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Demand Zone

What is Support and Resistance in Trading. Key Levels Basics In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of technical analysis: support and resistance levels. I will explain to you why support and resistance are important , how to identify them properly, and we will discuss what is the difference between support and resistance level and support or resistance zone. Let's start with a definition of a support . A support is a historically significant price level that lies below the current prices of an asset. While a resistance is a historically significant price level that is above the current prices. From a key resistance, a bearish movement will be anticipated in futures, while from a key support, a bullish reaction will be expected. Take a look at EURAUD pair, we can see a perfect example of a key resistance level. 2 times in a row, the market dropped from that in the past, confirming its significance. By a historical significance , I mean that the price reacted strongly to such price level in the past and a strong bullish, bearish movement initiated from that. Above is the example of a key horizontal support on EURCHF. The underlined key level was respected by the market multiple times in the past. From time to time, the market breaks key levels. After a breakout , a support turns into resistance and a resistance turns into support. Above is the example of a breakout of a key support on GBPNZD, after its violation it turned into resistance from where a bearish movement followed. Always remember, that in order to confirm a breakout of a key support, we strictly need a candle close below that. By the way, the structure here is also the zone, but we will discuss it later on. Above is the example of a breakout of a key resistance, that turned into support after a violation. Very often, newbie traders ask me, how many times the price should react to a key level to make it valid. I do believe that 1 time is more than enough, however, make sure that the reaction to that is strong . Above are key support and resistance on GBPCAD. Even though both structures were respected just one time in the past, the reaction to them was strong enough to confirm that the underlined levels are the key levels. However, historical significance of a key support or resistance is not enough to make it valid. What matters is the most recent reaction of the price to that. Key supports and resistance lose their significance with time, and your job as a technical analyst, is to stay flexible and adapt to changing market conditions, regularly updating your analysis. Above is a key resistance level on AUDJPY from where the market dropped heavily 2 times in a row. However, with time, the underlined resistance lost its significance. Such a structure is not a key level anymore. Remember a simple rule: if a key structure is not respected by the sellers, and by the buyers after its breakout. Or vice versa: if a key structure is not respected by the buyers, and then by the sellers after its breakout. Such a structure is not a key level , and you should not rely on that in the future. In our example, the resistance was broken - it was neglected by the sellers. After the breakout, it should have turned into support, but the buyers also neglected that and the structure lost its strength. Now, a couple of words about time frames, you can identify key support and resistances on any time frame, but the rule is that higher is the time frame, more significant are the supports and resistances there. In my analysis, I primarily rely on support and resistance on a daily time frame. Always remember that the financial markets are not perfect and the prices will quite rarely respect the exact support or resistance levels. Quite often, the markets may fluctuate around key levels so it is highly recommendable to rely not on single key levels but on zones. I recommend taking into consideration not only the exact level from where a strong reaction followed, but also a candle close level of such a candle. The support zone above is based on a wick and a candle close of a candle. Also, quite often there will be the situations when multiple key levels will lie close to each other. In such a case, it is better to unite all this structures in one single zone. Above we see multiple key resistances. We will unite all these resistances into one single zone. The upper boundary of a resistance zone will be the highest wick and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Above we have 2 key supports lying close to each other. We will unite these supports into one single zone. The lower boundary of a support zone will be the lowest wick and the upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Here is how a complete structure analysis should look. Following the rules that we discussed, you should identify at least 2 closest key resistances and 2 closest key supports. These structures will be applied as the entries for various trading strategies. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
23
EURUSD Trade study short/longTrade study using Asian range. Trade went below opening candle in London session indicating bullish but wasn't noticed. Price also took the Asian lows before moving up. Price then consolidated before taking the Asian high, then took the recent swing low at lower timeframe indicating out POI. Price then eventually achieved our target Price Asian range low then took Thursdays (Asian high +4) before taking our initial Target (Asian range -1). Trading in Friday is complicated but with proper risk management we was able to take a 1:1.2rr trade Using proper risk management is always necessary which I didn't do for some reason NOTE : PRICE ALWAYS MOVES FOR A REASON
Education
by xppreciate
The importance of trading with the trend + Suppy/Demand zonesA trend can be defined with price action or indicators. Understanding that all indicators lag and price behaviour is key I prefer price action to tell me if we are up trending, down trending or trading in a range. Before understanding the basics of market structure it is important to know that its more likely for a trend to keep going on than for the trend to reverse. That is why professional traders look for areas to jump on the trend not areas to go against it. Also, keep in mind what time frame are you using to define the trend, for example, if your trades don't last more than an hour would you jump on the weekly chart trend ? what happens in 1 hour won't affect the weekly chart. So if you are trading the 5 or 15 min chart you can trade with the trend of the 1 or 2 hour chart. How to define the trend ? • An up trend is when price is making higher highs and higher lows • A down trend is when price is making lower highs and lower lows. • If there is no way to define the trend then you can say it is in a trading range with no clear direction. When has the trend changed ? To explain a trend change we will consider the chart below. First we can notice a clear up trend making higher highs and higher lows (1,2,3) then we create a new lower low (4) where we break below previous higher low (2) then price fails to create a new higher high and instead creates a lower high (5), finally when price breaches the previous lower low at (6) we can consider a change of structure. opposite situation happens in a down trend market. ABCD CORRECTION PATTERN There is a very common pattern that pretends to be a change of structure but really it is just a correction pattern to continue the uptrend. Look at the example below. An up trend creates a higher high (A) and a higher low (B). Then creates a lower high (C) and finally a lower low (D) before continuing its up trend. What did not happen that the trend didn't change ? If the high after (C) had been also a lower high and then it breaks below (D) and (D) acts further as resistance then the trend had changed. What is more important here is to understand that trading a continuation of the trend has a higher probability of working, on the example shown the correction ended right at a 4hr demand zone that was valid because the trend was still skewed to the upside.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by FTWTraders
