Gold Lacks a Healthy CorrectionGold has been trending steadily within an ascending channel, with buyers keeping control and driving price higher and higher.
And recently price broke above the channel, but it lacked conviction and price is falling back inside the channel.
This might signal buyer exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. If sellers take over decisively, price could retrace back toward the middle or lower boundary of the channel for a healthy correction.
Community ideas
BTC - Distribution after ATH sweepMarket Context
Bitcoin has completed a clear liquidity sweep at the all-time high (ATH) and is now transitioning into a corrective phase. After taking all the liquidity above the prior high, price aggressively rejected and shifted structure to the downside, signaling that smart money may now be engineering a retracement. The move lower has found a temporary pause within a lower accumulation zone where liquidity is rebuilding.
Fair Value Gaps & Manipulation
Following the ATH sweep, price manipulated back into a fair value gap (FVG) chain, where it met resistance. This area acted as a precise reaction point, rejecting further bullish attempts and confirming the FVG as an active supply zone. Each touch into this chain has resulted in lower highs, supporting the idea that distribution is underway. The fair value gaps below are likely to be targeted next as price seeks efficiency.
Liquidity Dynamics
Liquidity above has already been collected — the current draw now lies beneath. The accumulation zone below current price holds resting sell-side liquidity, and the market could aim to fill those inefficiencies before finding new demand. A retracement into these lower levels would act as a healthy correction to the prior bullish impulse, maintaining structural balance.
Final Thoughts
The market has shifted from an aggressive expansion phase to a potential distribution stage. With liquidity taken at the highs and FVGs now providing resistance, the bias leans toward a corrective move lower before any renewed bullish continuation. A break below the local accumulation floor would confirm deeper targets.
If this breakdown helped clarify the current BTC structure, a like is always appreciated — and let me know: are you positioning for the correction, or waiting for the next bullish leg to form?
EURAUD Signal : H2 / H4 : Big Long !!!Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURAUD ?
This correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity, with potential for a move back toward the recent highs.
EURAUD H2 / H4
Market price : 1.7620
Buy limit : 1.7600 - 1.7550
Tp1 : 1.7700
Tp2 : 1.7820
Tp3 : 1.7940
Tp4 : 1.8150
Sl : 1.7430 ( 145 pip )
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Remember this is a position that was found by me and it is a personal idea not a financial advice, you are responsible for your loss and gain.
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
S&P 500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Signal!? As US500 Eyes New HighUpdate on 📈US500
A confirmed breakout above a significant daily resistance level was observed.
Subsequently, the market retested the breached structure and initiated consolidation within a narrow range on the 4-hour timeframe.
The range resistance was breached yesterday, which constitutes a strong intraday bullish signal.
Further upward movement may extend to the 6800 level.
Lingrid | GOLD Psychological Barrier Cleared Upside IntactThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues its climb inside the upward channel, holding above the key 4,000 support after a clean rebound. Price action shows consistent higher lows supported by the upward trendline, signaling sustained bullish momentum. As long as the 4,000 level remains intact, a move toward 4,100 and potentially higher remains in play. The structure points to buyers consolidating for another extension within the ongoing trend.
⚠️ Risks:
A break below 4,000 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 3,950 support.
Rising U.S. yields or FOMC meeting may dampen gold’s momentum.
Profit-taking near psychological resistance could slow short-term upside continuation.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bitcoin will Bounce From Pennant Support and Rally HigherHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has recently undergone a major transition from bearish to bullish, following a decisive reversal from the 111700 support level. This shift triggered a breakout from the previous descending channel and gave rise to a new upward pennant pattern, a clear signal of strengthening bullish sentiment. After setting a new all-time high around 126000, BTC has entered a short-term corrective phase, retracing toward the 120600 area, which coincides with both the pennant’s ascending support line and a key horizontal support zone. To me, this pullback looks like a textbook healthy correction within an ongoing uptrend, allowing the market to consolidate before the next move higher. I anticipate that buyers will step in around this level, defending the support and initiating a strong rebound. If the price holds and bounces off the pennant’s support line, it could trigger a bullish breakout, resuming the upward momentum. Based on this outlook, my TP target remains set at 125500. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
The Pullback Playbook: Buy the Dip or Bail Out?Markets don’t go up in straight lines. Even the strongest trends pause, retrace, and test your conviction.
These pauses are called pullbacks and they can either be healthy breathers before the next leg higher or the first cracks in a trend about to fall apart. The challenge for traders is knowing the difference.
📉 What Exactly Is a Pullback?
