I don't know much about technical analysis yet, but I think measuring mean of price alterations during a period of time is good for future price behavior here is my simple idea:
✔ 14 hour mean, price is not even close to it yet
✔ 6 hour and 3 hour means, price is between these if goes lower than 3 hour mean then we still have the downward trend
Even deviation can help you here, good luck on investing... ✌😉