2
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand. Important Lesson In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones. I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples. What are support and resistance levels? We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements. Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated. The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support. It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated. Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected. The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance. That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily. What are supply and demand zones? In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions. Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area. A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future. The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone. You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that. These 3 tests compose the demand area. Supply zon e will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area. A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future. In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other. On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other. Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas. After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that. For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
How to identify high quality Supply and Demand zonesSupply and demand zones are powerful tools to find high probability trades. If they are used in the correct context they offer a high win rate and a very controled risk. These are some of the characteristics that high quality zones have: •When a good zone is being created in real time you will watch that price pushes down/up with aggressive price action and follow through after the basing candle. Heavy volume on the development and candle closing at its highs are also good indicators. •A high quality supply/demand zone is the one that creates new lows/highs. That means that it was able to push below/above the prior low/high. •In short time frames, shorter than 1 hour, you would probably find good supply and demand zones to have a continuation of the trend. For example, if a Future is in an uptrend pay attention to the demands that are created in that trend and then when price pulls back to it look at the price action in the zone. Have in mind that in uptrends, demand zones are reliable and supply zones have a much lower probability of working. The opposite scenario happens in downtrends were supply zones are higher probability and demand zones should be avoided. •In higher time frames, a very strong supply or demand zone could be an area for a change of structure (from an uptrend to a downtrend for example). •A good indicator of a reliable supply/demand zone is when price pulls back to it and the candle has a strong rejection as it touches the zone, meaning an upper/lower wick is created below/above the zone. volume is developing with no follow through (orders hitting strong ask/bid in the tape) and the candle does not close inside the zone. •Speed heading into the zone is also relevant, a high speed drop heading in to a demand zone is a good area to trap late sellers. •If for example FX:EURUSD has a demand zone and TVC:DXY has a supply zone or a resistance level and both are having retracements from their trend, that could be a good opportunity to go long and also if price action gives an extra confirmation. This means that confluence is key for a high probability trade when using supply and demand zones. • Use the concept of relative strength/weakness when using confluence with other charts. Example: A 2 hour demand zone in Brent Futures $NYMEX:BZ1!. Notice how the red candle that reaches the zone is a strong one with higher volume and is not able to close inside the zone, It prints a lower wick and closes above it giving the demand zone a good price action confirmation.
NYMEX:BZ1!Education
by FTWTraders
HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS! Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries. This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume. If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable . As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure: The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible. Comments are welcome! Best regards NXT2017
Education
by NXT2017
1
The Concept of Supply / Demand TradingThe principle of supply and demand trading involves identifying a counter-trend candle that precedes a sequence of three consecutive candles exhibiting strong bullish or bearish momentum. This specific candle is designated as the supply or demand level. The underlying theory posits that when the price retraces to the region where demand previously triggered a robust price movement, it is likely to encounter renewed demand, consequently attracting a larger number of buyers, thereby sustaining the prevailing trend. Rule 1: The aggressive price movement must consist of 2-3 (3 preferred) candles that demonstrate remarkable strength in their respective directions. Rule 2: The candle retracing to the demand zone should close outside of the zone, accompanied by a wick that reflects considerable strength.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by AmpedTrading
