EUR/USD Daily Analysis: Bearish Outlook Targeting Key Liquidity
The **EUR/USD Daily Chart** presents a clear **bearish structure**, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, with price respecting key supply zones. Recent price action shows a rejection from a prominent **supply zone** (highlighted in orange) in alignment with a **Trend Shift (TS)**, suggesting further downside potential.
Key Observations: - **Supply Zone Rejection**: Price retraced into a high-probability supply zone, resulting in a strong rejection, reinforcing bearish intent. - **Daily SIBI Resistance**: The Sellside Imbalance and Buyside Inefficiency (SIBI) aligns with the supply zone, acting as a strong resistance level. - **Liquidity Target**: The bearish bias targets the liquidity resting below the **1.02241 level**, aligning with previous swing lows.
Fundamental Outlook: Upcoming high-impact USD events, including **PPI**, **CPI**, and **Retail Sales**, may strengthen the dollar and amplify bearish momentum.
**Trading Plan**: - **Entry Zones**: Look for bearish setups around retracements into the SIBI or supply zone. - **Target Levels**: Primary target at **1.02241**, where liquidity resides below the lows. - **Risk Management**: Invalidate the bearish setup if price breaks and holds above the daily SIBI zone.
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