Bitcoin/USDT AnalysisCurrent Price: The chart shows Bitcoin trading at approximately $95,660, with recent downward momentum (-2.11%).
Support Zone: Around $91,800 - $93,500 (gray highlighted region), providing a strong base where price could potentially reverse or consolidate.
Resistance Levels:
$98,200 - $99,000: The first resistance level to watch if the price bounces upward.
$101,000 - $102,000: A secondary resistance zone.
$104,000 - $105,000: A higher resistance zone that aligns with previous peaks.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above the support zone ($91,800 - $93,500), a rebound toward $98,200 and potentially $101,000 is likely. A breakout above $101,000 could pave the way to test the $104,000 - $105,000 range.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $91,800 might signal further declines toward $90,000 or lower levels.
Trend Analysis: The short-term trend appears bearish; however, the support zone may serve as a strong reversal point for a potential upward move.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!As I mentioned, Bitcoin does not have enough volume to break the 0.618 line by the end of the holidays. Therefore, we have to wait and see if Bitcoin can stabilize above 100k in the new year.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin[BTC] - Do you see a similarity ?#BTC/USD #Analysis
Description
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+ Dec 2024 Bitcoin chart looks exactly like the pattern of the Dec-2023
+ In Dec-2023 we saw similar channel formation and price broke down from the support line briefly and then bounce back in January.
+ The same pattern we are seeing now, channel formation completed and price broke down from the support line of the channel.
+ I'm expecting price to decline further upto 85k zone and bounce back from there.
+ A bounce back from this zone will push the bitcoin price parabolic.
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VectorAlgo
BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020.
** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 **
At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now.
** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies **
Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle.
As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020).
** Overdue DXY decline? **
This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason.
So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Playing around weak support#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Currently bitcoin is trading around its support zone of 95K and this is weak support which held and broke multiple times.
+ Strong resistance for bitcoin is around 92K, if bitcoin falls to this level, we can expect the support to hold.
+ I'm expecting a drop in price with a wick to touch 92K and bounce back immediately.
+ If bitcoin breaks below 92K then we can expect further crash to 80K level.
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VectorAlgo
Bitcoin Faces Key Test: Will It Bounce or Drop to $85K?#Bitcoin is staying above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at $94,300, with the 50-day moving average near $93,000 providing support.
If these levels hold, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could start moving up again toward $108,000. But if it drops below, it might fall to the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $85,600.
Watch these key levels for Bitcoin's next move!
DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
BITCOIN DOMINANCE - Clear chart , Clear dataYour trading struggles are summarized in this chart
weekly chart displays breakout a massive rising wedge pattern and now retesting...
Everything is fine as long as you’ve bought your coins at good prices.
All this struggle is simply summarized in this retest.
What’s expected is strong price fluctuation until mid-January, after which things should settle down.
If you’re out of the market and looking to enter, try to do so during the next correction
Bitcoin price is going to wrong way?#bitcoin #btc price has declined twice from the bearish retest zone (as i described in my previous ideas) and it seems CRYPTOCAP:BTC bearish retest is getting succeed. This success means blood for #cryptocurrencies #altcoins .Best to be avoid risks until #btcusd reclaims (if possible) the broken trendline, the parallel channel. Not financial advice.
Is Bitcoin Poised for a Rally? Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMany are asking, where will Bitcoin head next? Looking at this four-hour chart, we can see equal lows and a notable dip into sell-side liquidity. My question is whether this is setting up for a pre-Christmas rally or not. I'll be watching for a potential buy opportunity if we see a bullish market structure break. If that doesn't happen, then there won't be a trade. This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin BTC Is Preparing Last Drop To $89k Before The Rally!Merry Christmas, Skyrexians!
Today BINANCE:BTCUSDT started moving again and this move is downward. That's why it causes a lot of emotions. But we warned you in our last analysis that Bitcoin will reach GETTEX:89K at least before the bull run continuation. Today we will take a look in details how this dump can be finished soon.
