Get started

Stocks!

Roller Coaster Indicator Suite, Futures, Forex, Stocks & CryptoA look out our Roller Coaster Indicator suite using examples of forex, stocks, futures and cryptocurrency. Highlighting the need to understand trade size when comparing risk to reward. Also how to identify the best time frame to trade for the instruments that you trade. This Roller Coaster Indicator suite has an 83% win rate and uses a Stochastic/MACD Cross with special EMA points of control for entry and trade management. Again, they key is find the sweet spot with regards to the best time frame to trade for each currency pair, stock, futures contract or crypto instrument.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by xBratSoftwareSolutions
MAN AND MONEY vs VIRUS! WHO WILL WIN?The picture of the 2019-nCOV is rapidly evolving. Globally there have been >14,000 cases and >305 deaths. The trajectory of spread of this virus has exceeded SARS (2003). In under 20 days there are 14,544 cases. There were less than 20 cases in the same period for SARS. SARS plateaued off at 8,500 cases after 100 days then fell off. What we're seeing in hard evidence is that nCOV is going rapidly exponential - almost doubling in 20 days what SARS reached in 100 days. 8 countries have effectively quarantined China in various ways. AND NOW - China has told everybody to calm down, that it will maintain financial stability and pump their market with USD$173 Billion from Monday 3rd February 2020. The FED and Australia are considering similar moves. The global economic disruption in what was a 'risk-off' situation, is gonna be serious and probably last well over a year. This doesn't mean that the markets will tank over the next year. It means expect bearish pressure. Think also about an 'endpoint'. How will anybody know when it is safe to open borders, trade and travel in China? If the VIX gets above 53 there is serious trouble! Declarations & Disclaimers: For the avoidance of doubt, this post is only about potential impact of a virus in financial contexts. I take no comfort at all in people suffering and dying. Whilst I am sorry about the human consequences, I deal with the markets as an instrument - like any other. It is not illegal or immoral to exploit the movement of any market for any cause. As usual this is not trading advice. If you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
SP:SPXEducation
by Captain_Walker
How do virus attacks affect Wall Street?This is a very short presentation on how previous virus attacks have affected Wall Street (daily time frame). I go back to 2013, plotting what was seen. This is relevant in relation to the recent Wuhan coronavirus (WCV). Mainstream media have referred to WCV as a "deadly virus". This is frankly nonsense based on current data. The case fatality ratio (CFR) is an important measure in assessing lethality of a virus. The CFR for influenza A(H1N1) in 2009 was 0.45%. For ebola virus, it is overall >50%. For the Wuhan coronavirus (WCV) which may not be one virus strain, the CFR is currently estimated at <3% (I cannot provide references here but people can contact me for links to info). But hold on - the 3% is not (at this time) for large populations of those infected. The average age group of people who have been killed WCV is currently around 60. Did I say 'average'? Yes - I did (which means I know there are some people who have been around 30). Attribution of WCV has also not been 100% caused by WCV either. The 'average' age group may fall (or increase) with time. In summary - ebola is definitely a deadly virus - the markets barely flinched if at all to Ebola. - estimates of lethality of WCV are currently not robust. My conclusion - The media is responsible for selling its news. The media have been irresponsible in feeding panic, in selling its news. News and panic are what rules markets more than hard facts and figures. Will the WCV outbreak be the pin that pricks the bubble? I don't know. It could well be the first of the dominoes to fall, setting off a chain reaction for slow burn down - instead of a serious correction. OR - WCV may well be insignificant. If it is, then expect a raging bull market to rebel! I cannot foresee the future! Declarations & Disclaimers: I am not a virus expert, nor a financial expert. This post is opinion only based on data fully available in the public domain. Opinions here are not be be relied upon in making financial or trading decisions. If you who reads this makes such decisions, your losses are your own - should you suffer a loss. You sue yourself if you lose money.
FOREXCOM:US30Education
by Captain_Walker
REVIEW: DJI (Wall Street), DAX and nuclear options. I've looked into the DJI and the DAX because they are connected. I also considered events affecting the Hong Kong index. In the text below, I consider China's 'nuclear option'. Overall I'd say the probability is greater for the south on these indices (from this point in time). But caution - because there is a residual probability for the north and I can't know how far south the markets may go if the markets are with me. These are very troubled times. 1. The markets are overbought because of QE4.0, lowering of interest rates and high hopes about a China 'Phase one' trade deal. 2. But there is trouble in the Hong Kong Stock market. 3. POTUS signed the Hong Kong Democracy Act which could cause the Chinese to retaliate in some way (nobody knows how). The 15th of December 2019 is an important date on which $160 Billion of tariffs on imports to the USA, get lumped on China or they are withdrawn. If the tariffs are withdrawn, expect markets to head to the moon (stupidly). If the tariffs are applied, expect a correction of some sort. Bond troubles In other trouble China has begun the so called nuclear option of selling off US Treasuries. Note that Treasuries are bonds, which means that money is owed to China by America i.e. they represent a debt owed by the US. Why would China sell off US Treasuries - which are debts owed to China? Perhaps because China expects the US Dollar to be worth less in times to come. It's like this - if I lend you money fixed in USD value, and then you decide to devalue your US dollar by various means, it means I'm getting back less value. For an exploration of Bonds go here . China holds about $1.2 Trillion of US debt. A sell off of US Treasuries is said to destabilise financial markets. How - is a separate complex story. The point is that China's retaliation on the Hong Kong Act could be this 'nuclear option'. The point of all this is that there are complex issues affecting the markets. Disclaimer: Nothing shared here is investment advice or encouragement to trade in securities. If you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30Education
by Captain_Walker
1
Analysis of Recent Winning 5th Wave Trade on GNRCOn October 15th 2019 we posted a trade idea on our TradingView Profile >>>HERE<<< for a potential 5th wave long swing trading opportunity on GNRC. This video explains the subsequent bullish move to hit our original 5th wave target and then a further 5th wave swing trading opportunity. This is a great example of our Elliott Wave Indicator suite in action during strong trending moves on Stocks, but is also as effective on Forex,Futures, Commodities and crypto currencies.
