Battle-tested through the ups and downs of Etherium historyA trading strategy that's been battle-tested through the ups and downs of Eth's history. This strategy doesn't blink in the face of market chaos or get swayed by emotions. It's a calculated game plan that knows when to step in and when to step back.
Compare that to emotional investing, where fear and greed call the shots. Imagine making decisions when you're on an emotional rollercoaster—buying high in excitement and selling low in panic. That's a recipe for disaster.
A backtested risk-managed strategy, though, is like a cool-headed coach that sticks to the game plan no matter what. It's about discipline, rules, and consistency. So, do you want to ride the emotional wave or play the long game with a strategy that has been consistently profitable year on year since 2016 (start of Eth - substantiated by backtest data).
Average annual net profit (substantiated by the backtest)
196% (No Leverage) & 661% (3x leverage)
This year (Jan 2023 to Sep/15th/2023) has already generated
45.21% (no leverage) 144.93% (3x leverage) in net profit.
This strategy does Not re-paint, No-look ahead bias. and 100% forward tested. Tradingview has a default caution for strategies that use the multitimeframes data. This does not apply to this strategy as all calculations are based on closed bars.
So how does it work?
Postions are entered based on RSI Divergence on Higher Timeframes and confirmed by the ATR.
Stop Loss and Trailing ATR-based Take Profit:The strategy incorporates a risk management mechanism with a built-in stop loss set at 8%. Additionally, it employs a trailing take profit mechanism based on ATR. This means that as the trade moves in the desired direction, the take profit level adjusts itself based on the current volatility, allowing for gains to be secured as the trend progresses.
SMI-based Re-entry after Stop-out:
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is used as a re-entry signal if the trade is stopped out (i.e., the stop loss is triggered). This re-entry is contingent on higher timeframes and ATR still supporting the original trend, indicating that the initial stop-out may have been a false signal.
Portfolio Reinvestment for Compound Growth:
The strategy allocates 95% of the portfolio's capital to each trade.
This approach maximizes the potential for compound growth, as a significant portion of the available capital is reinvested in each trade, provided that risk management rules are satisfied. This approach is appropriate for this strategy as strict risk management is applied and the winrate is almost 50%
Accounting for Exchange Fees:
Exchange fees, set at 0.1%, are factored into the strategy's calculations.
This ensures that trading decisions take into account the cost of executing trades on the exchange.
Avoiding Lookahead Bias and Repainting:
The strategy is designed to prevent lookahead bias by making calculations based only on closed bars of price data. Lookahead bias occurs when future data is used to make past trading decisions, potentially leading to unrealistic expectations.
Etherium
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS is the new KING ok here me out.
i'll go straight to point
this message is for the newbies (oldies gonna hate)
what is pure Minimalist Technical Analysis Trader ( MTAT : i just made this up)
-it is when u leave out all so-called indicators and focus on the chart
-some of these indis are: MACD, RSI, ATR, STOCHT....
-it's when u leave out the FUNDAMENTAL analysis and focus on the chart pattern
- i'm talking here about financial news and garbage flash news
- didn't u sometimes realize that a news come out, but the dollar act contrary to the news it-self?
HOW TO APPLY this MTAT ?
let's be practical, but first u need to watch so many charts until ur eyes pops out (it's a prerequisite).
1- always pick a 4h-time frame chart
2- always brush ur teeth before bed time
3- always look for a bullish pair to trade (this is essential for the plan to succeed)
4- after identifying the bullish pair, start looking for SUpport & Resistance...but never make the chart too complicated, u really need like 2-4 lines drawn only
5- after u draw the S&R lines, look for retracements (the pair is going down slightly)
6- use the FIBONACCI drawing tool and draw from the lowest to highest point (before the retracement)
7- it's best to focus on the 61.8% line
8- look for a confirmation candle:
a- a red Bar, which the low point of it touched (crossed) the 61.8% Fib line
b- followed by a green bar which closed ABOVE THE fib 61.8% line
c- place ur buy trade when the green candle closes
9- how to set your target:
a- use the (-61.8% or -100%) FIb levels
or
b- use the Resistance line u drawn previously
now the question is, do u really need MACD or RSI or STOCH?
of course NO, if you google it, u'll know that these reflects previous price actions? so why use it for FUTURE price actions?
what to do when big news are coming out?