Think of a pullback as a temporary trend halt, not necessarily a crash. The price moves against the prevailing trend for a short period, testing support levels or shaking out weak hands before deciding where to go next. They’re common, normal, and — if managed right — they’re opportunities rather than threats.
But here’s where it gets tricky: not all pullbacks are trend halts. Some are the start of a flat-out reversal. And unless you’re comfortable holding through a potential nosedive, you need skills and tools to tell which is which.
🧐 Pullbacks vs. Trend Reversals
So how do know if you’re looking at a pullback or a trend reversal? The main differentiating factor is the length of the move. The healthy pullback looks orderly — modest in size, controlled in volume, and often retracing to familiar moving averages or support zones.
A healthy pullback might retrace 3-5% in a bull run, testing the 20- or 50-day moving average before bouncing higher.
A trend reversal barrels through multiple support levels in days, erasing weeks of gains. It’s often sharper, louder, and driven by news or panic.
Signs of a healthy pullback include:
• Price holding above key moving averages (20, 50-day. Some stretch to the 100-day but these tend to be rare — it’s more likely a trend reversal by then).
• Volume shrinking on the way down, then swelling on the rebound.
• Oscillators like RSI cooling off from overbought territory without plunging into oversold.
Trend reversals look more like:
• Breaks of multiple support levels in one go.
• Heavy, accelerating sell volume.
• Headlines driving panic: tariffs, central bank surprises, data releases from the Economic calendar , crypto exchange blowups, or noise coming from the Earnings calendar .
📊 Technical Tools to Judge the Dip
Charts can’t predict the future, but they can help you gauge probabilities. Pullbacks often line up with Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, or horizontal support and resistance levels.
• Moving Averages : If price pulls back to the 50-day and holds, that’s often a green light for trend continuation. If it slices straight through the 100-day? Not so healthy.
• Trendlines : Respecting the line = confidence. Breaking it = trouble.
• Volume : Low-volume pullbacks suggest sellers aren’t that committed. High-volume dumps are red flags.
None of these are crystal balls. But together, they give you a framework to avoid buying every dip.
🏄♂️ The Psychology of Buying the Dip
Why do traders love dips? Because everyone wants a discount. A pullback offers a chance to jump on a trend at a better price, and social media culture has turned “buy the dip” into a meme strategy. But memes don’t pay the bills when a dip turns into a crater.
The psychology works both ways:
• Optimists see dips as golden tickets.
• Pessimists see them as traps.
• Realists know both can be true, depending on the setup.
Being aware of your own bias — whether you lean toward buying too early or panicking too soon — is half the battle.
🔄 Asymmetric Risk and the Smart Bet
Here’s where it gets interesting. You don’t need to be right all the time if your risk-reward ratio is skewed in your favor. A tight stop and a wide target can mean one win cancels out several small losses.
Imagine risking 1% to potentially make 10%. Even if you’re wrong most of the time, the math can work. Pullbacks are prime territory for asymmetric setups: smart, thought-out entries, clear invalidation points (below support, trendline breaks), and attractive upside if the trend resumes.
This doesn’t mean chasing every dip. A pullback can wipe your position clean if you’ve placed your stop loss a little too close, a little too early.
⏳ Timing Matters
The biggest mistake with pullbacks is trying to catch the exact bottom. Traders love to brag about nailing the wick, but most who try end up paying for it. Smarter is to wait for confirmation — a bounce, a reversal candle, a break back above a short-term moving average.
Yes, you may miss the lowest price. But you’ll also miss buying into a freefall.
🌍 Pullbacks in Context
Context is everything. A dip in a raging bull market is not the same as a dip in a shaky sideways market. Macro matters too. If the Fed is cutting rates , risk assets might rebound fast. If tariffs, wars, or inflation are spiking, a pullback could turn into something bigger and deeper.
That’s why traders zoom out before diving in. Daily charts tell one story; weekly charts often tell the bigger tale.
🚀 Buy or Bail?
So, do you buy the dip or bail out? The honest answer is: it depends. A well-structured pullback in a strong uptrend with unchanged fundamentals is an opportunity.
A violent, volume-heavy selloff in a fragile market with cracked fundamentals is a warning.
The pullback dilemma isn’t just about charts but also about psychology. Can you hold your nerve when the market wobbles, or will you cut and run? Both choices can be right in the right context.
🎯 Final Takeaway
Pullbacks are part of every trend’s DNA. They test conviction, patience, and risk management. The key isn’t to predict every wiggle but to recognize whether price action is just cooling off or signaling something bigger.
Stay disciplined, respect your stops, and let the chart, not the noise, tell you when it’s time to stay in or step aside.
