SWING TUTORIAL - ABSLAMCIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ABSLAMC (Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Oct 2021. The stock declined by nearly 57%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 114% returns in 63 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 720 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 720.
3. Return: Approximately 114%.
4. Trade Duration: 63 weeks.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED:
1. Price Action Analysis
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Momentum Reversal
4. Trend Analysis
5. Chart Patterns
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
Macdcrossover
SWING TUTORIAL - ICICIPRULIIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ICICIPRULI (ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Sep 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 88% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 724 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in March 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in March 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 724.
3. Return: Approximately 88%.
4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED:
1. Price Action Analysis
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Momentum Reversal
4. Trend Analysis
5. Chart Patterns
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING TUTORIAL - MFSLIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:MFSL (MAX FINANCIAL SERV LTD) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in July 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Highs. This Higher High Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 80% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 1148 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 1148.
3. Return: Approximately 80%.
4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks.
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING TUTORIAL - RALLISIn this tutorial, we analyzes the reversal of NSE:RALLIS 's 50% decline, identifying key technical indicators that signaled a buying opportunity. We'll explore how to recognize bullish momentum and optimal entry points using chart analysis.
NSE:RALLIS reached its all-time high at 362 before experiencing a significant downturn. However, the stock began forming support levels near 200 in June 2022 and retested this level again in May 2023.
Key Observations:
1. Support Levels: The stock consistently found support at ₹200, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in June 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
Trading Strategy and Results:
Based on this analysis, our entry point was established at the MACD crossover. The stock subsequently rose to its swing high levels, yielding approximately 85% returns in just 57 weeks.
Note: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing support levels, MACD movements, and consolidation patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING TUTORIAL - PODDARMENTIn this tutorial, we analyzes the reversal of NSE:PODDARMENT 's 50% decline, identifying key technical indicators that signaled a buying opportunity. We'll explore how to recognize bullish momentum and optimal entry points using chart analysis.
NSE:PODDARMENT reached its all-time high before experiencing a significant downturn. However, the stock began forming support levels at 250 in June 2023 and repeatedly retested this level until June 2024.
Key Observations:
1. Support Levels: The stock consistently found support at ₹250, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. Consolidation: Price action demonstrated a consolidation phase, forming a strong support zone.
4. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in June 2024 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
Trading Strategy and Results:
Based on this analysis, our entry point was established at the MACD crossover. The stock subsequently rose to its swing high levels, yielding approximately 67% returns.
Note: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing support levels, MACD movements, and consolidation patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING TUTORIAL - TECHMIn this tutorial, we try to understand how and why the stock NSE:TECHM started going upward and how we can find the best entry while reading charts.
The stock had started forming a Support at 1000 levels at June 2022 and since been retesting the same level again up to April 2023.
During the same time we can observe how the MACD levels consistently kept moving upwards. This indicated that momentum was gaining and it slowly starting to turn bullish.
Once the MACD finally made a successful crossover after close to 52 weeks in April 2023, this is where our Entry got created.
Eventually slowly making its way right up to the Swing High levels.
This trade is still in play and will probably retest its Swing High levels in the coming weeks.
And if the MACD line and signal are still as split away from each other as they are on the monthly timeframe, this could also breakout from the Swing High levels and going all the way further.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Would you like to more such Tutorials in the future? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SWING TUTORIAL - SHARDACROPA typical Convergence Divergence is in play here.
Stock is also in a Long term Lower Low Pattern formation.
Could this Convergence Divergence indicate a breakout from the Lower Low Trendline?
Or is the price going to go down further?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SWING TUTORIAL - EMAMILTDThe stock had found a Resistance zone @ 602 during Aug 2021 and had started a Lower Low Pattern ever since.
Eventually finding its Support Zone @ 360 during Mar 2023 after 1 Year and 7 Months.
At this point notice that the Lower Low Pattern in the Price Action, however MACD slightly started showing a Higher Low formation. Hence the Convergence Divergence indicating a good move upward and also the 1st confirmation upward.
Finally in July the stock showed its 2nd confirmation once it successfully exited the Lower Low Pattern Trendline with a massive huge green candle.
