🔥 Bitcoin History Repeats! Fractal Correctly Predicted Pump 🚨Last week I made an analysis on BTC where I compared the current state of the market with two historical patterns. The pattern that I'm talking about is a bullish channel after a big pump that results in another big pump.
Seeing how the market historically behaved, I made the assumption that BTC would follow this fractal and break out of the channel in the near future.
One week later, and BTC has successfully broken out of the channel, as predicted by this fractal analysis.
As described in my analysis below, I'm currently looking at 48k as the next target. Seeing how these fractals historically behaved, 48k should be fairly easily reached?
Share your thoughts in the comments. Are we going straight up, or do you expect a correction?
5-0-pattern
Inverted Head & Shoulders - UCHFHere we have USD/CHF on the 30 Min Chart! It looks to be outlining a potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern upcoming!!
The First Low or "Shoulder" @ .86792 followed by the Lower Low or "Head @ .86662 with price moving back up to the Confirmation of Pattern or "Neckline" @ .86973 makes me believe we will get a BREAK of Confirmation @ the 3rd touch of the Neckline with price continuing HIGHER!
The RSI indicator is also throwing out a Slight Divergence, strengthening Bullish Bias on this possibly imminent Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - JOLTS (Tues) Non-Farm Payroll (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
CHF - CPI (Mon) Currency Reserve (Thur)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below .86792, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above .86973, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
🔥 XRP: The Biggest Bull-Flag In Crypto Will Break Out SoonXRP has been trading inside a consolidating pattern since the massive pump at the height of the 2017-2018 bull-market.
During this time, the price has made higher-lows and lower-highs, forming a triangle pattern, which I classify as a bull-flag since it has been formed directly after the 7,000x in 2017.
This huge pattern will explode at some point in 2024, with the most likely move being a bullish one with the halving in mind.
My target for the break out is placed at 25$. It might be too high, but ADA also made a top 6x higher than the previous one last cycle, so why not? With a relatively tight stop and a far target we're able to create a signal with a risk-reward of almost 80, a potential game changer for anyone's portfolio.
🔥 Bitcoin 1.5 Year Rising Wedge Break Out: Pump Coming?Rising wedges are classically bearish trading patterns, but can often break bullish during strong trends (same goes for falling wedges during bearish trends).
As of yesterday, BTC has officially broken out of the rising wedge pattern that has been formed over 1.5 years. Bears have been looking at the pattern for a long time now, but are likely wrong on this pattern since the price broke through the top resistance.
It's likely that bulls have been waiting for this break out in order to start buying again. As per my analysis below, a strong volatile move is expected in the short-term.
Keep in mind, a fake-out is still in the cards. Nevertheless, it's more likely that this break out is the real deal. I previously mentioned that 40k was the target for this year. Now that we're trading 3% below 40k, it seems that we will reach it shortly. After 40k, I'm looking at 48k.
As per my fractal analysis below, I think we're going to see some fireworks in the near future.
Share your thoughts 🙏
Bitcoin's - not so - Unexpected Rally: Two Patterns, Two TradesDear Esteemed TV Members,
B efore diving into the Bitcoin price analysis, it's crucial to emphasize that price alone doesn't tell the whole story. A bullish price forecast doesn't automatically translate into a secure investment. I want to clarify that I recently sold most of my BTC holdings due to liquidity concerns. The crypto market can be unpredictable, and a substantial increase in demand, which we witnessed, can lead to liquidity challenges. It's essential to consider various factors when making investment decisions. Let me share my insights into BTC's price and what indicators hinted at the recent developments on the chart.
T he two positions on the chart are the pattern indications we'll focus on in this tutorial. I'll highlight two patterns that foretold BTC's bullish trajectory, but please note that other patterns and indicators could have pointed in the same direction. These are just two examples that caught my attention.
