The market saw a massive pullback following Friday's employment data. Not just crypto, but almost all risk assets fell. U.S. employment data in July showed that the employment situation has deteriorated. After that, the interest rate swap market priced in the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50bp in September. This did not bring about a pump, on the contrary, the market began to price in a recession.
Stocks and crypto both fell, but gold did not rise further on recessionary factors, indicating that there is still disagreement about recession. Judging from past history, the Federal Reserve held an interim meeting in March 2020 to cut interest rates to combat the recessionary impact of Covid-19. So we believe that the current economic situation is still under the control of the Fed, and if it gets out of control, there will be an interim meeting.
Back to market performance. Based on the listing of BTC ETF, BTC is the most stable token in the cryptocurrency market, but it also suffered a drop of nearly 20% over the weekend and penetrated the low in early July. The bears has significant power. At the 4h level, the TSB indicator prompted a SELL signal on August 1, after which BTC began a downward trend. If you had opened a short position based on the TSB indicator at that time, you would have made a gain of over 15%, without any leverage.
Introduction to indicators:
Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated.
KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits.
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