📊 Navigating The Trading Range📌What Is a Trading Range? A trading range is a period during which an asset consistently fluctuates between high and low prices. The upper limit of the range acts as a resistance level, meaning it tends to hinder further price increases. The lower limit of the range serves as a support level, providing a barrier against significant price declines. When an asset breaks through or falls below its trading range, it usually means there is momentum (positive or negative) building. A breakout occurs when the price of a security breaks above a trading range, while a breakdown happens when the price falls below a trading range. Typically, breakouts and breakdowns are more reliable when they are accompanied by a large volume, which suggests widespread participation by traders and investors. Many investors look at the duration of a trading range. Large trending moves often follow extended range-bound periods. 📌Support and Resistance If an asset is in a well-established trading range, traders can buy when the price approaches its support and sell when it reaches the level of resistance only if there is confluence and signs for it. Using volume is a good indication of spotting continuation or reversals. If the price is approaching a support level with high sell-side volume, its a good indication it might just break down and continue the downtrend to the next support zone. You can define major support/resistance zones where there was clear reaction in the past and use them as major pivots to guarantee safer entries. Always remember two key things about S/R. The first is, the more times a S/R zone is tested the higher the change a breakout/breakdown will occur. Once a S/R breaks, it will automatically turn into the opposite of what it was, the price break out of the resistance and range above. That previous resistance will act as a support level next time the price action touches it. 👤 @QuantVue 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
6
✨ P2P INDi [PRO] ✨ TUTORIAL ✨1. Go to the 1D time frame 2. Open chart drop down menu and select Point and Figure* *Point & Figure below the 1D time frame is ONLY available to TradingView members that are subscribed to the Pro plan and above 3. Click on the SETTINGS wheel on the P2P INDi 4. Locate the DEFAULTS drop-down menu and select RESET SETTINGS 5. Click the INPUT tab 5. PIVOT PRICES (a) Identify price(s) nearest the Pivot High (PH) and the Pivot Low (PL) (b) Place those coordinates in the corresponding input box (c) Click OK (at the bottom right) 6. On the Tool Panel (to the left), identify Magnet Mode and turn it on (weak or strong) 7. PIVOT PLACEMENT (a) Drag the Pivot High line of P2P INDi and snap it on the corresponding X (b) Do the same for the Pivot Low line and snap it on the corresponding O 8. ANNOTATING TREND (a) Identify the trend shown on the Heads Up Display (top right-hand corner) (b) If the DOWNTREND (red) is displayed, remove all three Buy Order TPs (c) If the UPTREND (green) is displayed, remove all three Sell Order TPs 9. SET YOUR POSITIONS (a) Place Buy and/or Sell Orders at 2%-3% or less of your Net Asset Value (NAV) (b) If shaving, take 25% profit at the first two Take Profit (TP) prices. (c) Stop Losses should be equal to or beyond the PH and PL lines (d) If stop loss is greater than your risk tolerance: — lower your position size or — tighten your stop loss by bringing it closer to your entry DISCLAIMER: Please notice that we do not provide financial advice — our website, indicators, strategies, signals, and mentorship courses are all intended only to provide a community of support to anyone interested in improving their trading skills. Fx'tive HNW $olutions, Inc. is a California corporation that publishes products and services for developing trading indicators and strategies on demand, renting and selling proprietary indicators and systems, training, and coaching exclusively intended for Daily₿read Subscribers ONLY. 1. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY The proprietary indicators, strategies, and content developed by the T.E.A.M. (FRIDAY, P2P INDi, P2P INDi, TEMASHA, The Library, Specialty Lesson, and other utility scripts or educational information), the object of intellectual property rights are and remain the exclusive property of Fx'tive HNW $olutions, Inc., at the exclusion of images and videos and texts free of rights or provided by Fx'tive HNW $olutions, Inc. or external legal or physical person. No assignment of intellectual property rights is carried out through these Terms and Conditions. Any total or partial reproduction, modification, or use of these properties for any reason whatsoever is strictly prohibited without the express written authorization of Fx'tive HNW $olutions, Inc. 2. RESPONSIBILITIES You declare to know the principles and risks of the financial markets. Therefore, you swear that you know the financial risks involved in trading. In this sense, the directors, employees, stakeholders, and partners of Fx'tive HNW $olutions, Inc. can not be held responsible for errors, omissions, inappropriate investments, technical problems, events beyond our control, and, more generally, financial losses that you may realize, or results obtained in the practice of trading resulting from the services or products it markets. 3. RISK WARNING Trading involves a high level of financial risk and may not be appropriate because you may experience losses greater than your deposit. In addition, leverage can be against you. Do not trade with capital that you can not afford to lose. You must know and understand all the risks associated with the market and trading. We can not be held responsible for any loss you incur.
Education
by ProfessorCEWard
2
Ninja Talks EP 17: OJ Simpson-itusFunniest thing always happens in a bear market; You get influencer guru wannabe gigachads acting like they're OJ Simpsons lawyer trying to argue a case they know is wrong. If the glove fits, right? When the ships sinking peeps turn into three people; (1) They admit they were wrong, reassess and act accordingly (2) They deny their lying eyes and continue to nuke their Trading account (3) They secretly close their positions, but tell the world they're still open, until it eventually proves to be unpopular in which case they are already safe from any disasters. That last one is particularly offensive, it's like the elite of the world going into underground bunkers secretly before meteors strike the earth. Cowardly. But It's hard to hold people accountable, nor do I care to really do so - the only thing I can do (and you too by proxy) is to not be (2) and (3) - makes you less of a superhero when you are wrong, humans are more relatable anyway. + Your audience will appreciate you serving them rather than your own selfish self interests. Just some food for thought. Admitting when you were wrong, allows a bonding experience greater than any other. When was the last time I was wrong? Well... I picked the exact top on Tesla, Bitcoin and the stock market, but I didn't think Bitcoin would crack 60k, I had it stopping sooner - but I was wrong - luckily I didn't bet on it or tell anyone else to bet on it, but the fact remains... ...own your loss like a champion and people will respect you. Or just deny reality, like the guy who says "I'm not crying, my eyes are hot!". It's up to you Ninja. Decide what type of financial speculator you want to be. That's all for this ep, give a like and comment for the algo. Nick
SP:SPXEducation
by NinjaTradingServices