Let's take a look at the 1 hour timeframe. When Bitcoin has recently reached the top our new Multilayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy closed all long trades and the dump was without any actions. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After that we have seen the wave A which consists of 5 waves. The next bounce was the wave B zigzag shaped. Today price dropped suddenly and hard, this is the sign that wave C is already in progress. Soon we will see the final target at $89k. From there we can expect the bullish continuation above $120k.
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Skyrexio Team
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This volatility period is until December 28
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The volatility period on the 1W chart is until January 5, 2025.
Even though the price has risen, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
If the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is created at the 94742.35 point when a new candle is created, it is important to check whether there is support near that point.
If it goes down, you should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd points indicated on the chart.
Eventually, the StochRSI indicator fell from the overbought zone and changed to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
If the StochRSI indicator is located near the 50 point when a new candle is created, volatility may occur, so caution is required when trading.
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(1D chart)
The volatility period on the 1D chart is around December 27 (December 26-28).
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise after receiving support near 97821.58-98892.0 after passing this volatility period.
If not, you should check whether the movement occurs as explained in the 1W chart.
If it receives support near 97821.58-98892.0 and rises, it will continue the short-term uptrend.
However, since the high point boundary section is formed in the 101947.24-106133.74 section, whether this section can be broken upward is a point of interest.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently located near the 50 point, there is a high possibility of volatility, so caution is required when trading.
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The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators.
The Signal indicator is the EMA indicator of the DOM indicator.
The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, OBV, and superTrend indicators.
The BW indicator is used to create the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators.
In addition, when it is located below the 0 point, it means that the decline is strong, and when it is located above the 0 point, it means that the rise is strong.
The DOM indicator indicates an upward trend when it rises based on the 0 point, and a downward trend when it falls.
When DOM > Signal is in the state, it is likely to show an upward trend, and when it is the opposite, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, when the BW indicator or DOM indicator shows an upward trend from the 0 point, aggressive buying is possible, and when it rises above the 0 point, it is the time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Bitcoin retreats lower
After completing five waves of accelerated rise, Bitcoin is currently entering a correction downward trend. The current price has broken through the rising channel and rebounded at 92,000, which forms a relatively important support level. If the price falls below this support, the next support range may be close to the starting position of the previous rising wave, around 86,000.
After the price rebounded to 100,000 points, it was under pressure and formed a double top structure. This position is also the previous long-short dividing line. Therefore, overall, Bitcoin is still in the five-wave correction stage in the short term. If 100,000 points cannot be broken, the upward pressure still exists. If the price is suppressed at this position, buying operations will not be considered in the short term.
In the short term, the decline of Bitcoin after the surge is in line with the overall bearish trend. Pay attention to the narrow adjustment of the 97,600-99,500 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can continue to consider shorting. Downward support can focus on the two key points of 94,800 and 92,600.
If you have any different opinions on the market trend, please leave a message and like it. Thank you
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes.
Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box).
It could move from the green box up to the red box.
Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now.
I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets.
Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern.
After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support.
Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Trading Tip:
As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario:
Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly.
Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key.
Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation!
Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)
TURBOUSDT: Promising Setup for Short- to Mid-Term GainsI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Turbo ( OKX:TURBOUSDT ): Promising Setup for Short- to Mid-Term Gains
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.0096522
- Stop-Loss: $0.0063183
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.0150133
- TP2: $0.0230523
Fundamental Analysis:
Turbo ( OKX:TURBOUSDT ) is a meme-inspired cryptocurrency that continues to thrive due to its active community and strong engagement. MYX:TURBO has carved out a niche in the competitive crypto market, leveraging its branding and community dynamics to attract a loyal following. With the recent bullish momentum across meme coins, MYX:TURBO is well-positioned for a potential rally.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe):
- Current Price: $0.0096522
- Moving Averages:
- 50-EMA: $0.0092000
- 200-EMA: $0.0085000
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, signalling growing bullish sentiment.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.0090000
- Resistance: $0.0110000
The 4-hour chart shows OKX:TURBOUSDT forming higher lows, indicating a strengthening trend. If OKX:TURBOUSDT breaks above the immediate resistance at $0.0110000, it could quickly move toward TP1 and beyond.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment for OKX:TURBOUSDT remains positive, driven by increasing trading volumes and renewed interest in meme coins. The broader crypto market recovery provides a supportive backdrop for this move.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $0.0063183 ensures manageable downside risk, while the take-profit targets provide excellent risk-reward ratios. TP1 offers a potential gain of **55%**, and TP2 offers a gain of **139%,** making this setup ideal for swing traders.
