The 2 year treasury yield is a very good predictor of the Fed Funds rate. Since April 2022 the yield has formed a broadening ascending wedge pattern which indicates a potential move down. For the last couple of months the yield has been in a narrow downwind channel. With CPI data coming soon this could trigger a breakout either to the upside or downside which is likely to trigger movement in stocks. A drop in this yield would be bullish for stocks and vice versa.
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