Thus giving us our 1st Entry point at this stage which took the stock as close to the previous Resistance zone @ 602 and a safe exit as High as 31% for the Trade as well.
Another cool thing to note here is the Stock also retested the same breakout zone and the MACD as well was making a new Crossover, thus indicating another fresh Entry into the stock.
This trade had eventually broken the 4 Year Resistance zone @ 602 with a large volume and taking the stock as High as 67% in returns as of today.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SWING TUTORIAL - DIVISLABWatch how the stock was on a continuous Lower Low Patter and formed a Lower Low Trendline.
Simultaneously, there was also a formation of Convergence Divergence indicating an upward move.
Stock also broke out of the trendline with a strong green candle.
While the MACD Cross indicated a good entry after the Convergence Divergence, the breakout from the Trendline later indicated a confirmation for a move upward.
Coincidently, the stock also made a new Support zone at 3299 after a strong breakout from trendline.
Another MACD cross has also successfully happened in the last few weeks.
Do you think the stock can reach its All Time High again?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SWING TUTORIAL - LALPATHLABNotice how the stock exactly revisited the most recent Swing High exactly after the Convergence Divergence.
MACD Cross after the Convergence Divergence gave a good entry as it happened at a Higher High Higher Low Pattern indicating a good move upward.
Eventually gave a 38% up move.
Another MACD Cross is under play currently. Can it break the Resistance zone of 2758 and go all the up to the next 3342 Support/Resistance zone?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
Educational: MACD, What is it and how to use it 📊 Introduction
You might want to read more about the MACD indicator if you're seeking for a technical indicator that can assist you in spotting market trends and momentum. Moving average convergence/divergence, or MACD, is one of the most well-known and often applied technical analysis indicators. We will define the MACD indicator, describe its operation, and provide trading tips in this publication.
📊 What is the MACD?
The MACD indicator displays the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security's price and is a trend-following momentum indicator. The 26-period EMA is subtracted from the 12-period EMA to calculate the MACD line. The MACD line is the output of the calculation.
The signal line, which is then drawn on top of the MACD line and can be used as a trigger for buy or sell signals, is a nine-day EMA of the MACD line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, traders may buy the asset; when it crosses below, they may sell—or short—the security.
The difference between the MACD line and the signal line is represented as a bar graph on the MACD indicator called the histogram. The histogram can inform traders of the strength of a directional move and forewarn them of a probable price reversal. It can also determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
The MACD indicator thus depends on three time parameters, namely the time constants of the three EMAs. The notation "MACD (a,b,c)" usually denotes the indicator where the MACD series is the difference of EMAs with characteristic times a and b, and the average series is an EMA of the MACD series with characteristic time c. These parameters are usually measured in days. The most commonly used values are 12, 26, and 9 days, that is, MACD (12,26,9).
📊 How does the MACD work?
The MACD indicator gauges how much two moving averages of various periods are convergent or divergent from one another. The price trend is revealed by the moving averages, a form of smoothing technique that eliminates noise and oscillations in the price data.
The majority of MACD changes are driven by the shorter (12-day) moving average due to its speed. The 26-day moving average is slower and less responsive to changes in the price of the underlying securities.
There is a strong momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a significant difference between the two). According on whether the movement is upward or downward, this indicates that there is an increase in either purchasing pressure or selling pressure.
There is a weak momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average drifts in the direction of the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a minor difference between them). This signals a lessening of buying or selling pressure, as well as a price consolidation or sideways movement.
📊 How to use the MACD
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is designed to be used for several purposes in technical analysis. Its primary function is to identify potential trend reversals, confirm entry and exit points, and assess the strength of a trend. Here are the key applications of the MACD indicator:
🔹Trend Identification: The MACD indicator helps traders identify the direction of the underlying trend in a market. By comparing the MACD line (the difference between two moving averages) and the signal line (a smoothed moving average of the MACD line), traders can determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish. A positive MACD indicates a bullish trend, while a negative MACD suggests a bearish trend.
