World gold prices fall when the USD index is anchored highInvestors are expressing caution ahead of the US Presidential election and the upcoming decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED) on interest rates.
Today (November 5), the US presidential election will take place. Public opinion polls show that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump are closely tied in the race for the White House.
UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo shared: "The driving force for gold this week will be the US presidential election. If Donald Trump wins, the gold price will move faster closer to the target of 2,900 USD/ ounces, gold will likely fall if Ms. Kamala Harris wins.
Meanwhile, the Fed's interest rate decision is unlikely to create much change, because the bank will likely signal further cuts in line with market expectations."
🔥 XAUUSD BUY LIMIT 2727 - 2725🔥
✅TP1: 2755
✅TP2: 2765
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2724
🔥 XAUUSD SELL LIMIT 2753 - 2751🔥
✅TP1: 2745
✅TP2: 2735
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2760
[b]forex
USD/JPY on the Rise: Aiming for 154 and Beyond if 151 HoldsHere’s the lowdown: USD/JPY is hanging out at the 151 support level. If this zone holds, we’re looking at a nice ride up to 152.47—and possibly higher! First take-profit at 154.23, and if we break that, we’re cruising to 155.80 and even 157.
Simple Breakdown:
Solid Support at 151
Right now, 151 is the key spot to watch. If we hold above this, it’s a good sign USD/JPY has the strength to keep climbing.
Target Levels on the Way Up
First Stop: 152.47
This is our first target, so keep an eye on the price action here to see if we’ve got the momentum.
Take-Profit Zone 1: 154.23
If we reach this level, it’s a great spot to lock in some gains. Think of it as the first surf break!
Take-Profit Zone 2: 155.80
If 154 clears, next stop is 155.80. This is where the ride gets exciting.
High-End Target: 157
If USD/JPY stays strong and keeps moving, 157 is the ultimate stretch goal on this wave.
Trading Tip
Stay flexible with your levels. If 151 holds, ride the trend and take profits at each level to keep it smooth. Relax, set your zones, and let the market show you the way!
MINDBLOOME TRADING / KRIS
Where Trading Meets Wellness : Mindbloome Exchange
ETHUSDT Price Analysis November 5, 2024Ethereum (ETH) recently experienced a bearish breakout below the main trendline on the 4-hour chart, signaling potential downside momentum in the near term. Currently, ETHUSDT is trading around 2.421, with both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA acting as resistance above, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
What do you think about this analysis? Do you see Ethereum recovering or is it likely to continue falling?
Bearish drop for the Kiwi?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5986
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6024
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5913
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD has reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6582
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6535
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6649
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD Hits the “Shield” of Resistance: Correction or Rebound?Currently, XAUUSD is facing a strong resistance zone at 2,748 USD/oz, with the 34 EMA acting as a “shield” that deflects buyers' recovery efforts.
If the price fails to break through this resistance, it may correct down to the support zone at 2,720 USD/oz, with a potential further dip to 2,705. This area could offer buyers a chance to "get back in the game."
The latest news adds fuel to the fire: Expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates are strengthening the USD, putting pressure on gold prices. However, pre-election uncertainty in the U.S. is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, which could trigger an unexpected rebound if tensions escalate.
Suggested Strategy: Stay calm and observe price reactions as they approach support or resistance levels. This is a moment to exercise patience, waiting for clear opportunities, ready to seize the “wave of opportunity” when the market gives a clearer signal.
GOLD BREAKS ON SUPPORT, $2710 NEXT?We've identified a breakout below the support level on the hourly timeframe. Currently, we are observing a pullback, and we anticipate a continuation of the downtrend toward the support region around $2710. Additionally, the bearish gap opening on the DXY suggests that any effort to fill this gap will likely strengthen the USD, driving XXXUSD pairs further downward.
USD/JPY May Experience Slight DeclineIn Tuesday's Asian trading session, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the US Dollar (USD), moving away from the one-week high reached the previous day. However, the decline in JPY may be limited as traders remain cautious amid the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election, coupled with expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates in December.
At the same time, the ongoing "Trump deal" and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates later this week have led to a decline in US Treasury yields, narrowing the interest rate differential between the US and Japan. This weakens the demand for USD, providing support for JPY. Additionally, a weaker risk sentiment could favor the Yen and limit significant upside moves in the USD/JPY pair.
