Ochlokrat

Ochlokrat

Since February, the price of natural gas has increased by more than 50%. It seems plausible that this upward trend will not continue at this pace, especially with the warmer season approaching. Seasonally, it's worth noting that natural gas often experiences cyclical highs in the spring, which are rarely sustainable. Based on this premise, supported by technical...

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Here's a simple setup for the Apple stock. Following the quarterly earnings release, the stock opened with a significant up-gap. However, the price was unable to surpass the level of the previously open gap from February 12, 2024. Currently, a downtrend is establishing itself in the Apple stock, and interestingly, the newly opened gap caused by the quarterly...

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Once again, the stock markets show clear signs of weakness after nearly catastrophic economic data. In a previous analysis, we advised against buying NVIDIA stock and instead referred to a buy limit. This statement remains valid. However, given the current situation, there is now an opportunity for a lucrative short position on NVIDIA, as shown in this trading idea.

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After the gains last week, the EURUSD rate has recently retreated significantly. However, the chart indicates that the price bounced off the low of the current trading range's value area. This is generally considered bullish. At the same time, short-term hidden bearish divergences are visible in the MACD. Therefore, before entering a long position in the EURUSD,...

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Gold has corrected sharply in recent days. Observing the Fibonacci ratios, it becomes evident that there is a highly favorable opportunity for a long entry. Currently, we are just below the 50% retracement of the last impulsive upward movement since mid-March 2024. Therefore, we can tightly limit our downside risk. Looking at the MACD, we observe clear hidden...

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In Bitcoin, there has been a pronounced consolidation since mid-March. The halving had practically no impact on price development, although both bulls and bears hoped for this event to trigger movements in their favor. What happens now with Bitcoin? Is the rally over? Are we stuck in a boring sideways market? Are $100,000 out of reach? Let's look at the technical...

Ochlokrat Updated 

After significant losses in recent weeks, signs of recovery are emerging in EURUSD. So far, there isn't a compelling reason for overly bullish optimism, but there are indications pointing towards a substantial correction of the downtrend. The volume profile reveals notable buying interest around the lows at 1.0624, and numerous resistance zones above the current...

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The annotations in the chart convey all the essential information about the technical situation in MARA. The stock is a clear long for us. However, we advise waiting for a small pullback to around $18.30 before entering. The price is currently overbought, and to optimize the risk-reward ratio (RRR), traders should wait for a slightly more favorable entry point.

Ochlokrat Updated 

After the massive selloff of recent weeks, it seems that a countermove is brewing in the NASDAQ. However, bulls should consider that there are now a lot of resistances to overcome. A recovery is therefore likely to be much bumpier than most investors hope for. For long trades, it's advisable to initially choose modest targets.

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The selloff in NVIDIA caught many traders off guard - us too :( Today, there are clear signs of a recovery. Are we heading towards $1000 now, or not? We believe that the current countertrend movement is an inducement, and the market will make new lows again, closing the gap around $725. From there, we can venture into a long position up to $990. Due to the high...

Ochlokrat Updated 

The oil price rose on reports of an Israeli attack on Iranian territory. However, since the attack occurred in a very limited scope and both sides seem to be giving each other the opportunity to exit the conflict with face-saving, it is expected that the price of WTI will soon decrease again. This assessment is supported by a hidden bearish divergence in the...

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The past few days in the stock markets have been turbulent and characterized by a significant increase in volatility. The VIX reflects this volatility. This analysis is based on an ETF that tracks the VIX's price movement. The last H4 candle is particularly interesting: despite the increase in volatility, there was a distinctly negative CumDelta. This is typically...

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We're attempting to capitalize on a bullish divergence in the Cumulative Delta to capture a rebound following today's significant sales. This is a trade with a short-term time horizon.

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Now, here it is, the correction in the NASDAQ and consequently in the QQQ - or is it? Currently, the bearish momentum is rising. However, as we know the index, it tends to shake off buyers and soon surge to new all-time highs. A look at the volume profile suggests that the bulls are not yet finished. The Value Area High of the uptrend since October 2023 has...

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First things first: This is about the longer-term direction of the market. We're not advising against short positions here. In the short and medium term, they can lead to significant profits. However, given the seemingly fragile nature of the current markets, I'd like to point out the COT (Commitment of Traders) data and the corresponding levels in the Volatility...

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Admittedly: TESLA demands quite a bit from investors. After months of decline, the stock of the automotive pioneer is showing signs of recovery - once again. The past months have shown that attempts at stabilization are by no means a guarantee of subsequent rising prices. However, taking a look at the VOLD indicator, the hidden bullish divergence is giving us...

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After a long and exhausting bear market, cannabis stocks are back in investors' focus. Stocks like Canopy Growth are booming. A gold rush atmosphere is emerging, reminiscent of the early years of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Are we seeing perpetual green candles or rather dense, stifling fog? As always in trading, it's about controlling risk. And here, we...

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The year 2024 was a crash landing for Boeing - fortunately only for the stock, as the technical problems with the aircraft that led to losses in the stock could have had far worse consequences than sunk dollars. However, clear signs of stabilization are now emerging in Boeing's stock. Buyers increasingly entered the market around the lows from October 2023....