The CADCHF pair Has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since January 2023 but recently it has shown growing signs that the long-term bearish trend is coming to an end. First of all, it formed the first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since April 01 2022. Since then, it has held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as Supports.
The strongest bullish development is that it turned the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), where it was rejected on September 29 2023, from a long-term Resistance to Support. The last time that this series of events happened following a 1D Golden Cross, was within December 2020 - January 2021. Even the 1D RSI fractals between the two are similar. What the past fractal did after turning those MAs into Supports, was rally aggressively above the previous Resistance.
As a result we turn bullish now on this pair, expecting the Channel Down to break upwards, and target 0.69650 (Resistance 1).
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