With resistance at 152.337, the USD/JPY pair may struggle to maintain strong upward momentum. If the price fails to break above this level, the likelihood of a downward correction increases, with the nearest support levels at 151.500 and 151.000. However, if the Yen continues to face pressure from macroeconomic factors such as US election uncertainty or expectations surrounding the BoJ’s monetary policy, the USD/JPY pair may still test the 152.337 resistance again.
Bullish bounce?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.56660
1st Support: 0.56097
1st Resistance: 0.57309
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/NZD is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.10273
1st Support: 1.09686
1st Resistance: 1.10909
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE: FORECAST BEFORE THE ELECTION.Hi everybody,
Identifying Support and Resistance Zones: Based on the chart, the key support zone is found near the 2,730 level, where the price has repeatedly rebounded. The resistance zone is around 2,750 – 2,760, where the price encounters selling pressure.
Current Trend: It is evident that the price is in a slight downtrend following an unsuccessful recovery. Recent trading volume has not spiked significantly, indicating caution in the market.
Short-Term Forecast: If the price breaks below the 2,730 support level with high volume, the downtrend could continue. Conversely, if the price holds and moves above the resistance level, a recovery rally may occur.
Declines Ahead of U.S. Presidential ElectionOn the global market, spot gold prices edged down by 1.8 USD, settling at 2,736.9 USD/ounce, while gold futures also recorded a decline, reaching 2,745.9 USD/ounce. Investors are currently focused on upcoming key events, such as the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
From a technical analysis perspective, the resistance level at 2,747 USD is posing a challenge for gold in the short term, preventing prices from maintaining an upward momentum and exerting pressure for a potential downward correction. Although support at 2,734 USD is helping to prevent a deeper decline, the recovery of gold's upward trend remains difficult.
Overall, the gold market is currently driven by short-term technical factors, while macroeconomic events such as the Fed's decision and the U.S. presidential election will play a crucial role in determining the long-term trend of gold prices. Investors will need to closely monitor support and resistance levels, while also keeping an eye on macroeconomic factors to make informed investment decisions.
Gold price analysis November 4Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in positive territory on Monday. The US presidential election risks and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are likely to support the yellow metal, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. However, renewed demand for the greenback and higher US bond yields could limit gold’s upside as higher yields make non-yielding assets such as bullion less attractive by comparison.
Investors will be closely watching the upcoming US presidential election on Tuesday. Attention will turn to the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Thursday. Uncertainty over the US election outcome is one reason why markets are betting on the Fed cutting interest rates by a conventional 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, rather than repeating its excessive half-point easing.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices were trading sideways in a narrow range at the start of the week. The 2748 and 2728 borders are still guaranteed in today's Asian and European session. We still have to depend on the market volatility to choose the price border zones to trade. The support zones of interest are 2718, 2709. The upper border is noted around 2760 and 2780. When the price breaks out of the 2728 support zone, the main strategy will be to wait for SELL when the sellers have won the market. Wish you a successful trading day.
NZDUSD Is Approaching A Decent ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59950 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BNBUSDT: Potential Downside Direction Ahead !In today's trading session, BNBUSDT is facing clear bearish pressure after breaking the important support zone around $573. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 show that the downtrend is strengthening, and the price has now continued to fall to the $560 area, below the important moving averages, marking a weak signal in the short term.
It is expected that BNBUSDT may continue to correct to the next support levels at $548 and $534 if the selling pressure does not decrease. Moreover, if there is no support signal from positive news or strong price action bounce from the support zone, BNB is likely to fall deeper in the coming period.
SOLUSDT: Strong Correction – Recovery Opportunity?On the daily chart of SOLUSDT, we can see that after a sharp increase and approaching the resistance zone around $180, SOL is now under pressure to correct and reverse. This correction comes amid increasing risk-off sentiment among investors due to the uncertain global economic situation. Moreover, inflation remains high, while central banks around the world, especially the US Federal Reserve (Fed), are still maintaining tight monetary policies.
However, SOLUSDT is still fluctuating around the support zone from the long-term uptrend line. If SOL holds the current support zone and gains buying momentum, there is a high possibility that the price will bounce back and retest the resistance zone of $180.
Good luck everyone!
