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Gold at a Crossroads – Break 2934 for ATH or Drop to 2873? Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview Gold prices remain volatile amid ongoing concerns over U.S. tariff policies and anticipation of Federal Reserve officials' speeches, which could provide clues about future interest rate decisions. With U.S. markets closed for President’s Day, liquidity is expected to be lower, potentially increasing price swings. Technical Outlook Gold's price action suggests a potential corrective move toward 2918 before resuming a bearish trend targeting 2873. A decisive H1 or H4 candle close below 2873 would strengthen the bearish momentum, leading to further downside targets at 2859 and 2823. On the upside, for gold to regain a bullish trend, it must break above the All-Time High (ATH) at 2934. If successful, the next resistance targets would be 2956 and 2974. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 2906 🔹 Resistance Levels: 2918, 2934 (ATH), 2956, 2974 🔹 Support Levels: 2873, 2859, 2840 📉 Bearish Scenario: Below 2873, expect further declines to 2859 and 2823. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 2934 would open the door to 2956 and 2974. 💬 Will Gold break 2934 for new highs or correct lower first? What's your outlook? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Oil Prices Struggle Below 71.78 – Bearish Trend in Play USOIL Analysis – February 17, 2025 Oil Holds Steady Amid U.S.-Russia Talks and Kurdistan Export Hopes Oil prices remain stable as the market watches geopolitical developments, with U.S. and Russian officials set to meet in Saudi Arabia to discuss a potential resolution to the Ukraine conflict. Brent crude and WTI both saw a slight uptick of 0.4%, reaching $75.07 and $71.02 per barrel, respectively. The overall sentiment suggests that demand for physical oil remains weak, while a potential peace agreement could lead to the lifting of Western sanctions and a partial resumption of Russian oil flows to Europe. Additionally, Iraq’s Kurdistan region has signaled that its long-halted oil exports might resume next month, adding further uncertainty to supply expectations. Technical Outlook WTI crude remains in a bearish trend as long as it trades below the 71.78 - 72.72 zone. If the price fails to reclaim this range, further downside pressure is expected, with targets at 68.55 and 67.03 per barrel. Given the current geopolitical landscape, sellers should remain in control unless a significant bullish catalyst emerges. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Zone: 70.50 - 71.78 🔹 Resistance Levels: 72.72, 75.00, 77.37 🔹 Support Levels: 68.53, 67.03, 63.51 📉 Trend Outlook: Bearish while below 71.78. Further declines could accelerate if 68.53 is breached. Previous idea:
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279. Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 6123 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010 📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback! 💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
EUR/USD Bulls Eye 1.0600 – Uptrend Intact Above 1.0460 EUR/USD Analysis – February 17, 2025 Euro Gains 2% in a Winning Week as Dollar Struggles Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty The US dollar remains volatile as markets react to uncertainty surrounding Trump's potential tariff plans. Traders are closely watching for new policy announcements that could introduce reciprocal tariffs, potentially affecting international trade balances. Over the past six weeks, EUR/USD has been fluctuating within a range of 1.02 to 1.05, showing indecisiveness in the broader trend. However, recent price action suggests that the pair is gaining bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold. Technical Outlook EUR/USD remains in an uptrend, with bullish momentum expected to continue as long as the price stays above the 1.0460 - 1.0520 range. A sustained move above this zone would likely drive the pair toward 1.0600, and a breakout above this resistance level could accelerate gains toward 1.0677 and 1.0740. However, if the pair fails to hold above 1.0440 and closes an H4 candle below this level, the bullish momentum could weaken, leading to a potential pullback toward 1.0367. A deeper decline below 1.0367 may expose further downside levels at 1.0288 and 1.0226, but at this stage, buying on dips remains the favored approach in alignment with the prevailing uptrend. Key Levels Pivot Line: 1.0470 - 1.0440 Resistance Levels: 1.0600, 1.0677, 1.0740 Support Levels: 1.0367, 1.0288, 1.0220 Market Sentiment While EUR/USD shows short-term bullish strength, much depends on the upcoming trade policy decisions. If tariffs are imposed, the US dollar could regain strength, potentially limiting the euro’s upside. However, if risk sentiment improves, the euro may continue its upward trajectory.
