Long

Range Trade With High Risk Reward, Lot's Of Potential Catalysts

Updated
Retail Sales posted abysmal numbers
National Emergency declared
S&P500 due for a reversal
China U.S relations worst in recent memory with the arrest of Huawei CFO
U.S. industrial production fell in January for the first time in eight months

Something has to give. I'm using some intuition with this trade, just have a good feeling about it, especially considering the political environment. Also, I like how it is at the bottom of it's short term range

I like the technical component too. Even though TVIX erodes due to contango, this level has still shown to be resilient. The range is beautiful, with potential upside of 10%+. Only buying 1/2, will fill on momentum or on a pullback to either bump out or reduce average.

This is a risky trade though



Note
Will try to bump out at$32.50. Was considering selling, but I'm hold strong to my original conviction. Not down that much anyways
Note
I liked it at $33 for the fill. Hesitated, was close to adding though.
Note
fill $32.50. average $33.05
Note
Sell 32.07, loss 3%
Note
Re-enter 1/4 32.22
Note
add another 1/4 32.32, average 32.27
Note
fill 31.76
Note
average 32
Note
Taking loss, 31.20
Note
fill whole position 31.30
Note
sell 1/2 31.36
Note
ill 31.90 ave 31.60
Note
fill*
Note
was better to add the rest through 50 not 32
Note
sell 31. Done . Lost too much, out of the race
Note
Refill full position, 30.25
Note
sell 1/2 32.16
Note
down 4% realized as opposed to 7%. back in the game
Note
missed that pullback at 31 3/4 for the refill.
Note
fill 32.05 ave 31.65
Note
sell 1/2 32
Note
sell 30.25, lost 4%
AAPLAMZNBeyond Technical AnalysisDJInasdaq100S&P 500 (SPX500)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) TVIXUVXY

Disclaimer