days session. For...

UnclePennybagss

AMEX:SPY -all eyes on CPI data this morning. Consensus is set at 5.0% YoY and .04% MoM. YoY decreases slightly to 4.9% and MoM came in slightly higher at 0.3% which is virtually in line with estimates. The market has taken this a bullish data point. Wait for quality pullbacks to get long into this and remember the market internals below for a trend day. For...