Rounding Bottom
L et's start with the first position, a trade from October 14th to October 24th, aptly named the Rounding Bottom. As the name suggests, this pattern resembles the lower half of a circle or an oval. Rounding Bottoms typically emerge after extended bearish trends. In bearish trends, bearish candles tend to outweigh the bullish ones, leading to increased volatility. The heightened volatility often results in corrective bullish candles that might surprise inexperienced investors. Many people mistake these bullish candles for a full reversal or overextend their positions. However, it's essential to remember that strong trends, whether bullish or bearish, can be quite volatile.
S trong trends also tend to form bottom formations. While these bottoms can take various shapes, the Rounding Bottom is the focus here. One insight to observe is the decreasing candle sizes. After October 11th, the volatility decreased, leading to both smaller bearish and bullish candles. It indicates a change in the trend, though not necessarily a bullish one.
A nother critical aspect to consider is decreasing volume. Reduced volume doesn't automatically signify a reversal. Bottom formations can include scenarios where the volume spikes before a sharp price increase. However, the decreasing volume in this context indicated a shift.
I n addition to reduced volatility and volume, the candles started to form the characteristic oval structure. The price also stabilized on multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). To identify the pattern as a Rounding Bottom, I had to monitor the candles for a few more days, relying on not only their appearance but also considering volatility, volume, liquidation data, and EMA analytics.
T he Rounding Bottom aligning with these indicators provided a degree of confidence in its bullish nature. However, the job was far from done. My initial target price was set based on a resistance trendline drawn from previous local tops, depicted on the chart in purple. AI analysis indicated that the price was likely to reach at least this level. Indeed, it did, and while the rally could have concluded there, the absence of clear top formations and the price stabilizing above EMAs 20, 50, 100, and 200 prompted me to keep the long position until October 24th.
Broadening Wedge
D uring this period, my pattern recognition algorithm identified a signal of a different formation between October 24th and 27th, a Broadening Wedge. Now, a different formation doesn't necessarily signify a reversal. Broadening Wedges often indicate an escalation of the existing trend, which, after the Rounding Bottom, had been bullish. This aligns with the general behavior expected in textbook examples.
B etween these two long positions, there's a notable period where I refrained from taking a position. I also closed any existing positions due to the limited number of candles to identify any pattern with confidence. It's important to note that the more time you can observe a pattern forming, the higher the probability of getting it right. Jumping to conclusions based on just a few candles might lead to incorrect assessments.
I n both the Rounding Bottom and Broadening Wedge, I excluded numerous other patterns. When analyzing the market, it's vital to exclude multiple possibilities before settling on a particular pattern. This increases the chances of accurately identifying the pattern in question.
T his tutorial offers insights into pattern recognition, target price setting, and stop loss selection. However, remember that these are potential approaches to expand your understanding. Historical results don't guarantee future results. While these patterns proved helpful in this instance, other investors might have identified different patterns leading to similar or even better outcomes.
"Too long to read, but I want to learn"
tl;dr I found a Rounding Bottom, then a Broadening Wedge. Rounding Bottom shifted the trend from bearish to bullish, and Broadening Wedge continued the bullish trend. It's only a short-term insight from the past and doesn't necessarily reflect my long-term view about the asset or any future view.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Head and Shoulders - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 30 Min Chart!
We have 3 sets of Highs in the shape of what looks to be a Head and Shoulders on top of the Support or "Neckline"!
Price has been traveling up so we may be getting a Reversal here now!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
If Price Breaks and Closes above 1.09945, Pattern INVALIDATED!
If Price Breaks and Closes below 1.09725, Pattern is CONFIRMED and will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
The Triangle Of The Year => BTC 🏆Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
🏹 After a 50% surge from 25,000 to 38,000 , BTC has entered a consolidation phase within the confines of a symmetrical triangle, as highlighted in orange.
This development holds significant importance as it aligns closely with a yearly resistance zone between 38,000 and 40,000. The resolution of this pattern will likely dictate market sentiment for the remainder of the year.
📈 Should the triangle break to the upside, confirmed by a daily candle closing above 38,000, we anticipate a bullish continuation targeting the resistance range up to 40,000.