Off to you : Buy the dip? Or bail out? How do you respond to expected and unexpected market pauses? Let us know your coping mechanism in the comments!
XAU/USD – Uptrend Persists After a Brief CorrectionHello everyone,
Gold is currently taking a natural pause after an impressive October rally. After reaching a peak near $4,036, prices pulled back slightly to around $4,021, yet the overall structure remains firmly bullish. The stepwise Fair Value Gaps (FVG) continue to form and fill shallowly — a healthy sign that the market is simply “breathing” before making its next move.
On the 4H chart, the Ichimoku cloud remains beneath price and is sloping upward, serving as a strong dynamic support zone. The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is intact, confirming that buying momentum continues to dominate. The $4,021 area aligns with a freshly formed FVG, while $4,000 acts as both a psychological and structural support level — both zones that buyers may use to reload positions.
Conversely, resistance lies near $4,036, and if broken decisively, gold could extend toward $4,050–$4,100 in the short term. The base case remains a shallow pullback to $4,021 or $4,000 before a continuation higher, possibly breaking prior highs.
What do you think — will gold soon break above $4,050, or does it need one more test before heading higher?
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets...
Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold.
Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100
Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986
Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Bullish Setup Targeting New ATHThis XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows gold trading around 4039 with a bullish setup. Price is respecting the support trend line, confirming upward momentum. Key support is marked near 4001, providing a strong base for buyers.
The chart highlights the previous ATH at 4060 and projects a potential breakout towards a new all-time high at 4115. The structure suggests a possible short-term pullback to retest support before continuing higher. As long as the trend line holds, the bias remains bullish with upside targets at 4058, 4087, and finally 4115.
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks into $4K Zone – Eyes on $4084 Next!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price finally entered the historic $4000 channel today and even surged up to $4050!
It’s now trading around $4042, and if gold manages to stay above $4028, we can expect further bullish movement.
The next upside targets are $4060, $4070, and $4084 — keep a close eye on the price reaction, especially around $4084!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Gold has just experienced an incredible surge, briefly reaching 4059 USD, setting a new historic high. This recent upward movement continues to be supported by the ongoing US government shutdown and various geopolitical uncertainties, which have pushed the price of this precious metal to new heights.
From a technical perspective, at the time of writing, XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback. However, the most favorable path remains upward, and there are no signs yet of a deep correction threatening the precious metal. Any short-term correction is seen as a buying opportunity, especially as gold remains a safe haven. The next target is 4100 USD. 💬Do you think this will happen?
TSLA – Mild Pullback Before Resuming Its Upward TrajectoryHello everyone,
Tesla (TSLA) is showing a healthy technical pullback after an impressive rally, yet the broader bullish trend remains intact. The stock is currently hovering around $438.69, down 4.5% in the latest session — a move that reflects short-term profit-taking rather than a shift in market sentiment.
On the news side, Tesla has just unveiled lower-cost versions of the Model 3 and Model Y — a strategic decision aimed at expanding its mid-range customer base. However, the market’s reaction has been somewhat cautious, possibly due to concerns over shrinking profit margins as prices drop. Nevertheless, this move allows Tesla to strengthen its global footprint and improve competitiveness, particularly in key markets like China and Europe.
At the same time, the company continues to advance its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the Robotaxi project — seen as Tesla’s long-term growth pillars. Once fully realised, autonomous mobility services could unlock significant recurring revenue, reinforcing investor confidence even amid short-term corrections.
From a technical perspective, the 4H chart indicates that price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that the uptrend still dominates. Shallow Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have been filled, hinting that price might retest support before rebounding. The $430–$420 area serves as a critical support zone, while resistance stands near $440 and $445. A clear breakout above $440 could open the path toward $450–$460.
Overall, Tesla appears to be consolidating within a natural pause rather than reversing. As long as the $420 level holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
What about you — do you see this pullback as a springboard for new highs, or the start of a longer consolidation phase for TSLA?
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1H chart idea yesterday, please see the update on our 4H chart idea that was also shared on Sunday.
This chart idea has been playing out beautifully with our bullish target at 3894 being hit, followed by the EMA5 cross and lock above, opening 3939, which also hit perfectly.
We then saw a further cross and lock above 3939, which opened 3979 and then a lock above also opening 4025, again both hit perfectly, pure level to level trading in action!
We now have a final lock above this level, with the final gap left above at 4066 still open. Any rejection from here, we’ll look to use lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
Previous 4H Chart Setup (for reference)
We were watching price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We expected an EMA5 cross and lock on either side to determine the next range.
