Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read PriceHey Guys!
Just wanted to put up a quick Price Action Lesson on How to Read Price.
I demonstrate this foundational element of reading price with a current eurjpy short trade I'm currently in.
The Key point of the lesson is simply: Directional movement of price is irrelevant when it comes to reading price. What's important is "How Price Gets from Point A to Point B".
So even if price moves up, if there is no signs of strength in the same direction, that move up will be unsustainable.
Moreover, this foundational way of looking at price movement is what allows a trader to always be one step ahead of the market and thus not chase the market.
Ok! I hope this helps guys!
Have a great day!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Eurjpyshort
Confirming Trends with the Lower Time Frames EUR/JPY ExampleHey Guys!
As you know, I'm currently waiting for a pullback to at least 131.67 for a short entry with the stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114.40.
Like always, I'm watching the lower time frames to confirm whether or not I will get this pullback to 131.67.
During the initial move long there were several confirmations of short term long strength on the 1M-15M charts through Trendline break outs then immediate breaks back into the trendline. ( Immediate break back in means: the break out candle's close and the break back in candle's open is at the same price level)
Thus was expecting short term long strength. However, 8 pips from my short entry level, there was a legitimate 15M Head and Shoulders that went it's target height level before reaching the right shoulder's stop loss level. Signaling waning short term long strength. ( If long strength was present, price should ignore the H&S and not reach it's target height price level and stop traders out at the right shoulder's stop loss level. )( I can't explain the details here.)
So price did not reach my short entry level at 131.67 by a whopping 8 pips! (Yikes!!!!)
Soon after, there was a 4h trendline break out with no immediate break back in further signaling 4h waning long strength.(Ti----mberrrrr!)
Currently, there was a downward 1h trendline that was broken out to the long side, with no immediate break back in signaling "slight" waning short term short strength. ( I say slight due to the 1h Trendline not being as prominent as I would like to signal waning short strength.)
In this way, I measure whether or not I will get a pullback for higher time frame entries (Weekly trade in this case) using the lower time frames to confirm short term long/short strength. However, I also use this method to confirm higher time frame trends. Or as I like to call it, higher time frame "biases".
I'll keep you guys updated with this short set up!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Trading with convergence to increase your probabilityTaking a look at the price action on EURJPY currently, we have seen a potential selling opportunity setup.
Why we like this setup is because it holds a few factors that all converge together. As traders the higher the amount of information we have to help make an informed decision the better.
As you can see from the 15 Minute chart, we firstly have price move quite rapidly higher until it starts to run out of steam and show signs of price exhaustion, we can also see this through the creation of a bearish 3 drive pattern at the highs. This pattern is a good indicator for potential reversal when used in the right context.
What increases the probability on this particular setup is that this exhaustion also occurs at the 126.00 big figure as this level could also hold larger pockets of order flow and help price to reject lower.
As traders we don't know exactly how far price can move but what we can do is locate areas or levels on a chart that could cause a possible bounce or rejection in our favor. It's in these moves that we can look to potentially manage a trade profitably in the process.