📉 Conversely, a downward break of the triangle, confirmed by a daily candle closing below 35,600, would signify bearish momentum, potentially leading to a substantial correction towards the 30,000 - 32,000 support and demand zone.
For now, we wait! ⏱
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Xau/Usd Hello traders!
It can be seen that the pair has touched the level (2018.00). In my opinion, the pair will touch the level (2021.00) since it is also a Fibonacci level. Then I expect a decrease to the level (1929.50). Be patient and wait for the breakout to enter the trade. Be careful!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
MAKE MONEY AND ENJOY LIFE 💰
THANK YOU!
GOOD LUCK!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
🔥 Bitcoin Reversing Again: Watch For Chop!BTC made a new yearly high 2 days ago, but has yet again failed to keep the gains (for now). The 38.000$ area is a very strongly defended area by the bears, which has resulted in an extremely choppy market for nearly a month at this point.
Longer-term oscillators like the RSI and Stochastic are still oversold, so it might be that the bulls are just waiting for these indicators to cool off. However, we have to consider the idea that the bulls can potentially lose the short-term fight and give up after yet another 38k rejection.
Share your thoughts in the comments 🙏
Key area is the bottom dotted support area. As long as the bulls can defend this area, there's nothing to worry about. However, if the bears manage to get a daily close below this important support it might signal that there's more pain to come.
Worst case bullish scenario would be a retest of the bottom support. On the other hand, the previous 3 times that we touched 38k the sell-off was much stronger and took us down more. This sell-of has thus far only been a couple of percent in 2 days.
I still hold the idea that 40k will be reached this year, but the loss of the bottom support will likely change that.
🔥 Ethereum MASSIVE Bullish Triangle Nearly Broke Out 🚨As seen on the chart, ETH has been trading inside a bullish triangle pattern for over 1.5 years.
In my eyes, a break out from this pattern might result in big gains for ETH, since it will burst through an area full of short-trade stop-losses which will be forced to buy back their positions.
Consequentially, a break out will trigger a long-term trade that I've been looking at for some time. With a stop below the recent swing low and a target around the current ATH, we can construct a very decent long-term trade for this big token.
🔥 WLD Bullish Triangle Break Out: Watch Out Bears!WLD saw a huge sell-off after the initial launch on Binance, but has recovered all the losses since then.
In my eyes, the next stop is going to be the Binance launch high around 5.25$, which we could reach within a couple of weeks really.
The bullish triangle has been broken on the top side, I'm expecting more bullishness to reach WLD in the near future.
Harmonic Patterns in Trading: A simple introductionIntroduction
In the world of trading, we often hear about harmonic patterns. These are very special tools in the trader's toolkit. They are complex but very important. In this article, we look into these patterns, how traders use them, and why they are crucial.
Understanding Harmonic Patterns
Harmonic patterns are part of technical analysis in trading. They come from Fibonacci numbers and show potential future price movements. These patterns are not random; they are specific geometric shapes in the markets. Some well-known patterns are Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab, and Shark. Each pattern is unique and uses Fibonacci in a different way.
Top Harmonic Patterns
Gartley Pattern: This is a very famous pattern. It looks like an 'M' or 'W' shape. It helps traders to find good points for buying or selling.
Bat Pattern: This pattern is similar to Gartley but with different Fibonacci measurements. It's known for its high accuracy in predicting market reversals.
Butterfly Pattern: This pattern indicates a strong reversal. It's like Gartley and Bat but has a longer 'wing'.
Crab Pattern: Known for its extreme accuracy, the Crab pattern offers precise entry and exit points.
Shark Pattern: This is a newer pattern. It helps to identify very sharp and sudden changes in the market.
Fibonacci and Markets: A Symbiotic Relationship
Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers important in many areas, including markets. Traders use these numbers to predict where the market might go.
Importance of Harmonic Patterns in Trading
Predicting Markets: These patterns help traders to guess future market movements, unlike other tools that only analyze past data.
