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11/28 Trading Plan - Tuesday Recap and Day Ahead

Short
CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
๐Ÿ“Š Market Sentiment

Neutral to Short-Term Bearish: Current indicators suggest a cautious approach, with a lean towards a short-term bearish outlook amid mixed global signals.

๐Ÿ”„ Recap

In todayโ€™s issue, we delve into the performance of S&P 500 Futures, analyzing the recent consolidation phase after a notable rally. We examine the tight trading range that has defined the market over the past week, emphasizing caution in these choppy conditions.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The Markets Overnight

๐ŸŒ Asia: Mostly down
๐ŸŒ Europe: Up
๐ŸŒŽ US Index Futures: Up
๐Ÿ›ข Crude Oil: Up
๐Ÿ’ต Dollar: Up slightly
๐Ÿง Yields: Down
๐Ÿ”ฎ Crypto: Up

๐ŸŒ Major Global Catalysts

  • Hawkish Fed Governor Waller turns dovish saying rates are in the right place.
  • European CPI inflation reports coming in lower than expected.

๐Ÿ” Key Structures

We've identified crucial structures ranging from 4620-25 as a broad upside target, down to 4418, a pivotal bull market trendline. The ES is currently consolidating under 4580, indicating a potential move on the horizon.

๐Ÿ“‰ Support Levels

  • 4536: A prominent horizontal zone, critical for maintaining the current bullish structure.
  • 4508: A support level that played a significant role in sustaining the rally after the November CPI release.
  • 4485: A pivotal support-turned-resistance that could be retested.
  • 4445-37: Key support zones that could act as a staging ground for future rallies.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Resistance Levels

  • 4620-25: A major trendline target, marking the intersection of historical highs.
  • 4580: A strong resistance level that has been tested and held thus far.
  • 4565: An immediate resistance that could dictate short-term price action.

๐Ÿ“ Trading Plan

For Wednesdayโ€™s session, we focus on key support and resistance levels. The plan includes monitoring for base building above 4555 for a possible move to 4580+ while also considering short positions on breakdowns below key support levels.

๐Ÿ’ก Wrap Up

The market remains in a tight balance, with a persistent bullish undertone. Itโ€™s crucial to navigate this choppy phase with a disciplined trading plan, recognizing the potential for both upward continuation and downward reversal. Stay tuned for updates on major catalysts that may impact the market dynamics.

Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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