GBPUSD analysis week 28

Jun 22

GBP/USD drops to new multi-week lows below 1.2650
GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest since mid-May below 1.2650. Stronger-than-expected Manufacturing and Services PMI data from the US helped the USD maintain its position and sent the pair lower.

The Bank of England (BoE) announced on Thursday that it is not changing its monetary policy settings. “The June decision is reasonably balanced as higher-than-expected services inflation reflects factors that will not push up medium-term inflation,” the BoE said. The BoE's upbeat tone on the inflation outlook has seen the Pound weaken against its major rivals.

GBP/USD fell below the lower bound of the ascending regression channel and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-day chart fell below 40, reflecting a bearish bias in the short-term outlook.

After breaking the important support level of 1,266, the GBPUSD pair may retreat to the 1,259 area before encountering recovery support. The main support level of the pair is at the 1,252 area. If GBP/USD drops below 1.259 and starts to use it as resistance, an extended slide towards 1.252 could be seen

Support: 1,259-1,252
Resistance: 1,266-1,272

Trading signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.272-1.274 SL 1.276
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.252-1.250 SL 1.248

Jun 24

Note

GBP/USD struggles near its lowest level since mid-May touched on Friday. Bets for a rate cut by the BoE in August continue to undermine the GBP. The USD climbs to its highest level since May 9 and also exerts pressure.

Jun 24

Trade active

Jun 25

Note

Jun 25

Note

GBP/USD loses traction, drops below 1.2700


GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.2700 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The cautious market mood and hawkish Fed commentary supports the US Dollar and doesn't allow the pair to build on Monday's recovery gains.

Jun 26

Trade closed: target reached

GBP/USD gathers some steam and approaches 1.2700

In line with the rest of the risk complex, GBP/USD manages to pick up some pace and retargets the key 1.2700 barrier following some corrective decline in the US Dollar.

Jun 27

Trade active

Jun 28

Trade closed: target reached

Jun 28

Note

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.2650, awaits US PCE data
GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.2650 in European trading on Friday. Traders ignore the upward revision to the UK Q1 GDP data, refraining from placing any directional bets ahead of the key US PCE inflation data.

Jun 30

Note

update plan week soon