Last week, the daily RSI of gold fell slightly below the overbought area of 70, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. From a spatial perspective, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent negative fundamentals, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to fluctuate in the range. In the morning, focus on whether the opening high of 3026 can be recovered. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035, the opening point of last week; on the contrary, if it falls below the short-term moving average support of 3010, the short position can follow the trend to the expected level of 3000. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of the MACD red column and the closing of the Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of the US CPI data on the market at noon.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3030-3035, stop loss 3042, target 3005