🔹Momentum Analysis: The MACD indicator provides insights into market momentum. When the MACD line and the signal line move farther apart, it indicates increasing momentum in the prevailing trend. Conversely, when the MACD lines converge or move closer together, it suggests a potential slowdown or loss of momentum. Traders can use this information to assess the strength of a trend and make informed decisions.
🔹Crossover Signals: The MACD indicator generates crossover signals when the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, a bearish crossover takes place when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, suggesting a potential selling opportunity. These crossover signals are commonly used to identify entry and exit points for trades.
🔹Divergence Detection: Divergences occur when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of the MACD indicator. Bullish divergences can be observed when the price makes lower lows while the MACD forms higher lows. Conversely, bearish divergences occur when the price achieves higher highs while the MACD forms lower highs. Divergences can be early indications of potential trend reversals and can help traders anticipate changes in market direction.
🔹Histogram Analysis: The MACD histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, displayed as bars above or below a zero line. The histogram provides visual cues about the strength of a trend. When the histogram bars are above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum, and when they are below the zero line, it suggests bearish momentum. Additionally, the shape and direction of the histogram bars can provide insights into potential trend reversals or market consolidations.
📊 How to access the MACD.
The MACD can be accessed for free by simply clicking on your indicators tab and seraching MACD where you will find Moving average convergence/divergence.
The MACD indicator is a useful tool, but to make well-rounded trading decisions, it should be utilized in conjunction with other technical indicators, price patterns, and fundamental analysis. To make the best use of the MACD indicator, traders need also take into account the individual market circumstances and periods they are trading in.
How to Use the MACD Indicator?How to Use the MACD Indicator?
🔶 What’s MACD?
That is an abbreviation for Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
This technical indicator is a tool for identifying moving averages that indicate a new trend, whether bullish or bearish.
After all, finding a trend is a key priority in trading because that’s where the greatest money is produced.
A MACD chart typically displays three figures that serve as its settings.
▪️ The first parameter is the number of periods utilized to construct the faster-moving average.
▪️ The second factor is the amount of periods used in the slower moving average.
▪️ The third parameter is the number of bars utilized to construct the moving average of the difference between the faster and slower moving averages.
For example, if you saw "12, 26, 9" as the MACD parameters (which is typically the default value for most charting software), you would read it as follows:
🔹 The number 12 signifies a 12-bar moving average.
🔹 The number 26 denotes the moving average of the preceding 26 bars.
🔹 The 9 is a moving average of the difference between the two moving averages mentioned above.
When it comes to the MACD lines, there is a widespread misperception.
There are two lines:
🔺"MACD Line"
🔻"Signal Line"
The two lines that have been drawn are NOT price moving averages.
The MACD Line is the difference (or separation) of two moving averages. Typically, these two moving averages are exponential moving averages (EMAs).
The MACD Line is the "faster" moving average when looking at the indicator.
The MACD Line in our previous example is the difference between the 12- and 26-period moving averages.
The MACD Line's moving average is the Signal Line.
When viewing the indication, the Signal Line is the "slower" moving average.
The slower moving average plots the previous MACD Line's average. Again, in our previous example, this would be a 9-period moving average.
By default, most charts employ a 9-period exponential moving average (EMA).
This indicates that we are plotting the average of the last 9 periods of the "faster" MACD Line as our "slower" moving average.
The Signal Line's aim is to mellow down the sensitivity of the MACD Line.
The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line is represented in the Histogram.
It depicts the distance between the two lines graphically.
It may occasionally offer you an early warning that a crossover is going to occur.
When we look at our original chart, we can see that the histogram grows as the two moving averages (MACD Line and Signal Line) separate.
The faster moving average (MACD Line) is "diverging" or moving away from the slower moving average (Signal Line), resulting in a MACD divergence.
The histogram shrinks as the moving averages move closer together. Because the faster moving average (MACD Line) is "converging" or approaching the slower moving average (Signal Line), this is referred to as convergence .
That is how you get the name Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
So now you are aware of what MACD performs. Let us now demonstrate what MACD can achieve for YOU.
🔸 MACD Trading Guide
Given that there are two moving averages with differing "speeds," it stands to reason that the faster one will respond to changes in price more quickly than the slower one.
