USD_JPY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_JPY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 151.000
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 153.000
LONG🚀
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USDJPY
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 151.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 151.08
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 153.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 151.12
1st Support: 149.37
1st Resistance: 154.33
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USDJPY BullishWith reference to
USDJPY is assumed bullish, and likely support near 149 level, and a re-attempt to go to 161.
USDJPY selling pressure continues, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY:800+ PIPS Dropping Well Since Our First Idea!Dear Traders,
Since we posted our idea when price was trading at 158 we told you that this will be a massive dropped and since then price has proven us right, now we think there is another big drop is on the way. Please use proper risk management while trading.
CAN YOU KEEP THE SECRET.... USD/JPY TO THE MOON - #USDJPY chartAccording to time analysis and forcasting . USD/JPY gonna find it's way to some of the green targets before 16 April 2021
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)Gold prices have plummeted today, down 460 PIPS so far. Price remains within a range if you look at price on the left, so I'll be keeping an eye to see how market closes & if price will push back up again.
If price does push up, I do have a possible buy scenario in play. For now we just let price do its thing & create a structure.
USDJPY Resistance Cluster!
HI,Traders !
USD-JPY made a bullish
Rebound But has now hit a resistance
Cluster of the horizontal and
Falling resistance lines
Around 154.180 area
From where we will be
Expecting a bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Japanese yen roller-coaster ride continuesThe Japanese yen continues to take investors and traders on a roller-coaster ride. After climbing 1.2% on Wednesday, USD/JPY gave almost all of those gains on Thursday, declining 1.05%. The yen has taken a breather today and is trading at 152.63 in the European session, down 0.19% on the day.
Producer prices in Japan climbed 4.2% y/y in January, up from an upwardly revised 3.9% in December and above the market estimate of 4.0%. PPI accelerated for a fifth consecutive month and posted its highest level since May 2023. The gain was driven by higher food prices. Monthly, PPI eased to 0.3%, down from 0.4% in December and in line with the market estimate.
The hotter-than-expected PPI report reflects persistent inflationary pressures and follows the core CPI reading for December, which hit 3%, its highest annual level in 16 months. With inflation moving higher, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further in the near term.
The Bank has signaled that it will raise rates if wage growth increases and keeps inflation sustainable at the BoJ's 2% target. In anticipation of higher interest rates, Japan's 10-year bond yields have been rising and are close to a 15-year high.
In the US, the PPI release showed little change in January. PPI rose 0.4% m/m, after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in December. This was higher than the market estimate of 0.3%. Annually, PPI rose 3.5%, after an upwardly revised 3.5% gain in December.
The US wraps up the week with the January retail sales report. The markets are bracing for a contraction, with a market estimate of -0.1%, after the 0.4% gain in December. Annually, retail sales are expected to dip to 3.7%, after a 3.9% gain in December.
USD/JPY is testing support at 152.73. Below, there is support at 152.29
153.00 and 153.44 are the next resistance lines
USDJPY downtrend continues capped by resistance at 155.50 The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPY Bearish Momentum: More Downside Ahead?After forming a new price high, USD/JPY continues its decline, extending its multi-week downtrend and currently trading around 152.70.
For trading, we will focus on short-term charts. The bearish momentum is strengthening, and selling opportunities become more appealing as resistance aligns with the EMA 34 and 89, creating a notable bearish setup.
From my perspective, I anticipate further price declines. What about you? Do you agree with this outlook?
Yen Rallies as Trump Delays TariffsThe Japanese yen traded around 153 per dollar on Friday, following a 1% gain in the previous session. The yen strengthened as the dollar retreated sharply after President Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs, easing concerns over escalating trade tensions. The latest US PPI report also hinted that core PCE inflation, the Fed’s key metric due later this month, could come in lower than expected.
Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa stated that Japan would respond appropriately to any US reciprocal tariffs, while the Bank of Japan’s hawkish stance continued to support the yen. Although uncertainty remains about a potential rate hike in March, the central bank is widely expected to introduce further increases later this year.
Technically, 154.90 is the key resistance level, with further targets at 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the pair moves lower.
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 152.70, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 153.27, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 152.26, below a multi-swing low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts.
$151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).
On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside.
In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236. I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.
I opened a short position this morning.
Entry at $152.83.
Stop Loss: $155.145
Target 1: $149.52 (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level)
Target 2: $147.395
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 152.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 151.20
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 154.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
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USDD/JPY bulls eye 156A hot set of inflation figures from the US alongside risk-on outflows from then yen helped USD/JPY post its best daily gain of the year. While the daily chart shows Wednesday's high stalled at trend resistance, but the strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart suggests its more likely we'll see an upside break of it than not.
