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【技术面】上证2930-2850想要反弹?还得看这两天的美国CPI。但指数基金建仓买来一定不亏
SSE Composite Index
【技术面】上证2930-2850想要反弹?还得看这两天的美国CPI。但指数基金建仓买来一定不亏
By LP-134340
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Updated
Apr 7, 2023
3
Oct 12, 2022
如果本周美国CPI数值低于市场预期,代表加息预期已见成效,CPI在未来可能高位回落。
对于基本面交易者来讲,
通胀高位+货币价值高位 = 空头偏向
,此时投机资本会对资金流作出调整。这种强况下美元自然会走弱,美债收益率回落,非美汇率、股指、黄金等价格上涨。
所以上证涨不涨,要看CPI数据。因为美元走强,人民币就会继续走弱,上证指数就不可能走强。所以不要赌顶底。
另外,美元指数已达到月线级别相对高点,上涨动能从强转弱,对于技术面交易者来讲,最近几个月属于做空倾向,震荡走势的概率高于做多趋势性行情。
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Trend Analysis
LP-134340
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