How to Use the Supply and Demand Deluxe Indicator Welcome, fellow traders, to this exciting tutorial where we dive deep into the world of supply and demand analysis using the powerful Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator that I launched this morning. Prepare yourself for an enjoyable learning experience as we unravel the mysteries of supply and demand levels across various timeframes. So, grab your favorite trading beverage, sit back, and let's embark on this adventure together! Section 1: Understanding Supply and Demand Analysis: Before we delve into the specifics of the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator, let's understand the importance of supply and demand analysis in trading. Supply represents the availability of shares or contracts for sale, while demand represents the number of buyers interested in purchasing those shares or contracts. By analyzing the interaction between supply and demand, traders can identify potential turning points, support and resistance levels, and areas of high buying or selling interest. This knowledge forms the foundation of effective trading strategies, and the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator is here to assist us in this journey. Section 2: Introducing the Supply and Demand Deluxe Indicator: The Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator is a powerful tool designed specifically for TradingView. Its primary goal is to identify supply and demand levels on various timeframes, including weekly, daily, and hourly. With visual plots and customization options, this indicator empowers traders to make well-informed decisions based on the principles of supply and demand. It caters to traders of all styles and timeframes, from day traders to long-term investors. Section 3: Getting Started: Installing and Adding the Indicator to Your Chart: To begin using the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator, install it on your TradingView platform. Visit the TradingView website, navigate to the indicators section, and search for "Supply and Demand Deluxe (Stock Justice)." Click on the indicator to access its details and add it to your chart. The indicator will be added and ready to unlock its potential. Section 4: Exploring the Key Components and Functionalities: Let's explore the key components and functionalities of the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator, which help us identify and interpret supply and demand levels effectively. 4.1 Daily and Weekly Pivots: Daily and weekly pivots provide essential reference points. The indicator allows you to plot the previous week's high and low, yesterday's high and low, and the midpoint of yesterday's range. Visualizing these pivots helps gauge potential areas of interest and determine price behavior. 4.2 Weekly Supply and Demand Levels: Weekly supply and demand levels are critical for understanding the broader market context. With the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator, you can plot these levels, customize the number of levels displayed, choose line colors and styles, and decide whether to extend the lines. Enabling the "Show Price" option enhances your analysis. 4.3 Daily Supply and Demand Levels: Similar to the weekly levels, daily supply and demand levels provide valuable insights into intraday price dynamics. Customize the number of levels displayed, choose line colors and styles, and determine line extensions. Enabling the "Show Price" option visualizes corresponding prices. 4.4 Hourly Supply and Demand Levels: Intraday traders will appreciate the Hourly Supply and Demand Levels feature. The indicator automatically identifies these levels based on the highest and lowest values of the past 10 bars. Customize the number of levels displayed, choose line colors and styles, and even show prices associated with these levels. 4.5 ATR Expected Moves: The ATR Expected Moves feature calculates expected price moves based on the Average True Range (ATR). Customize the lookback length and multipliers. Extend lines, choose colors and line styles, and display prices. Incorporating ATR Expected Moves helps set realistic profit targets and manage risk effectively. 4.6 Futures Levels: For futures traders, the indicator provides specific levels for the Midnight Open, London Open, Asian Open, and the 8:30am EST level. These levels act as potential reference points, aiding in identifying intraday opportunities and aligning trades with global market dynamics. Section 5: Customizing the Indicator to Fit Your Trading Style: The Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator offers customization options to align with your trading style and preferences. 5.1 Adjusting Input Parameters: Fine-tune the indicator by adjusting parameters such as the number of levels plotted, lookback length, multipliers for ATR calculations, and more. Experiment with different settings to better suit your trading strategy. 5.2 Customizing Visual Elements: Customize line colors, styles, and extension options to enhance aesthetics and readability. Choose colors, line styles, and decide whether to extend lines to the left, right, or both. This level of customization ensures a visually pleasing trading experience. Section 6: Practical Applications and Trading Strategies: In this section, we explore practical applications and trading strategies using the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator. 6.1 Identifying Key Supply and Demand Levels: The indicator helps identify key supply and demand levels across different timeframes. Analyzing these levels in conjunction with other technical analysis tools can identify high-probability trade setups. 6.2 Using Pivots for Reference Points: Pivots, both daily and weekly, serve as crucial reference points. Consider price reactions around these pivots and consider them in conjunction with supply and demand levels to gain valuable insights into market dynamics. 6.3 Incorporating ATR Expected Moves in Risk Management: Use the ATR Expected Moves feature for risk management. Set realistic profit targets and define appropriate stop-loss levels based on expected price moves. This statistical framework helps adjust position sizing and manage risk effectively. Section 7: Tips and Tricks for Maximizing the Indicator's Potential: To enhance your trading experience with the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator, consider these tips and tricks: 7.1 Leveraging Different Timeframes: Analyze supply and demand dynamics across different timeframes. Use higher timeframes for overall market context and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits. Combining multiple timeframes improves analysis accuracy. 7.2 Combining Multiple Timeframes: Combine the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator with other technical analysis tools such as moving averages, oscillators, or chart patterns. This synergy provides confirmation signals and increases the probability of successful trades. Section 8: Conclusion: Congratulations on completing this comprehensive tutorial on the Supply and Demand Deluxe indicator! We've covered the fundamental concepts, explored features and functionalities, and discussed practical applications and trading strategies. Experiment with different settings, customize visual elements, and integrate the indicator into your trading plan. As you gain experience, you'll be well-equipped to make informed trading decisions. Keep exploring, stay disciplined, and may the markets bring you success!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by StockJustice
