I had the same idea last week, but the bullish move continued. My trade therefore did not trigger and I abandoned the idea. Price is now being held below the 200dma. Exercising the same caution due to low liquidity holiday period, I an looking for a short on the following basis:
Risk - 50% of your normal.
Entry - below the low of Fri candle (& below the resistance at 164.50).
Stop - above the recent high.
Target - above the next support at 155.80
If the stop gets hit before I get an entry, I will cancel the order.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros