NQ Range (01-06-25)
2025 will get going this week or next. The prior Post called U Turn near the Danger Zone with Friday-Monday rally, which may be extended to 1/13 since markets closed on 1/9. Orange TL is danger zone, shaded are U Turn zones and others are just key levels (KL's). 990 hit & Long U Turn to stall out (next dash white or 22,080). Notice 12/18 & 19, we may see that now on way up and if not, reverse it and NAZ will fall in the DZ. 1st white vertical is Friday close and 2nd is January month end. Looking for NAZ to retest 18,655 should it get in and stay in the DZ. We will need to see some drops in the off session Overnight (never happens) and Not see the Friday-Monday Long play. Unless these breakdown look Long (as they are holding up the NAZ). Should these crack we could see some drop moves like 12/18 & 19th and provide the right shoulder to the H/S. BTD, FOMO, GoFed in 2025.
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Since nobody really knows what any index will actually do and (what, when, where), the NAZ may complete the W with the white arrow or the H/S with yellow arrow.
Trading's 4 key W's, the keys to it all:
#1, What, what is next move Long or Short? Direction of execution.
#2, When, when to execute the What? This happens prior to the move.
#3, Where, this is the Target of #'s 1 & 2?
#4, Why, this is the least important and does not matter. This is the job of all the media, long only managers such mutual funds and ETF's.
Welcome to the Noise, designed to confuse you and muddy up #'s 1-3. When the noise sources get in sync, its to late. Do not wait for them as they do not understand #'s 1-3 and are only structured as Long Only Products. They could not even trade if they knew all the answers.
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Nothing new today with 2nd half of Friday-Monday Long Play doing its thing. 770 is 1st target for test. You have view recent IDS30M post for additional set up/structure for today.
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IDS27 is showing Air Pocket Divergence for O/N Pump/Dump. May happen quick or not at all. You never know but is is there and has been reliable. Coordinate with O/R 1st 15-30 minute volume blast.
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Yellow on 30M, need to see 2nd and NAZ will need to stay under white line which will turn Yellow. Good Luck today.
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NAZ at fork in the road.
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Pump/Dump starting at 15m til Open, Got to 640 and 620 is ML of O/N.
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30M with Yell Tilson signal prior to drop. Use your tools.
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Holiday, Party Free float is over. This week may whipsaw some to set up bigger drop test for next week.Note
Five hours up and gone in 10 minutes. Quick Drop Test.
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Short at 830 no pass, long above.
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820 retest for short to 700
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865-70 should be limit high or stop level on short.Note
Hook Short or pop here at 820.
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Add to short and move up stop. Edge trade.
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820-860 is stop clean out for drop or to the moon. Should see drop prior to leg higher.
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Looking for 2 yellows or 940 is next.
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Hours up and minutes down, until hours down and out. 880 is KL to watch here.
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880 add short with stop at 980. Will keep and get stopped, may be early, have points from Long to wash out the hit, if so. Walking away.
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10YN is not in a great spot and may fall through. This may be why the lift may be just another drop offset. 10YN drop will lift yields and crush stocks.
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Buyers need sellers and Sellers need buyers, Whipsaw in action. Batter Up as NAZ heads back inside the range. Should see some very quick drops to get this going here. 2 way trading is back in 2025.Note
865 is Fib .618 level form U Turn at Danger Zone. Canadian PM is resigning, Barr is stepping down as Fed vice chair. The Noise makers may use to shake things up. Go Fed. Mot of todays pop was in the O/N, not real but may work as BTD is in play inside F-M Long Play. Note
1 Yellow, slow turn in the Dead Zone. O/N may prop it should it drop by EOD.
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NAZ back inside O/R and may retest 21,780. Under 1 yellow, looking for 2nd.
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Upper yellow zone is expected U Turn Drop Zone should NAZ climb back up. Lower white shaded zones are drop targets. Just watch for head fake Logs this week. NAZ at 21,785, just above 780.
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Closing half Short at 21,785Note
IDS35 View
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2 yellows on 30M
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715 Hit and O/N lift in jeopardy. O/N is The Boss.
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Oh my, 2 way trading is back. Whaaaat, BTD/FOMO's O/N to the rescue.Note
NAZ needs to stay under 787 or close into the O/N will Prop it back up prior to next drop.
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IDS50 Air Pocket Divergence call from earlier, why I was going and adding Short during the lift. These are reliable signals. The O/N lift and F-M Long move are 2 moves that I would expect to breakdown in 2025. These are starting to show weakness, been running for years. Watch for counter moves over this month.
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IDS30 Minute day view and you can see that the system did deliver the same result.
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Like Magic, NAZ is above 2 yellows and at 785 after market close and in O/N Session. Why does this heavily concentrated index primarily only lift in off session period??? What is up, am I the only one who sees this? Sneaky weasel riggers, actually very impressive and best trade going. Just hard to buy into. Long O/N, Short Reg Session continues. 1/9 markets close then back to F-M Long weasel play #2.
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Box for Monday O/N breakout and range. The move will need to stay out of the box (from long or Short side). The Box is NTZ and trade an the edges in opposite direction 1st, wait for confirm breakout. May see another drop prior to Thursday (closed markets) and F-M Long play.
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Danger Zone TL, running since 10/22. A break will be significant, over 2 years of tricks and games.
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