Today price fell over 5% to the downside. It was a pretty strong move and not one I would expect to happen during a c wave. This has me wondering if we have officially finished (B). We could still get another high to the 0.618-0.786 area @ $246.64-$263.82 as the micros suggest a move up soon. How high that raise will be, idk. It could be extremely minimal and just...
I mentioned in my prior post that it was a very real possibility we get a flat abc as the mini-b wave was so deep. Today that appears to be what we got. Price raised just above the 1.0 extension and then got rejected. Today we got a very strong move to the downside which signifies there is a very good chance wave iii (primary) has started. There is a possibility...
Coinbase has been following my analysis for the most part for the last 2-3 weeks. We did get a slightly deeper move than anticipated, but EWT predicts "normal" moves/structure. It isn't a magic ball that predicts EXACTLY where price will move to. The strength today resembles that of a c wave. Because we were expecting a c wave, I am calling this C of c of (B). I...
Coinbase has been very volatile as of late. Rather that be due to BTC or other factors IDK. What I can say though is that the weekly MACD is pointing down and the daily MACD is leveling out. The 4Hr MACD is green but looks neutral to me. Its 1Hr MACD is showing weakness but points higher due to the last high it made. Micro MACD's showing high probability of moving...
Still waiting for AMD carve out it's B wave of ii. I am still tracking the possibility of this being all we get for ii, but as stated previously, I don't feel that is the case. I would like to see us create a basic 3-wave move up into the target box labeled B before falling again for c of ii. However, B waves seem to be complex more than simple. For this reason, I...
These orange fibs you see on the chart are tracking a possible i-ii pattern. If this is in fact the wave 5, the ideal spot for an ending would be in the orange box. Notice it is within the larger grey box and the yellow (larger count) target box? These counts are starting to converge creating a more reliable end target. The red box you see shows where these counts...
As y'all know, I entered a position of 10 puts BTO in Apple on Friday. Price has been following/hitting my target boxes for some time now. We have a clear 3-wave move into this latest box, and it matches with my thought process on the S&P as a whole. Not to mention the 4HR MACD looks as if it is about to run out of steam. There is a chance we get another high up...
Tesla has been in a range for almost a week now. That leaves the possibility open that this is a wave 4 of some degree. Accordinng to my count, this is either wave iv or wave 2. The move down from the high of $198.87 on 29 April looks as if it is wave a of some degree. Without more data it is hard to determine which count is the correct one. Don't forget too that...
Coinbase may be trying to throw us for a loop. Judging by price action I see three different options. The first one which is also my primary, is this (c) wave is creating a 3-wave move higher to the target box, and we should start to move higher in a mini-5-wave move. The second is we're still in our (b) wave and about to make OML for a mini-c-wave to finish off...
Price has extended down a little further than anticipated in what I am calling wave iii. You may notice on the chart I have some turquoise labels. These are to show the ALT ways this could be counted. The difference is mostly academic as they both end at the same point. If this is the ideal count, then we should get a retrace higher tomorrow to the high $140's -...
Coinbase made some good progress today towards the target box. It appears to me we are in wave iii of C of (A). More specifically I think we're in wave 4 of iii and should have a little retrace before dropping again to the 1.382-1.618 ($218.14-$213.18) for 5 of iii before raising again for wave iv of C. MACD should start to raise towards the zero line if this is...
The chart pretty much speaks for itself. It looks like we are sub-dividing yet again. This drop from 05 April @ $253.96 is either another sub-division or it is the wave 1-2 of C forming with wave 3 of C of (C) coming soon to complete the larger A wave. The multiple boxes show the normal ending for the different sub-divisions with the red bordered box showing where...
Tesla started to fall last trading session but hasn't yet broken any key levels to the downside. For this reason, it could still possibly raise to the upper target box labeled c?. Rather it raises there or not, it is just a functionality of price movements, and I still expect it to drop to the lower box with a red border. There are two key levels I am watching to...
I added some fibs onto the chart now that we have some more price action to the downside. Notice how we came $0.06 cents from the 1.618 extension and then retraced? This is a sign that the first mini-A wave is most likely complete, and we should raise higher towards the box for the mini-B wave. We don't have to raise all the way into the box but that would be...
Still behaving as predicted. Notice price hit the 0.236 retracement fib to the cent today? This just reinforces the accuracy of the retracement tool and helps verify the count. I am counting that as our mini B wave which indicates we're now in the C wave of b. It appears we've carved out the first wave of that C wave thus far. I expect us to continue higher...
Today Rivian fell $0.19 cents below the 0.786 retracement fib and ended $0.01 cent above the 1.382 extension. Thankfully the 1.382 held up at least for now, and the price action we're seeing off of that bottom looks promising. We bottomed on positive divergence, had a strong raise higher thus far (almost 5%), and structure is looking good for that move higher....
As I said in my last post, we're past standard fibs and have extended to the downside in the micros. As for the larger pattern, the standard end for an ABC is between the 1.0-1.382 with possible extensions down to the 1.618 fib. At this time, I want to make things as simple as possible and concentrate on only the current pattern in front of us, so I have removed...
Today was not a good day for Rivian to say the least. Maybe, looking back with hindsight, I should've seen this coming. We never hit the 1.0 extension @ $13.07 and that is normally a must have for me. Given all the other signals Rivian was given I chose to chalk this up as one of the rare times the 1.0 wouldn't get hit. We had and still do have major positive...