Price has respected our structure perfectly, testing levels side by side before breaking and locking higher to confirm the bullish continuation.
Our level to level framework continues to deliver consistent 20–40 pip bounces from dips, allowing us to manage both short and midterm swings effectively.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3894 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3939 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3979 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4025 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4066
BEARISH TARGETS
3839
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3741
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3688
3648
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Impulse and Correction — XAUUSD-GOLD InformationElliott Wave Perspective on Gold
Gold is now testing the $4,000 level, marking one of its historic highs. On a yearly basis, the metal has been in a strong uptrend for a long time. But Elliott Wave Theory reminds us: no impulse lasts forever — every rally hides a correction.
At some point, this climb will lose steam and give way to a pullback. The real question is when — and that timing is known only by the market movers. Elliott’s structure shows us probabilities, not certainties.
👉 Consider this purely educational and informational. One day we will see sharp drops in gold, because just as every relentless rally comes with a relentless fall, gold is no exception.
💬 My friends, every single like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thank you to all who support me with your likes.
ETH/USDT: Two shortsHi guys!
Overall Market Structure
The price has been moving within a rising parallel channel, making higher highs and higher lows, which forms a bullish structure.
Recently, however, the price broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel, signaling a potential bearish reversal or a correction phase.
The recent bounce toward the previous channel support (now resistance) forms a potential short entry zone.
📉 Short Position 1 (Aggressive Entry)
Entry: Around $4,485–$4,500
Reasoning: Price retested the broken channel support line (now acting as resistance).
Stop-Loss: Above $4,575, just beyond recent swing high/structure break.
Take-Profit: Around $4,345.
Risk–Reward: Approx. 1:2
📉 Short Position 2 (Conservative Entry / Continuation Setup)
Entry: After a confirmed lower high and bearish candle close below $4,450.
Reasoning: Confirms momentum shift toward the downside.
A break and retest of $4,345 support could open the way to $4,090, the next demand zone.
Stop-Loss: Above $4,510 (recent minor resistance).
Take-Profit: Around $4,090 (bottom of marked green area).
Risk–Reward: Approx. 1:3 or higher
Gold Holds 4,010 Ahead of Powell as Shutdown Clouds CPI OutlookHey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re keeping a close eye on XAUUSD for a potential buy setup around the 4,010 zone. Gold remains in a broader uptrend, and the current pullback brings price action near a key support and trend confluence that could attract fresh buyers.
All eyes are on Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today. With the U.S. government shutdown disrupting key economic releases, including a possible delay of next week’s CPI data, Powell’s tone could heavily influence short-term Dollar sentiment—and by extension, Gold momentum.
If Powell hints at policy caution amid data uncertainty, the safe-haven narrative could re-emerge quickly. We’ll be watching closely for a potential technical trigger to align with the macro backdrop.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
Yen Slips as New Fiscal Policies Emerge:GBPJPY Watching 203.900!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring GBPJPY for a potential buying opportunity around the 203.900 zone. The pair remains in a broader bullish structure, and price is currently in a corrective phase, approaching a key trendline and support confluence near 203.900.
On the fundamental side, Japan’s latest election outcome brought a notable shift — a fiscally loose administration expected to keep stimulus running while maintaining pressure on the Bank of Japan to avoid tightening. This mix of expansive fiscal policy and dovish monetary stance could continue to weigh on the Yen, offering support to GBPJPY upside momentum in the short term.
Trade safe,
Joe.
SILVER (XAG/USD): Bullish Rally ContinuesIt appears that 📈SILVER is expected to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching the 50.00 psychological level.
The observed break of structure on the 4-hour chart suggests a strong presence of buyers.
Given the lack of significant US news today, the market is anticipated to maintain a bullish sentiment.
EURUSD: Remains Bearish Despite FOMC MinutesEURUSD: Remains Bearish Despite FOMC Minutes
From our previous analysis, EURUSD achieved two of our targets.
EURUSD remains bearish. Price tested 1.1650 after the FOMC minutes yesterday, but as we can see, the USD is holding up well despite the US Government shutdown.
The fact that the FOMC is cutting interest rates is giving the USD a breather. Many of the Fed members want the rate cut to be 25 basis points and one wanted it to be 50 basis points. The fact that they started this rate cut cycle remains important. It should support the economy in general.
Despite the USD having had very high interest rates for a long time, it was weak despite what should have been the opposite move.
We may finally have a balance and this optimism could support USD strength and could move EURUSD lower as shown on the chart near 1.1400 where it was during early August 2025.
Main targets:
1.1540 and 1.1440
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️