NYSE:GNRCEducation
by xBratSoftwareSolutions
GAME OVER! The big man says 'Game Over'. Well for traders the 'Game' may just be about to start or restart. This is geopolitical news - the important kind that could rock markets (stocks and forex) all over the globe. I point out some important findings from the Mueller investigation report (which I declare as accurate summary statements). I show possible market moves on two charts. Note carefully that some of the big issues from Mueller, sequester around the alleged attempts by Trump to remove Mueller himself, and then cover up the 'tracks'. Jerrold Nadler - House Judiciary Committee Chairman - has reported on disturbing evidence pointing to the President's obstruction of justice (be careful - this is not my opinion - I only report what was said). Full text here . So - I'm befuddled as to how Mr Trump can declare "No corruption. No collusion" with such confidence. Further more Mr Trump derides the very report which from his perspective, finds no wrongdoing on his part! I just don't get it. Full redacted report (in the public domain). Sunday Wall Street is gonna be interesting. I'll be reporting on Wall Street moves over the weekend. Stay tuned. Note & Disclaimer: No recommendation is made about going long or short on any market. Traders taking decisions are not to rely on my perceptions or opinions. Your risks are your totally your own.
Education
by Captain_Walker
FIB, RSI, MACD, AND BREAKOUT PATTERNS ARE TRASH! (MUST WATCH!)I'm aware the title has offended you. Read through this post anyway, I'm sure I touch up on your complaints. Stop forming your identity around your strategy. Even I am not immune to this. it’s all too common to form a personal relationship with the tools you’re using to trade. Whether that’s the indicators on your chart, your Gann shooting star wave pattern Fibonacci double top, or your boutique breakout patterns. It doesn’t matter how bland, innovative, common it is or if it’s the “golden standard” everyone worships and trusts. I’m happy that you like it and found something you identify with. It should be nice and comfy for you to settle into that confirmation bias, “Mm, yes it is indeed a double top” as you scroll through the fifth page of the Tradingview ideas section, pinpointing the chart that agrees with you. There’s a better way to do things. I don’t care what you’re using, maybe, just maybe, there’s a way to improve your strategy. I can confirm this idea is seen as wildly offensive. Ask someone why their strategy works and they’ll cringe like you just asked them if their spouse is cheating. “How dare you question their effectiveness! I’ll let you know we have a long history together and I love them very much.” I’m sure you do, but have you noticed some of the warning signs? They’re all right there in front of you. It may not feel good when I ask, but if the signs are there and 3/4ths of marriages fail, it wouldn’t sit well with me if I didn’t speak up just to keep you comfy cozy. Analogies aside, your “spouse” is your strategy. The warning sign is that you keep on losing trades, blaming your loses on “volatility” without wanting to admit what the real problem is. Perhaps you’re still green for now, just wait for a larger sample size of a trade history. Much like your imaginary marriage, the odds are wildly against you. Why do you think 95 plus percent of traders fail? You can massage data however you like, the problem is at some point you decided to stop improving because you got confident. If you met a tribe in the wilderness who planted fish in their fields as “an offering to their gods” in order to grow bigger crops, what do you do? Do you keep quiet about their ways? Sure, their crops WILL grow larger because of this tradition, but not for the reasons they believe. Would providing them industrial fertilizer and a crop rotation plan improve their crop output? Absolutely, but that would require that they admit they’re wrong and would be contrary to their identity. You’d get the response “but it’s worked for us so far! What we’re using is a proven standard.” Their blind faith in their dogma would prevent them from seeing that maybe, just maybe their is a better way to do things. If you don’t know why something works, you need to be skeptical regardless of how effective it is. Don’t be satisfied with mediocrity, comfort and undeserved confidence will only get you so far. There will always be someone with more experience, money, knowledge, and connections than you. You’ve brought a knife to a gun fight and have decided not to pick up the gun because you got some lucky stabs in. What’s worse is this even isn’t a gunfight, it’s thermonuclear war between institutional investors. If you're a middle school basketball star, do you cry when you skin your knees after getting fouled when you chose to play street ball in downtown Detroit? No, because you should have known what you were getting into, and if you do cry, all the street ballers will tear you to shreds. If you don't want to play street ball and learn to play like everyone else does, go back to your middle school basketball court. If you can't understand why you keep getting hurt trading crypto and are unwilling to adopt the winning fighting style, go back to trading securities. Winners don't need to play by the rules of "golden standard" of TA.  What if the "golden standard" is only so because they're tools that make you predictable for people who know better? If you have the masses all trading the same information, that makes for predictable moves.  