Introducing the Responsive Supply and Demand IndicatorIn this comprehensive tutorial, Stock Justice offers an insightful walkthrough of the enhanced Supply and Demand Indicator. We delve into the tool's advanced features, demonstrating its capacity to identify pivot points across multiple timeframes, its customization options, and ways to interpret its outputs. The video provides valuable guidance on how to navigate the settings of this powerful tool, from plotting circles and lines to adjusting the number of ranges to be analyzed. By the end of this tutorial, users will better understand how to utilize the Supply and Demand Indicator to optimize their trading strategy and make more informed decisions.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by StockJustice
📊Market Structure Breakdowns Pt.1Not every pattern or indicator is a confirmation that you should enter a trade. Understanding the market structure is key and in these series we will explain how to read a Bullish and Bearish market structure formation with multiple indicators/strategies and what you should look for before entering a trade. The markets are either trending up or down until they experience a reversal in the opposite direction. Do not fight the trend, trade alongside with it's direction until a confirmation of reversal. It is not about being right, it is about trading on the correct side of the trend. 📈Bullish Market Structure A bullish market structure is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers are in control and there is a strong demand in the market with a strong upward momentum. Connecting the swing lows and swing highs will be a clear indicator of bulls pushing the price higher on each level and flipping the previous resistance into a support zone. A good way to trade a chart pattern such as a falling wedge, is to wait for the price to reach around the zone of support. That will indicate the end of the pattern and will give the best possible entry. To have confirmation of this, make sure that you are looking at the volume. When the end of the the falling wedge approachses the previous resistance turned-into-support, you should see volume coming inside the market to push the price higher. One key thing you must understand is that when resistance lines are crossed, they become new support and the cycle repeats until the trend break. 📉Bearish Market Structure A bearish market structure in the other hand, has a series of lower higher and lower lows, indicating that the sellers are in control and there is a strong downward momentum in the market. In this case, we will be looking for short opportunities. The same confirmation of a short is the selling pressure that can be characterized by negative delta volume. To confirm a trend line as true, it should have at least 3 touches where the price rejected from back into a support zone. The market structure is not symmetrical, with perfect patterns that completely respect each and every line you draw. Most patterns and indicators look asymmetrical and have a skewness and you should adapt to it. The big players are waiting for you to place your stop loss right above your trend line or pattern then push the price right above it so you close your position and they get their orders filled to push the prices lower. Stop hunting is one of the most important things you need to understand, until the market makes a Higher High of an important level, the market has not changed structure and it's still trending downwards. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
3
📊 DBR & Demand Zone📍 What is Drop Base Rally in Trading? The drop base rally pattern in technical analysis is a chart pattern that appears when the market falls, then enters a period of sideways price action, and finally, shows explosive upward movements. Market makers open buy orders from demand zones to have a long position in trading. This is some kind of study for technical analysis known as DBR. These patterns are the basis of supply/demand logics. In the showcased example, after a steep drop, the sale finally stopped, leaving bulls the option of buying at lower prices. However, purchasing power at that point was insufficient to reverse the market. Instead, the market starts moving sideways because neither buyers nor sellers could defeat the other party. Eventually, the price action entered the demand zone that was formed and recovered back to higher prices. 📍 How to identify Drop Base Rally pattern? The drop base rally pattern contains three waves. As shown in the figure above. 🔹 Bearish wave: Drop 🔹 Sideways wave: Base. 🔹 Bullish wave (rally). 📍 Demand Zone A demand zone is a price level where a significant amount of buying interest or demand for an asset is believed to exist. Traders use demand zones as potential areas of support where buying pressure could increase, causing the price to rebound or reverse. As shown in the example above, we entered a long trade once the price action reached that demand zone, with the entry being inside the zone and the stop loss below the zone. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
8
Microstructural phenomenons: option strikesThere's no such thing as round levels , instead: 1) You open the option chain of given vehicle; 2) You notice the step between the strikes that have significantly higher volume/OI than the other ones; 3) for example on ES dem would be xx50.00 and xx00.00; Without further analytics of the option chain, the very general rule is that these levels usually stop & repel the sharp jumps in prices, and allow the average activity to pass through em with a little stuck around em. Again the reason is microstructural, some of are hedging current & anticipated option positions on good prices. Usually market allows to do it right after economic releases. About the example, if you have any platform that offers a liquidity heatmap, try to find that reversal on ES & correlated assets, that moment in time that I market with a circle, you might be surprised.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by gorx1
Microstructural phenomenons: re-positioning 4 real, levels can't be re-positioned, but there's a lil detail. As explained in "Real levels: positioning and clearing", positioned levels can't switch direction, ie once a level was positioned as support it can't become a resistance, once a level was positioned as resistance it can't become a support. A positioned level can only be cleared with time, price or volume. However, there are things that do exist and not based on the ways of the system behavior, but rather on some lil details how the sub-systems and the super-system work. Aye aye, easy, a level can switch directing for a very specific and short period of time, but not due to the principles of how things work, rather by a microstructural reasons. The reason is all of us & common sense. When we scale in near a positioned level, but shortly after it becomes obvious with evidence that a level was consumed/cleared (ie there's no more level anymore), in most occasions there's no reason to take a loss right away, it makes sense to try scaling out at around break-even. 1879 was positioned as support in the end of march 2022, the same time 1788 was discovered as a back level of 1879. Point 1: we enter @ ~ the level; Point 2: the level gets definitely proved as a cleared one; Point 3: we leave at break-even, concentrating the liquidity around 1879 (~ when we've entered); Point 4: we see the result, a pop. If we would've dropped much deeper than 1788 (technically said, if we would've contacted another deeper level), that phenomenon would've never occurred (there would've been no1 to scale out at breakeven).
