Post the spot ETF approval, there was a notable surge in significant inflows marked by high volumes. However, a distinct trend emerged with the redemption of GBTC , highlighting two crucial points: first, there has been selling pressure on GBTC, and second, the anticipated inflows were lower than initially expected.

Weekends often witness limited liquidity, and order books are less robust, implying a potential gradual decline until further clarity emerges. While a correction in BTCUSD seems probable, especially following an uninterrupted rally, such fluctuations are deemed normal in market behavior.

During the weekend, GBTC couldn't execute sales, and BTC experienced a drop from 49K to 43K within 24 hours, partly influenced by Larry Fink's positive remarks on an ETH ETF, leading to a more than 20% rise in ETHBTC. However, GBTC is expected to resume selling on Tuesday. A second downturn is anticipated when GBTC announces outflows for yesterday.

Contrary to the observed 94M outflow for GBTC, it pertained to Wednesday, preceding its going live. Thursday's outflows likely reached the hundreds of millions, already sold into the market via CME futures and BITO. Authorized Participants (APs) sell futures and manage BTC on a T+1 basis.

People observed a 94M outflow for GBTC, but that was actually for Wednesday, prior to it going live. The outflows for Thursday are probably in the hundreds of millions, already sold into the market via CME futures and BITO. The Authorized Participants (APs) sell futures and then handle BTC on a T+1 basis.


The advisable strategy for the time being is to adopt a patient approach, observing the market without immediate action. A prudent course of action is to wait and reassess the situation.
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