Predictable traders make for a predictable market. A predictable market makes for a profitable market. The only reason you've been given the "golden standard" is to provide liquidity for those with more buying power, resources, knowledge, experience and connections than you. Specifically concerning the crypto market, there are additional flaws. "There’s a general point here to make about standard oscillators like RSI: the numbers used for them basically assume conventional markets and typical oscillating ranges. They were not designed to describe dramatically trending coins. In such trends, they tend to go deep into “oversold”/“overbought” territory and persist. You may get several divergences before the one that actually reverses after exhaustion. I wouldn’t call it useless so much as having far lower predictive power than advertised. It’s also something so widely used that you can virtually guaranteed not to have an edge from that information." -acatwithcharts If you ARE interested in a better way to do things, I am inclined to think my findings aren't half bad. Click through the links below and in my signature to learn more about how I do things differently.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by DadShark
10
COMPARISON OF FOREX, STOCKS, AND CRYPTO!In today's video I go in depth on the pros and cons of trading each market. A lot of retail traders complain about aspects of certain markets and use the wrong tools for the job in the market they choose to trade. There are plenty of options for every trader out there! If you are interested in learning more about probability distributions and my proprietary indicators to trade, follow the links below. Also, read the linked trading idea.
DJ:DJIEducation
by DadShark
2
How to use my Indicator/MethodBuy Green Sell Red // it's mainly for swing trading, i use the 3 day / 15 day / monthly charts with it and it works perfectly, // it works good for stocks and cryptocurrency. // you will use heiken ashi chart style and turn on the EMA DOTS indicator. once the indicator is on you will hide the heiken ashi so you only see the dots. // when a green dot appears you buy, if a green dot appears after that green dot you hold your investment. if a red dot appears you sell your position. easy as that. // the standard dots setting will be set to 10 - use this for any chart above 3 days change the dots setting to 6 for 3day charts and below // shorter time frames will be choppy. // larger time frames will be smooth. // *Daytrading smaller timeframes is possible but not recommended.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
1
Slow and Steady WINS the race.Buy Green Sell Red // it's mainly for swing trading, i use the 3 day / 15 day / monthly charts with it and it works perfectly, // it works good for stocks and cryptocurrency. // you will use heiken ashi chart style and turn on the EMA DOTS indicator. once the indicator is on you will hide the heiken ashi so you only see the dots. // when a green dot 0.35% -0.78% -0.78% -6.68% -7.44% -7.44% appears you buy, if a green dot 0.35% -0.78% -0.78% -6.68% -7.44% -7.44% appears after that green dot 0.35% -0.78% -0.78% -6.68% -7.44% -7.44% you hold your investment. if a red dot appears you sell your position. easy as that. // the standard dots setting will be set to 10 - use this for any chart above 3 days change the dots setting to 6 for 3day charts and below // shorter time frames will be choppy. // larger time frames will be smooth. // *Daytrading smaller timeframes is possible but not recommended.
BNC:BLXEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
1
Dow Jones (Wall Street) - crash is an irrelevant issue.I explain in the screencast why I think 'crash' is an irrelevant issue. It is impossible to know whether 'we're in a crash' because a crash can only be discovered well into into it or after it has happened. True trend-followers will appreciate that all one can do is find a suitable trend - and follow it. Simple but I didn't say it was easy. In fact I will assert that true trend followers really don't care whether there will be a crash or the next market melt up. What people (in general) want, is to be able to foretell the future. Sorry, they can't - and no guru has such powers. We might prepare for the future in various ways. This is not ordinary life. It's not everyday activities like trying to find the safest point in time to cross a road. The reality is that markets are wild random things - pure chaos of a different order - where the 'normal rules' we may apply in everyday life just fail miserably. As I've said in other posts, a whole new mindset is needed to manage this very different sort of chaos. With 76 to -90% of real trader accounts consistently losing money (hard data), the battle is not with the charts or the markets. The battle is with yourself and your psychology.
OANDA:US30USDEducation
by Captain_Walker
Big trouble in 'Little China'In this video I review again some evidence that everybody can see with their own eyes. The US30 or the DJI is in trouble. There are observable signs of a trend change in a parabolic picture from the Weekly right down to the 4H time frame. The market is convulsing with hope and greed. But the geopolitical situation is very unstable at at this time, and a terribly overbought market as it is, is pretty fragile. Have a look at some entertaining and informative videos from Francis Hunt which goes into greater detail. DOW Jones - SKULL & BONES day crash to be real deal! Dow Jones and US Indices in deep sell off more serious then most suspect
DJ:DJIEducation
by Captain_Walker