COMEX:GC1!Education
by gorx1
How To Choose High Probability OBHello traders - In this example, we will explain how to choose a high probability OB for your entry. And what you need to pay attention to. - If you want to choose a good OB, you must read every detail on the chart and take into account everything you see so that you can determine whether your OB is the high probability or not. - One of the most important things we need to have with a high probability OB is the present momentum. When we see momentum, we know that the price has the potential to continue in the same direction. - Here you can see 2 examples. In one example, we have high probability OB, and in the other, low probability OB. - High probability example: On the left, we see a high probability example. Momentum is present, and the price is making strong BOS. When the price impulsively breaks through the high, as in this case, we know that the price has a great potential to continue in that direction. In the end, we see a good closing of the candle, the price did not leave a big wick and filled the entire bullish candle. In this situation, we have a high probability OB. - Low probability example: On the right side, we see a low probability example. Momentum is not present, and the price makes BOS weak. When the price weakly breaks through the high with wick, we know that the price no longer has momentum and will most likely change direction. We see a low candle close and a large wick which tells us that the price has no momentum. In this situation, we have low probability OB. If this example helped you better understand low probability and high probability OB, leave a like and follow us for more content like this.
Education
by hybridtradingfx
1
Learn "Smart Money" TA - Let All Other TA Go - A Case by BXWToday I posted a GBPUSD idea and it was my first Idea posted that hit my stop loss first before I was able to secure profit. All of my ideas dating back to may are hit the target almost every time. If it doesn't, it will usually hit a couple take profit levels that I will have prepared, Or it may not hit the entrance yet the idea is there and price goes to the area I expect it and I still get in on the trade and update my idea as to when and how My trade was changed. I cannot give financial advice as I am not a licensed by the SEC for taking the series 7 exam. I'm studying to be a financial advisor and The series 7 is primarily on how to use option on equities (or indices) for your clients and how to protect them from losing a lot of money. Your taught the straddle strategy, the point of the straddle strategy in options is due expecting volatility but you don't know which direction the market will go. What if theres a technique out there that will provide you with information to study the price action and you'll be able to know the direction already? You wouldn't need a straddle option for equities. You'll just need to move that principle to futures trading and move away from equities, (Or you can still use options, just buy a call or a put if you know the direction and don't straddle, waste of money on buying the premium for the options contract) Being Privately mentored in "Smart Money" It has been months since I have had to guess the direction on a trade. I may not have the perfect entrances to trades (Although I'm working on it and getting really close) I have used "Smart Money" In the Forex Markets, (You can see my recent ideas on EURUSD that took two days to hit the take profit, but I barely got the full take profit () I have used it in the Crypto market and have kept the same principles and profited Ripple hit two take profit levels () Ripple Switches directions - Chart Updated () Chart for the above idea Counter Trade within this current trade Also, Used the same principles on a Commodity such as Gold () Current Futures Chart for the Above Idea that was called with Smart Money If things don't go your way always remember two smart money principles. 1) price will want to attack liquidity 2) (more importantly what helped me out of the red on todays GBPUSD trade) Price will look to fill imbalances. Therefor you have an advantage as to knowing the direction. But it's much more complicated. What's an Imbalance? A fair value gap is an imbalance, a regular gap in price between candles is an imbalance (if you trade equities, you know that those gaps need to be filled), a liquidity void is an imbalance (when bodies of two consecutive candles don't touch, when you get a candle with a large wick, it's close and the next candles open has a sizeable gap) These are all forms of imbalances. Some do not fill immediately. Especially if you see a liquidity void on the monthly chart and you 400 pips away. (But if you have a sizeable one on the 15 minute chart and it's been a few hours, I would start looking for order blocks or breakers that price maybe moving to and reject back to the liquidity void) The rest of the Tutorial is an example of why learning Smart Money is of utmost importance (Monthly GBPUSD Chart where there are two liquidity voids, after two, the price moves towards them and fills them but now we have a monthly fair value gap and another liquidity void, this was 1985 and 1986, price is now below this aiming for that monthly fair value gap as rice neared it) Understand that it will fill at some point, mark it on your chart, but as you move down the smaller time frames (weekly, daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, 15 min Dont use odd time frames like 10 mins or 3 days, the institutions do not think like this, they use the monthly, weekly ,daily to p [lan and the hour and 15 min when executing a trade) Look for these gaps, rectangle them, color coordinate them, make sure you know which one is which because by the time you get to the 15 min chart you could have a monthly weekly and daily overlapping, you need to know which is which, look for areas where liquidity will build (equal lows/highs, Multiple same price level hits) You see this on your monthly chart Expect price to break those lows because that's not support, that's where a lot of buy limits will release a lot of money into the market when price nears it. Retail is taught to "BUY" at these lows. But if people buy at support and price goes against what you've been taught and sells through to your stop loss, the money is then transferred from your account to those that shorted. Look below it's the 1986 Monthly fair value gap You could get lucky and buy at Support, for probably 15 minutes to an hour, after that, I would personally look to bail and get out. In Fact, I wouldn't even be looking to buy. Because price is going to