The 50-day SMA at 155.22 makes a potential interim target for bulls, a break above which brings the monthly pivot point near the 156 handle into focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Reciprocal tariffs teased, markets react President Donald Trump has just signed a sweeping reciprocal tariff plan. The directive instructs the U.S. to develop new levies on a country-by-country basis but stopped short of implementing any immediate levies.
The Dow reached an intraday high after the market realized the reciprocal tariff process could take weeks or months. In forex, the biggest gainers have been the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, although the British pound is performing well too.
Wells Fargo predict that the tariffs could slow economic growth this year, describing them as a “modest stagflationary shock”. A study from the Peterson Institute estimates that existing import tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian goods already cost the average American household over $1,200 annually, with reciprocal tariffs likely adding to that burden.
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#3) | CPI ImpactBefore jumping into today’s analysis, let’s quickly revisit yesterday’s key event – the CPI report. As expected, it triggered a major sell-off in both crypto and stock markets.
📌 BTC Daily – Bulls Still Holding the Line?
Despite the heavy selling pressure and low volume, BTC managed to close above the $95K support level yesterday.
📊 Key Observations:
Sellers dominated, but buyers are still holding ground within this daily range.
No confirmed breakdown below $95K, so yesterday’s short scenario is invalidated.
Market remains extremely volatile, making clean trade setups difficult.
📌 Plan: Sitting out of crypto today until we get a clearer structure.
📊 DXY – Time-Based Correction or Breakdown Incoming?
The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a time-based correction and testing a key support at 107.372.
📊 Potential Scenarios:
✅ If support holds, we might see DXY push higher, adding pressure to risk assets.
❌ If it breaks down, expect further declines toward 105.692 and possibly 103.451 (Fib levels).
📌 Bias: Short-term bearish, but cautious due to the overall uptrend.
📉 USD/JPY – Short Setup in Play?
USD/JPY has completed its corrective phase within a major downtrend and seems to be resuming its bearish momentum.
📊 Key Trade Setup:
🔹 Short Entry: 153.391 (if triggered)
🔹 Take-Profit Zone: 152.473 support
If momentum continues, this could be a clean short opportunity.
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
⚠ Market is still choppy—wait for clear confirmations before entering trades.
⚠ FOMO is your worst enemy, risk management is your best friend.
💬 I’m Skeptic, and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🤍
⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
USDJPY - Trendline reached, watching the FVGThe price has recently reached and reacted to a significant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-January 2025. The current interaction with this trendline around 154.00 is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with a short-term pullback.
Below the current price action, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked by the orange box approximately at the 153.00 level. This FVG represents an inefficiency in price that often tends to get filled. Should the price pull back to this zone, it could present an interesting long opportunity for traders for several reasons:
1) The FVG zone could act as support, as these areas often attract price action
2) The pullback would allow for a better risk-reward ratio for potential longs
3) The recent upward momentum from the early February lows suggests underlying strength
For traders considering long positions, the FVG zone would be the key area to watch for potential entries.
Yen Below 154, Rate Cut Bets ReducedThe Japanese yen weakened past 154 per dollar, hitting its lowest level in over a week, as strong U.S. inflation data prompted traders to scale back expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets now anticipate just one quarter-point reduction this year. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda provided no clear indication regarding future interest rates, reaffirming the BOJ's commitment to its current policy. However, BOJ board member Naoki Tamura hinted at a possible rate hike in the latter half of fiscal 2025.
The key resistance level is at 154.90, with a break above potentially opening the door to 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, initial support stands at 151.90, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the decline continues.
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 13, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
USDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has attracted some buying interest following the release of a stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan on Thursday, which confirms bets on further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).However, the market reaction was short-lived amid concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, as well as upcoming retaliatory tariffs. This helped USD/JPY to hold above 154.00 during the Asian session and remain near the weekly high reached the previous day.Meanwhile, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates, and US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday suggests that the Fed does not have much room to cut rates this year. This has led to an increase in US Treasury yields, resulting in a widening of the yield differential between the US and Japan and a limitation on the upside for the low-yielding Yen.However, the US Dollar (USD) has experienced difficulty attracting buyers, which may potentially discourage traders from making new bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: USDJPY: SELL 154.200, SL 153.500, TP 154.800
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 154.33, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 153.42, an overlap support level that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 155.07, which is a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
