1. Daily Chart (1D): * TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA. * Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution. * A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440.
2. 1-Hour Chart (1H): * TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel. * Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback. * Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Gamma Levels: * Call Walls (Resistance): * $490 – Moderate gamma resistance. * $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively. * Put Walls (Support): * $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support. * $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense. * Options Oscillator: * Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap. * Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market.
Trade Suggestions:
Bullish Setup (If price holds support): * Call Options: * Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out). * Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440. * Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500.
Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback): * Put Options: * Strike: $450 (short-term pullback). * Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown. * Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support.
Outlook: * TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance. * Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
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