pierce A lot of stop losses. This is the daily chart buying into 3:1 ratio with 100 pip stop loss, you got slaughtered (I just lost 200 so I can't say anything, but I gained it back so there's that) Now 4 hour You had less than 4 hours to try and catch the "Support long" After price buried into the monthly FVG (Now this was during covid) However, I feel as if it was going to do this anyway at some point just based on the 1985/86 price action. I want you to look at the bottom Indicator. That is the Commitment of Traders. it provides information on 3 classification of traders based on their account sizes. Retail Traders (us using this site mostly), Large Traders, and Commercial Hedgers (I'll explain them in a minute) Now, You wouldn't have seen theses numbers ahead of time but I encourage you to look up the same chart and add the same indicator, because if you trade anything that is on the Futures Market, it has to be reported to the CFTC and they create a report out of it. And when see a chart with a similar formation, you can expect the same reaction by each of the classification of traders. Who are the Large Traders and Commercial Hedgers? It is not very clear who is who, the law was made to be more transparent. However, a brief overview can be found on the CFTC website here: (For Financial Futures - This includes things like Bitcoin, The S&P 500, and the Japanese Yen www.cftc.gov ) Website all inclusive: www.cftc.gov During my private mentorship this is how the 3 categories were described to me. The Large Traders (could be a single person that is considered an accredited investor with a lot of money to small money management firms that have been given permission by their client(s) to trade forex. It says on the website it depends on the form 40 that is completed by a broker/dealer. Usually this a small company that find and/or teach people how to trade. They then trade with money given to them by the owners. If they prove themselves to the owner or who's money they are trading with then they get more money to trade and a commission deal is created between them. These guys are taught by technical analysis via another human what they have learned in the basics from the the series 7 test prepared by the SEC (WHERE THE LARGEST BANKS INFLUENCE BUT THE SEC DOES NOT GOVERN) However, these people usually trade in the equities markets and trade single stock options. Not Forex or Crypto. At the time of the above chart, where price came down below "Support" that week the Large Traders added .5k long contracts. This shows me they were thinking it would go long at the level of support. The Commercial Hedgers are usually in the Asset Managers/Institutions section of the CoT report. These are certified Series 7 completed asset managers that can work for Edward Jones, Scwab, TD Ameritrade, etc. Except they usually focus on long term and manage other peoples 401k's on ETF's and mutual funds. Every once and a while you'll get an accredited investor who asks their asset manager to be more aggressive. At that poin again, they focus on stock option strategies. Forex has the most liquidity of all markets with more that 7 trillion USD$ a day.The reason this number is so big is due to the institutions. Also called Market Makers, they are the traders employed by central mostly banks and other larger banks such as Deutsche Bank, The Federal Reserve, The Bank of England, The Bank of Japan, Credit Suisse, Reserve Bank of Australia, European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund, etc. These are the institutions because currency is their commidity and they want to protect it. (The banks that have endless amounts of money vs. an asset manager like Schwab) In the trade above where price is moving toward "Support", the commercial Hedgers have added 20,000 net short contracts. And those short contracts were probably coordinated on the futures market right at that time between all of the privately owned central banks. These bankers created modern day Technical Analysis. Here on Tradingview, nearly 99.5% of every chart that is created and shared as an Idea originally was from an institutional trader. They created retail and taught the masses the same. If they know how you trade. And they have much more money than you, then they know how to trade against you. This is why smart farmers short their trade their crop they grow if they know the yiekld for the year is not going to to be a high yield for most of the U.S. on the futures market, if they probably know that the price is going down then they will move with the commercials like we see in GBPUSD. The following week when price goes up, the Large Traders (The ones who don't think outside the box and think that they're catching a breakout down, by selling at "Resistance" after it broke "support" because they're just doing what they were taught by the banks. The Large Traders add 10k net short contracts that week. As you can see it does not go down it instead co es back up and is now losing money, Do you have a money manager? Could be your money. Commercial Hedgers? They control the chart so they add 10k net long contracts making the money that the large traders lost. And the Chart moves up past the "Resistance" Into a new level, finding price levels From previous months that need to be filled. You want your money in the hands of asset managers? As I'm studying to become a asset manager, again, the series 7 required by FINRA, to be an asset manager, is very options heavy. They focus on options Spend large amounts on the premium just to gain a little on a covered call or short. It drives me mad studying for this. Additionally, Yet the Commercial Hedgers (aka large institutional banks) banks only give you 1%-3% annual yield on a savings account or a Cash Deposit (aka "CD"). Whose getting screwed on this deal? (you) Give your money to a licensed money manager? They're going to lose it for you, or at best, grow it very slowly for you you. Whose getting screwed on this deal (You)? I wanted to learn technical analysis because I wanted to retire earlier. After my first year being taught by a Multi Level Marketing Company, I lost thousands of dollars. Then by accident, someone mentioned the name of the godfather of smartmoney in the chatroom of the previous scam company I was learning from. At the time I was learning Wyckoff method, (en.wikipedia.org) which really only explains what is typical during consolidation phases and to understand when the chart could ready itself for distribution, and suggests that there's an "operator" in the market manipulating it. Wyckoff is a good thing to know. I took the time to look up who the person named and