IT WILL ACT ACCORDINGLY THE PREVIOUSLY SET CHART PATTERN...this will never fail you
DO YOU PLACE STOP ORDERS?
NEVER, never put pre-set stop orders,
you should be active on ur screen and wait for the price to fall to the price u set as a stoploss, AND CLOSE TRADE MANUALLY
WHY?, because when we have big news, we have volatility the pair will go up and down so hard to close all stoploss orders
then it will continue to obey the technical chart pattern as a fukn slave!
let's practice:
use the FIB Ret tool:
identify the red and green candle:
place your buy order:
et voila....
#STOP_BEING_POOR
Steps to invest successfully Hello guys, I hope you liked the video and you learnt something new.
Due the lack of time I didn't have the opportunity to talk in detail about everything I wanted. There are so many things to say and I would love to talk about them for hours.
Still, for any questions regard the video let me know in the comments. I will make sure to make more tutorial videos.
This video is meant to be a learning video and not a financial advise one.
Crypto Correlation - Etherium - BitcoinI posted an idea yesterday on the Accumulation phase of Bitcoin currently. I have been asked by several people in the post and in DM's about Etherium, Litecoin and other alt coins.
Thought it be easier to make a post.
As professional traders enter the crypto market - it's clear to see a shift in the behavior of Bitcoin and its merry men.
If you zoom out and look at the daily charts or bigger, it's clear to see the dips and peaks at the same times - meaning BTC is a good indication of the rest of the coins...
Why? - Bitcoin is mainly a store of value, it's making entry into other alt coins easier - it's more trusted (i would like to say it's more understood, unfortunately not the case). You have several types of crypto players:
- Early adopters (usually tech guys n Gals) who believe in the concept and want to change conventional thinking.
- Consultants (usaully ex KPMG, PWC) will call themselves experts, charge the early adopters thousands in fees for their business acumen & adding no real value.
- un-sophisticated investors; wanting to invest in the next facebook.
- Friends of early adaptors who now see $$$ signs.
- Tech investors who see more than a trade setup.
- Savvy investors who want control (these guys take it to "investment instrument level"
- Then the late adapters - who want to play, make a few dollars, and hope to ride the bull wave to the moon.
- Everyone else.
The issue is the more institutional traction, the less likely of a full out bull run - investors know how to play the game to sucker the other parties into making more money for themselves in the process. So we will now start to see behavior more like Gold, Oil, FX - instead of the tech boom bull runs.
As traders, not investors - you need to adapt. If you are not looking for a drawdown, you need to buy the dips. Whereas an investor would pile in the money and come back in 5 years.
As far as Etherium, Bitcoin or alt coins. Think of it like this. Bitcoin is kind of what the USD is to currency and commodities. An easier way of putting it is "Bitcoin is the windows of the operating system space" - Ethereum is like Linux - it can be used for projects, not everyone understands it or wants to. It has its place and that has value in its own right.
Feel free to comment below. Enjoy the rest of the weekend!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
[BITCOIN, LITECOIN, & ETHERIUM] HEALTH CHECK UP! This educational video talks about the health of overall general crypto market cap and how have seen it go lower since last time I checked it. Crypto is very volatile, but has nice returns if you know what your doing! If your new to this space and intend on scalping, swing trading or hold a position on long term investor trading. Be prepared for a volatile roller coaster ride! I don't regret anything i have personally have done in this space yet. Its been exciting ever since I started in 2017 and their is so much to learn. This blockchain technology is the future!
If you enjoyed this video give me a like and follow me to hear my latest technical analysis on what Im trading.
Thanks
CryptoBuzzAnalyst
PS. This is not financial advice just educational material. Do your own research and take caution before u think about day trading or investing in crypto!