Strategic Trading: They offer clear points for entering and exiting trades, which helps in planning.
Versatility: Useful in various markets like forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
Risk Management: They provide structured ways to manage trading risks.
Complementing Strategies: Harmonic patterns can be combined with other market analysis methods for stronger trading strategies.
Learning Curve
Understanding harmonic patterns requires time and market knowledge. But they offer a clear insight into market behavior, which is very valuable for traders.
Challenges
Using harmonic patterns can be tricky. They need correct identification, and market volatility can sometimes affect their accuracy. So, traders need to be adaptable.
Conclusion
Harmonic patterns are a mix of mathematics and market understanding. They use Fibonacci to interpret market movements. For traders willing to learn, they offer deeper market insights. In trading, understanding these patterns can be a great advantage.
🔥 Ethereum PERFECT Bull-Flag Break OutIn my most recent ETH analysis I wrote that ETH was likely forming a bull-flag pattern and was going to break out in the near future.
And here we are. A break out, followed by a retest of the top resistance, which is exactly what bulls want to see.
Our entry has been hit and stop moved just below the retested resistance. This constructs a very decent trade with a risk-reward well over 12.
#XRP : Targeting 1$ in the Near Future. Expecting at least 35%.XRP have been in a good position and a healthy market phase compared to the overall crypto market. For now we can witness that a beautiful cup & handle pattern already formed and is finishing its current phase preparing for a breakout. If things keep the same as it is, there will be a high probability to see Ripple making some good North side moves.
Besides the formation of the pattern: -- We can witness a bullish divergence with the RSI and MACD.
- Stochastic showing an oversold behavior and seems sellers are being knocked out as we speak.
- MACD and RSI are still showing an uptrend momentum and that there is a space for growth in the near future.
- The handle on the 1D chart is already forming a bullish falling wedge on lower time frames and a break out will confluence the 1D chart.
- Ichimoku Cloud is providing a good support at current price level.
- Next strong resistance area will be in between $0.71 - $0.73 and these areas will be much more interesting to follow.
- If the neckline can be broken at any point of time we sure can wait for a successful retest and that will be our entry for a confirmed move towards the $1 price tag.
- Will be updating about the fundamentals soon too and a closer watch to this formation for sure will repay the patience.
- Stop loss will be considered to be at the price level where a failure of the retest occur. By this depeding on ones trading strategy putting the stop anywhere below the neckline will be a wise move.
Keep spreading the knowledge and +ve energy. Let you be peace in every single steps of your life. Stay tuned for more.
@ cryptotalket
🔥 Bitcoin Bullish Triangle: Preparing For Next Leg Up!BTC has been consolidating for nearly a month now. Not a lot of of trading in one direction, but short-term trends being reversed quickly.
Note that the price has consistently making higher-lows, whicb is a sign of strength.
On the other hand, the 38.000$ area is getting notorious. Every time that the price reaches the top resistance area, a quick sell-off follows.
Since this bullish triangle is classically a bullish break out pattern, odds are that we're going to break out sooner or later. My assumption is that the longer-term indicators, like the weeky RSI, needed some cooling down and that the bullish trend will continue once indicators have cooled.
The next leg up will likely bring us to 40.000$, if not higher. Keep a close eye for a higher time-frame candle to close above the top resistance of the triangle.
🔥 FTM Easy Bounce Trade: Support Holds!FTM has been falling like the rest of crypto, but the price failed to fall through the main bullish support of the last few weeks.
In my view, this gives us a nice opportunity to play the bounce with a clearly defined stop and profit target.
BTC appears to be reversing as we speak, so it's a matter of time before alts start regaining their losses.
GBPUSD SELL TO BUYThe price approaches the key zone where manipulation will be observed.
With the seller's work and the formation of bearish formations, this range for further movement is 1.2318-1.2186, where it will be interesting to consider the reaction of the buyer to continue the upward movement to the local accumulation of liquidity in the range of 1.2750-1.2930
Maintain your risks and act in accordance with your trading system.