realized he did not live in the world we all live in. It was a breathe of fresh air. His trades had a meaning to them, a meaning to why the direction was going where it was going, how to measure certain things, when to expect these things, and I was lucky enough to be in his last mentorship program that he will do in private. He has one on youtube now that's free for the public but it's nowhere near as detailed as what he taught us with 3-4 videos a week. Core Lesson Videos along with Current Market Price Reading Videos. For a full year, I stopped trading, I studied instead, I studied what he told us to stuudy and I would do it for hours. There are others that were mentored by him on here as well. They are rare to find. My mentor was innercircletrader, a former computer programmer turned institutional trader. Trading since the 80's, He wanted to learn so he could learn an algorithm and program a robot to trade for him. There were many times he thought he had the market figured out. A combination of a moving average and the commitment of traders, with an overlay of the Commodities index and he thought that was it in his 20's, now in his 50's, I can say I've never seen anyone predict price with such precision, He could get it within 1-2 pips from entry to exit most times. He did say that after so many years there's no way he could program a robot to trade for him even though he knew so much. And that's because the market's algorithm changes every 24 hours. And by looking at the Commitment of Traders report, seeing this evidence of the so called "Support" your supposed to trust, and see it get obliterated (By institutional traders), I can't trust my money with just anyone and expect to be ok when I retire. I need to take it into my hands. And I did, slowly built up an account lost some trades, but I kept practicing, kept my head in the charts, and I now have a sizeable account myself as you can probably imagine with the ideas posted that I have consistently profited from for the past 6 months. If you're technical analysis is not " Smart Money", and it doesn't have a narrative, you're burning your money. Are you making the money you want? Would you consider yourself successful? Be honest with yourself. According to statistics, most people quit after 1-2 years because they've lost way more than they should've (money they could've spent on buying a house ,cars, vacations etc... and I was on my way). I was told in the beginning that technical analysis will be easy. Well it's not, it takes time and a lot of work. I can spend hours on one chart. Are you being consistent with your trading? Do you only trade on certain days? Are their webasites you can go to to see if they will release information that will create market volatility? T here are a lot of people on here that have very pretty charts, but their analysis is way off, and they offer no explaination as to why they think that price is going to move in the way their chart suggests. I just see "Looks like We're going down!" C'mon, put some effort into it. Yet they are featured by the Tradingview Team. I remember being feature for my analysis a few times, and it was when I did not know how to trade. Ever since I have learned how to trade, have consistent earnings, and my students that I teach privately have shaared a few consistent winning trades on here, and they haven't been featured on here, yet. I hope one day that it will get recognized and start winning charts with "Smart Money" Principles, and they have yet to be featured. Why? Tradingview wants "Pretty Charts." If you've got a cool looking indicator and you have a channel and use the channel feature in the drawings section, Also ad some solid boxes where you think the "Supply" and "Demand" zones are and boom. Your front and center of everybody. Then you click on their play button on their Idea and you see it go the opposite way. No reflection on the idea after the loss. How are you supposed to learn if you don't opine on the loss? This entire tutorial is has been my reflection on my GBPUSD loss today. Which I actually didin't lose in the end. My mentor would've told me to walk away and not rage trade to try and get my money back. I didn't, Instead, I calmly remembered my training, and what price does, and had a few scalps and earned my money back thast I had lost plus more and I surprised myself that he was spot on what price would do as far as filling imbalances. After you read this, and you see the evidence I have presented hardening my case for "Smart Money", and if you look at my last 10-12 ideas I have posted here, hit play, and see some charts nail the entrance and exit, some make good profit, but I mmay have not have hit the whole target (But you always have 2 prior targets prior to your final profit that wauy in case you do lose, you'll gain something and add a win to that W column. My charts maybe ugly because I use three features (Horizontal line, Fibonacci that has been altered (specifically for Smart Money trading), and rectangles/boxes featjre), When price finally has a narrative as to where it's going, that's the only things you need. The Reason I thought about Bodies And Wicks as a name had to do with Smart Money Trading, in a 3 candlestick motion, if he wicks don't touch the bodies on each side, it leaves a gap called the Fair Value GapAnd these gaps need at least halfway filled 95% Of the time. Based on that information alone, Where is Bitcoin going? Learn Smart Money Technical Analysis
Education
by BodiesXWix
CSC-HARSI UPdate: Bull Rejection / Bear RejectionWhat's new in this indicator Support and resistance levels have been re-coded to give you a cleaner visualization. as always when you see a support indication you set the support level at the close of the candle. if they cancel this red you place it at the bottom. If the candle is green you place it at the top. You always place the S/R level at the close of the candle. Two other indications added to the script are called, Bull Rejection and Bear Rejection. --Bull rejection shows up when there's a bullish rally and then there's enough resistance to stop that upward move. --Bear rejection is when there's a bearish move and there is enough resistance to stop that downward move. If you get a resistance indication followed by a bullish rejection indication you should exit your trade. Because it's showing you resistance at that level and enough pushing back down. If you get a support indication followed by a bearish rejection you should exit that short trade because it's showing you there is support at that level and enough force pushing to the upside.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
3