The faster line (MACD Line), which reacts first to a new trend, finally crosses the slower line (Signal Line).
It frequently signifies the emergence of a new trend when this "crossover" takes place and the fast line begins to "diverge" or move away from the slower line.
The fast line passed UNDER the slow line in the previous chart, correctly identifying a new downtrend.
You'll see that the Histogram briefly vanished when the lines intersected.
This is due to the fact that there is no difference between the lines at the moment of the cross.
The histogram increases as the downtrend takes hold and the fast line begins to diverge from the slow line, which is a sign of a strong trend.
Let's look at an illustration.
The fast line passed over the slow line in the above 1-d chart of BTC/USD, and the histogram vanished. This implied that the brief downward trend might eventually turn around.
After that, the BTC/USD launched a new upswing and immediately shot up.
🔴 BUT The MACD has one disadvantage.
Moving averages naturally lag behind price. It's only an average of past prices, after all.
Keep in mind that the MACD indicator has three parts:
🔹The MACD Line which represents the difference between two moving averages.
🔹The Signal Line which is a moving average of the MACD Line.
🔹The Histogram which is a graphical representation of the distance between the MACD Line and Signal Line.
However, MACD is still one of the favorite tools of many traders and mine, of course )
If you liked the post and it was useful to you - click <>, let newcomers see! Leave your comments, I'll be so pleased!
Sincerely yours Kateryna
MACD: Everything You Need To Know!The MACD indicator consists of three parts: the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line, and the histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line.
Let's break this down a little further. The MACD line is a measure of the difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMAs. When the 12-period EMA is above the 26-period EMA, the MACD line will be positive. When the 12-period EMA is below the 26-period EMA, the MACD line will be negative.
When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's considered a bullish signal. This indicates that the trend is likely to continue upward. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it's considered a bearish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue downward.
One of the most popular ways to use the MACD indicator is by looking for crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's considered a bullish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue upward. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it's considered a bearish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue downward.
But using MACD isn't just about looking for crossovers. There are several other ways to use the indicator to make informed trading decisions. For example, you can use the MACD histogram to identify divergences between price and the MACD indicator, which can signal a potential trend reversal.
Using MACD To Identify Long Term TrendsHow can we tell whether a downturn is just a normal part of a solid bull market, or the beginning of a major downdraft? We need to have a way to identify when long-term trends are changing.
One way to guard against being caught on the opposite side of a trend is to apply technical indicators that can isolate major trend shifts and reduce psychological biases. Specifically, technical indicators based on moving averages reduce the noise that characterizes the stock market.
We can argue about the fundamental valuation of a company, but we cannot argue whether a stock’s price is above or below historical moving averages. In analysis based on moving averages, the focus is less on why the market should move up or down, and more on what the current market dynamics are from a supply-and-demand perspective.
Today there are more opportunities than ever for a decoupling of price from fundamentals. This is fueled in part by retail investors, who have access to information and tools that previously were available only to institutional investors, and social media in which market players can talk up stocks.
This is where MACD, or “moving average convergence-divergence” indicator, comes in. It was developed in the 1970s and is widely accepted by technical analysts as one of the best ways to identify prevailing trends. It is available on just about every charting platform, most of which allow for revision of the indicator’s standard parameters.
The standard MACD consists of a spread between the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages of a stock’s closing prices, which is then smoothed by a signal-generating line derived from the 9-period exponential moving average of the spread.
A long-term trend-following overlay is afforded by the MACD applied to the monthly bar chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX). It provides a visual gauge of the primary trend, and it identifies major turning points when the two lines that comprise the MACD cross over. The crossovers provide “buy” signals and “sell” signals that may more clearly indicate when the long-term trend has shifted.
To illustrate this, the chart goes back 1999. The price bars are colored green to reflect positive or improving MACD readings, and red to reflect negative or deteriorating MACD readings. Bullish and bearish crossovers are denoted by up and down arrows. Generally, it has been good to be long equities when the bars are colored green, which has typically been associated with uptrends. It tends to be a more difficult environment for investors when the bars are colored red, which is typically associated with a sideways or lower trend.