Key Takeaways:
- OKX:TURBOUSDT shows strong technical and market momentum, making it a compelling short- to mid-term trade.
- The trade setup offers attractive risk-to-reward ratios for traders seeking to capture the upside potential of meme coin rallies.
- Disciplined adherence to stop-loss and target levels is critical in navigating the volatility of this market.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
GOLD sell setup If you’re planning a **sell entry at 2630** for gold, here’s a detailed plan for your setup:
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### **Sell Entry at 2630**
#### **Rationale for 2630 Entry**:
1. **Resistance Zone**:
- 2630 is a psychological and technical resistance level where sellers might dominate.
2. **Overextension**:
- If gold reaches this level after a strong upward move, it could indicate overbought conditions and exhaustion.
3. **Market Sentiment**:
- Failure to sustain above 2630 would confirm bearish sentiment and likely trigger selling pressure.
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### **Trade Setup Details**
#### **Entry**:
- **Sell at 2630**, ideally after confirming a rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or strong wick rejections).
#### **Stop Loss**:
- Place the stop loss slightly above 2635 to protect against false breakouts.
- Alternatively, use the ATR (Average True Range) to calculate a dynamic stop.
#### **Take-Profit Targets**:
1. **Target 1**: 2620
- This is the next key support and provides a conservative risk-reward.
2. **Target 2**: 2608
- A strong support zone where buyers might re-enter.
3. **Target 3**: 2600
- If the bearish momentum is strong, this level could be reached.
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### **Confirmation Signals Before Entry**
1. **Candlestick Patterns**:
- Look for a rejection near 2630 with patterns such as:
- Shooting Star
- Evening Star
- Bearish Engulfing
2. **Momentum Indicators**:
- **RSI**: Overbought readings (above 70) near 2630 confirm exhaustion.
- **MACD**: A bearish crossover or divergence around 2630 strengthens the sell case.
3. **Volume Analysis**:
- Declining volume on the move up to 2630 indicates a weakening bullish trend.
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### **Risk Management**
- **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: Aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure a favorable outcome.
- Avoid entering immediately if price breaks above 2630 without signs of rejection.
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### **Fundamental Watch**
1. **DXY Correlation**:
- If the DXY strengthens (moving toward 108.100), it aligns with a bearish gold move.
2. **Economic Data**:
- Monitor for any major data releases (e.g., U.S. GDP, inflation data, or Federal Reserve comments) that could influence gold prices.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
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BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed
CAPITALCOM:DXY
DXY Trading Plan:
- **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level.
- **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level.
- **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits.
Risk Management:
- If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs.
Additional Notes:
- Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-26-24 : Inside Breakaway PatternThis, being the day After Christmas, could be a very volatile trading day. I suggest traders sit back and let the morning volatility settle before attempting to make any big trades.
I believe the markets will seek direction after Christmas and look to attempt to move into a Reversion phase (likely trending upward into the end of 2024).
Overall, I believe the Anomaly event has completed - yet there is still risk for the markets to move lower before the end of Feb 2025.
Follow my research and pay attention to how large the recent Daily price bars are compared to previous ranges. The current market volatility is MASSIVE.
There is no reason skilled traders are not able to profit from some of these big price swings.
Gold and Silver enter a CRUSH pattern. This could be a huge price move for Gold & Silver today.
Bitcoin is sliding into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern. This could result in another breakdown towards $72k if the EPP pattern plays out.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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