Dow Jones (DJI) broke on Friday above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 10 and even though it failed to close above it, today has already established the price action above it. This is a strong first bullish signal but isn't enough by itself.

Even though the 1D RSI has already turned its MA from Resistance to Support, we need to see a 1D candle closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, as we pointed out in previous analyses. If that happens, we will turn bullish again, targeting the 40000 High. Until then, having low risk on this strategy being so close to the invalidation level, we are bearish and targeting 37900 (the 0.236 Fibonacci level).

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