It was 2008 that technical analysis really became noticed on Wall Street. The SPX had seen its monthly MACD flash a “sell” signal in November 2007, a month before it broke down, and it did not flash a “buy” signal until a few months after the March 2009 low. The bearish reversal caught many off guard, but those who used the MACD were quicker to minimize exposure, bringing attention to the field of technical analysis as a viable discipline for risk management.
MACD “buy” and “sell” signals do not capture pivots until after-the-fact, but the signals are not too late to take advantage of long-term turnarounds. Sometimes they even precede bear markets, as in 2000 and 2007. Note that the MACD flashed a “sell” signal in January 2000, before the tech bubble burst, and did not flip to a “buy” signal until May 2003, before a sustained bull market move began.
Whipsaws are not uncommon, but they are short-lived, and often associated with shifting trends like in 1999 and 2015, so even false signals can have value. The bulk of uptrends and downtrends were captured by the MACD despite its inherent lag. The MACD is not a trading system, so a “sell” signal need not be interpreted as a reason to move to 100% cash in a portfolio, but rather an indication to position more defensively.
Traders often refine long-term MACDs with shorter-term MACDs, evaluating them alongside other momentum and overbought/oversold indicators for a holistic view. Since technical analysis is based on concrete data, there is broad agreement on the merits of MACD, although different preferences and parameters can be applied.
So, what does MACD tell us about the current environment? As it stands, the SPX is currently in a bear market cycle and has been since the MACD flashed a “sell” signal at the end of March 2022. Since the “sell” signal, the SPX is down roughly 16% and continues to trend lower. In a down-trending environment, breakouts are more likely to fail, and breakdowns more likely to see downside follow-through. Overbought readings instill fear, whereas oversold readings instill healthy skepticism.
Psychological biases, notably fear and greed, are what makes a market a market, and they can be managed with unbiased input from the MACD. Clear-eyed analysis of the underlying momentum of the market can help us stay on the right side of the prevailing long-term trend.
Adapted from “The New Market Momentum: Reading the Technical Indicators” by Katie Stockton, published on Future.com (June 15, 2021).
Katie Stockton, CMT
Founder and Managing Partner
Fairlead Strategies
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
The MACD explained ! All you need to know about it Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________
In this video, I am gonna explain what is the MACD and how to use it and how to identify buy and sell signals using this indicator.
So what is the MACD, The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator (so a momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool that allows us to determine the strength or weakness of a stock's price movement )
There are a lot of people that use the MACD when they analyze charts because it's very simple and it's very good but I always say never just use 1 indicator to analyze a chart, always try to use at least 3 this way u can make sure that the result is more accurate and the market most likely to move as u analyzed.
let's look at the theory behind the MACD before looking at a real-life example and how to identify buy and sell signals using this indicator :
The typical settings for the MACD are 12 26 and 9.
The MACD consist of 4 parts :
1) Zero line
2) MACD line
3) Signal line
4) Histogram
We start off with our zero line and this is where the MACD line and the signal line move around and basically so if the MACD is trading above the 0 line then it's bullish and if it's under then it's bearish.
Then we have the MACD line and it comes from the 12 26 section, and it gets calculated by subtracting the 26 EMA of the price out of the 12 day EMA of the price.
And after that we have a second line that gets plotted from the 9 section so basically, it’s a moving average for the MACD line so it tries to smooth the MACD line and give us some signals and it's called the signal line.(it's called a signal line because that's where we get our buy and sell signals from)
So on top of that, we have another part in this indicator which is called the histogram. So this histogram job is to show how close these lines will crossover, so when the distance between the MACD line and the signal line is far the histogram gets bigger and bigger.
So how do we use this indicator :
1) Crossovers between the MACD line and the Signal line.
* When the MACD line crosses above the Signal line then its a buy signal (Bullish Crossover)
* When the MACD line crosses below the Signal line then its a sell signal (Bearish Crossover)
2) The Histogram .
A lot of people use histograms as a way to predict when a reversal will occur.