USDJPY - INTRADAY IDEAExecute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
GOLD - IDEAAfter capturing a bit of scalp towards the upside it's heading towards the downside and can look for LONG once it reaches the mark zone and gives some confirmations on M15.
Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
GPBUSD Bearish Megaphone starting new wave.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bearish Megaphone for the past 30 trading days.
The price may now be supported by the 1hour MA50 but has formed the bearish formation it had on all prior tops under the Falling Resistance.
The 1hour RSI has formed a similar topping pattern.
As a result, this is a standard sell signal for the Bearish Megaphone.
All declines reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, so we can target at least the previous Low at 1.2850.
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The Loss Effect: Why Traders Hold On To Losing Positions📍 In the realm of trading, the psychological weight of losses often outweighs the thrill of gains. This phenomenon, known as loss aversion , refers to the innate human tendency to prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. Within the context of financial markets, this bias can lead traders to stubbornly cling to losing positions, driven by the hope that market conditions will eventually shift in their favor. Consequently, their focus often shifts away from the potential for profit to a preoccupation with preserving their existing capital.
📍 Reasons Traders Avoid Closing Losing Trades
Several psychological factors contribute to traders’ decisions to retain losing trades:
1. Emotional Attachment
Traders are not immune to the emotions that accompany financial decisions. When individuals invest in an asset, they often form an emotional bond with that investment. Experiencing a loss can feel like a personal defeat, stirring feelings of shame, frustration , and anger. This emotional attachment can cloud judgment and impede rational decision-making. Rather than assessing the asset’s current market value objectively, traders may cling to the hope that conditions will improve, in an effort to circumvent the distress associated with acknowledging a loss.
2. Fear of Realizing a Loss
The psychology of loss is complex, with many traders perceiving the act of realizing a loss as more painful than the prospect of missing out on potential gains. This fear can compel traders to hold on to losing positions, hoping that the market will rebound to their initial entry points. By postponing the realization of a loss, they believe they can mitigate its emotional impact. However, this paradoxical reasoning often leads to extended periods in losing positions, even as downward trends become increasingly pronounced.
3. Lack of Confidence in Their Strategy
Traders often rely on specific strategies or analyses when making investment decisions. When the market begins to turn against them, a sense of doubt regarding the validity of their strategy can emerge. This internal conflict can make it challenging for a trader to acknowledge a mistake. Instead of reevaluating their positions and accepting the reality of a loss, they may irrationally hold onto failing trades, hoping for an unexpected turnaround—an approach that typically exacerbates their situation.
4. Challenges with Objective Analysis
Emotional responses can significantly hinder traders’ ability to conduct objective analyses of their positions. Important data and market signals indicating a need to exit a position may be ignored, leading to cognitive dissonance. This disconnect between emotion and analysis often causes traders to remain in unprofitable trades far longer than warranted, despite clear evidence suggesting the necessity of a change in strategy.
5. Cognitive Distortions
Traders are susceptible to a variety of cognitive distortions that can cloud their judgment:
⚫️ Selective Attention: Many traders may emphasize their winning trades while minimizing the importance of their losses. This selective focus can result in a failure to adequately analyze losing positions, leading to the selection bias known as " cherry-picking ."
⚫️ Confirmation Bias: This cognitive bias leads traders to seek out and prioritize information that reaffirms their initial decisions, while disregarding contradictory evidence. As a result, they may grow increasingly reluctant to close losing positions, insisting on data that supports their original decision to invest.
📍 Conclusion: To Hold or Not to Hold Losing Positions?
Deciding whether to maintain or close a losing position ultimately hinges on one's tolerance for losses. If a stock continues to decline in value without signs of recovery, persisting in holding it may be misguided; in such cases, it may be more prudent to exit and then consider purchasing at a more favorable price. However, it is equally ill-advised to close positions at the slightest market correction. The crux of the matter lies in understanding the underlying reasons for the loss. If no fundamental issues exist and the downturn appears temporary—especially when the loss aligns with typical statistical drawdowns—there may be no need to exit the position prematurely. Ultimately, a balanced approach involving emotional detachment and a keen awareness of market dynamics can aid traders in making more informed and strategically sound decisions regarding their positions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
NZD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Is making a pullback from
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.5200 while trading
In a downtrend so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further move down
Sell!
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CHF-JPY Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a bullish rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 175.500 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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