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In the lead-up to tomorrow FOMC meeting, and driven by various dovish news reports, the interest rate market is pricing in 40bp of cuts —raising the odds considerably of a 50bp rate cut tomorrow.
The basis for this is it would be improbable for the #Fed to allow pricing to move so far towards a 50bp cut only to let markets down with a 25bp cut, risking a repeat...
USD/JPY finished lower overnight at 140.64 (-0.38%), paring losses from a fourteen-month low of 139.57.
USD/JPY’s rebound into the close and bullish RSI divergence indicates that USD/JPY is looking for a short-term low. However, whether it can rebound to pressure crowded short USD/JPY positioning will depend on Friday's #BoJ meeting outcome.
At the meeting, the...
The ASX200 is set to open this morning at fresh record highs, seven weeks after striking its previous record high of 8148 back in early August.
From here a sustained close above 8150 would open the way for the rally to extend towards weekly trend channel resistance at 8230/50ish. Conversely, a failure to sustain the break above 8150 would keep the ASX200 range...
Gold skyrocketed 🚀o/n to a fresh record closing high of $2558 (1.87%), kicking into gear after the ECB cut rates by 25bp.
In our Gold post last week we noted that while it held above $2470 and continued to coil below $2530 it could extend gains towards $2550.
Now that it's above $2550, providing it holds above a layer of s/t support at $2530/20 (sustained...
AUDUSD finished higher overnight at .6674 (0.33%), supported by a rebound in commodity prices and risk sentiment. And after running into bids placed ahead of the 200-day moving average at .6616.
The rejection from the .6800/25c resistance area has likely run its course for now. Provided the AUD/USD holds above the 200-day ma (on a sustained basis), there is...
USD/JPY finished flat overnight at 142.36 (-0.07%), bouncing back from an intraday low of 140.71 in response to US inflation data, which bolstered US yields.
The rebound has left signs of downside capitulation at the 140.71 low, supported by bullish divergence on the RSI indicator, opening the way for a recovery back towards 145.50ish.