We know that the MACD is a momentum indicator so it can show us when sell pressure is low. And that means it might be a good time to buy. And It can tell you when your long position is about to run out of steam and when you should exit.
3) Divergences between the MACD and the Market Price .
A Divergence means that the indicator is not moving in sync with the Market Price and a Reversal could happen (Note that Reversal trading is risky so please calculate your risks before using this Strategy)
always remember that :
Bullish divergence is when the Market price is going down but the MACD is going up.
Bearish divergence is when the Market Price is going up but the MACD is going down.
I hope I’ve made the MACD easy for you to understand and please ask if you have any questions .
Hit that like if you found this helpful and check out my other video about the Moving Average, Stochastic oscillator, The Dow Jones Theory, How To Trade Breakouts and The RSI. links will be bellow
Using the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)MACD – What it is
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is the momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two different moving averages:
1. The 12 period exponential moving average – On Tradingview it is the Fast Length.
2. The 26 periods exponential moving average –On Tradingview it is the Slow Length.
The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26 period EMA from the 12 period EMA.
The Signal line is the 9 period exponential moving average.
These two lines are then plotted on top of each other. These are the two lines you see when you turn on the MACD indicator.
Additionally, there is a histogram that shows the distance between the two lines. Larger bars tell us that the MACD and Signal are further apart.
When it comes to candles, size matters. The larger the candle the more momentum the trend has.
The histogram will turn green when the MACD line is above 0 (bullish) and it will turn red when the MACD line is below 0 (bearish).
Very bearish momentum is shown above. Photo was taken May 23, 2021.
How to use the MACD
The most important thing to know about the MACD is how to read the relationship between the two lines.
I’ve found that the best timeframe to use the MACD with is daily. This is because the MACD is a lagging indicator and using daily data prevents a lot (not all) of false buy and sell signals.
These signals are:
• When the MACD line crosses above the signal line it is a buy signal
• When the MACD line crosses below the signal line it is a sell signal
Additionally, it is best to use the MACD in a trending market; a market with a clearly defined up or down trend.
Using the MACD with trend lines is a very powerful combination.
The reason for this is that if the market is moving sideways, you can see small fluctuations where the MACD and Signal Line cross but the price does not really go anywhere. These are false breakouts.
Therefore, these signals are not automatic buys and sells.
There are ways of confirming the indications from the MACD chart.
One way is a strategy that uses the RSI and MACD together (which is beyond the scope of this text, but I will discuss in my next article).
Another way is to use the MACD with the current trend. So, if you are in an uptrend and then you see a bullish cross, then this is confirmation that you are likely to go higher.
The same is true in reverse.
Also, please note that the cross over happens well after the price either stabilizes or rises. Again, this is because the MACD is a lagging indicator.
Leading Indicator?
Since the MACD and Signal lines are lagging indicators is there something that can be used in a predictive way?
Some traders use the histogram as a way to predict when a reversal will occur.
Since the MACD is a momentum indicator it can show us when sell pressure is alleviating. Meaning it might be a good time to buy.
This doesn’t always work of course, but with good risk management (stop losses) you can often get into a position well before its breakout.
Conversely, it can show you when your long position is running out of steam and can warn you when to get out.
MACD Divergence
Another useful way to use the MACD is to spot divergences.
A bullish divergence, very similar to the RSI, is when the short-term price trend is going down but, the MACD is going up.
Bearish divergence, also very similar to the RSI, is when the price trend is going up but, the MACD is going down.
Trading this way is sometimes not a good idea because you are trading against the trend. Please practice good risk management if you are trading reversals.
Also, notice the buy signal right before the sell signal that is circled. I really want to hammer home the point that the signals are not automatic buys and sells.
Price action is a great way to confirm the reversal (to the up or down side) of a trend. Because simply spotting a divergence does not guarantee the price will follow.
Final thoughts
As you can see there are different ways of successfully using the MACD. I hope I’ve made a few of these ways clear in this beginner guide.
Please let me know if you have any questions and if you like it, please hit the thumbs up and be sure to follow for more.
Links to my Fibonacci Retracement and RSI guides are below.
Thanks for reading!