Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving Average

We have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal.

The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later!

What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level.

The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future!

Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!