Long
by SroshMayi
Statistically Likely Bitcoin Has A Large Positive Move ComingThe Continuation Indicator by Apex Algo Systems has once again flashed a new buy signal just a few months ago, adding to its strong historical track record on the 1-month chart. Every previous buy signal has preceded a significant market rally before reaching the next major top. Could this be another pivotal moment in the market cycle? Historically, the indicator has identified powerful trend continuation setups, signaling high-probability opportunities before explosive price movements. By analyzing volatility dynamics, momentum shifts, and long-term price trends, the indicator helps traders recognize statistically extreme conditions that have historically led to major market moves. In the attached image, you can see how every past buy signal has been followed by a substantial market rally. Now, with a fresh signal printed just a few months ago, history may be repeating itself once again. 🔥 Could this be the start of another massive move? Or will this time be different? 📊 Let’s discuss! Are you bullish after this signal? Do you think the market is following historical trends? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by QTXAlgoSystems
Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has NOT Topped YetBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀 Based on the analysis using the indicator: Statistically Extreme Areas by Apex Algo Systems, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended. 🔍 Key Observation: Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point. 📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors: ✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak. ✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions. ✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by QTXAlgoSystems
OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence. Market Structure & Historical Context Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move. Key Support Zones & Confluence A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area: 1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence: Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC. 2.) Channel Median Line: The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area. 3.) Moving Averages: The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support. 4.) Trend Indicator (Beta): On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support. 5.) Fibonacci Extension: The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence. Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions. Resistance Levels & Trade Setups Resistance Analysis OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark: Rejection Patterns: The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure. Short Trade Opportunity: Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss: Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6. Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP. Targets & Risk/Reward: Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%). Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1. Long Trade Setup The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart. Entry Strategy & Laddering: Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone. Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback. Stop Loss & Target: Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown. Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit. Risk/Reward: With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points. Final Thoughts Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis. Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum. As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds. Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
Short
by SiDec
5
XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark. As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and our entry was 2908. What possible scenario do we have? At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension. On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920. Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GBPUSD WEEKLY OUTLOOKThe daily timeframe market structure is showing a clear bearish trend. Price has failed twice to break the last low high to create a new trend. Therefore, the trend remains bearish and we should only look for sells. However, on the 4H timeframe, we do not have a clear confirmation on which direction the price wants to move. Yes, we have the long-term trend, but the market is not yet set up on the lower timeframe. Price have been ranging from Jan 27th to the present day. We shall wait for a clear BOS on the 4H timeframe before we look for an entry.
by Princessk99
CHFJPY - Bearish Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈CHFJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge marked in red and it is currently in a correction phase approaching the upper bound. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #CHFJPY approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
16
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024. The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout. The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations: Current Price: $2,900.48 Recent High: $2,907.29 200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level) Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875) Analysis: 📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow. 🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)- PREVIOUS: 2.9% FORECAST: 2.9% ACTUAL: ?? Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases. As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts: Long: - The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH. - A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high. Short: - The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
by ProR35
4
BTC - Building Block - UpdateHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. After breaking below the $100,000, BTC entered the Short-Term bearish phase. For the momentum to be shifted again to bullish, a break above the $100,000 is needed. 📈 Long-Term Bullish: If the $108,500 level is broken to the upside, BTC is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $125,000 mark. 📉 Long-Term Bearish: If the $90,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $75,000 mark, is expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
13
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 💠 Fundamental Analysis The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices. 💠 Macroeconomic Analysis GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4. Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized. Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January. 💠 COT Data Analysis Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short. Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long. Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short. 💠 Market Sentimental Analysis Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish. Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short. 💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type - Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish - Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish - Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish 💠 Positioning Data Analysis Bullish Trend: 45% likely. Bearish Trend: 55% likely. 💠 Overall Outlook GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors. Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates. Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations. Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields. Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Thief_Trader
Gold Awaits CPI – Will 2,872 Hold or Break?✅ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus Gold is currently facing bearish pressure, with expectations of a 3.00% CPI release, which could negatively impact prices. A break below 2,872 is required to confirm further downside movement. 📉 Bearish Scenario (CPI at 3.00% or Higher): If price breaks below 2,872, it will enter a bearish zone. A confirmed stabilization below 2,872 will extend the drop toward 2,859 and 2,840. Further bearish pressure could drive prices to 2,823 if inflation remains high. 📈 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 3.00%): If price holds above 2,872, a recovery toward 2,896 and 2,918 is possible. A break above 2,918 could push gold back toward 2,938 in a bullish reversal. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2880 Resistance Levels: 2896, 2918, 2938 Support Levels: 2860, 2840, 2823 Trend Outlook: Bearish if CPI remains high (≥3.00%) & price breaks 2,872 Bullish if CPI drops below expectations & price holds above 2,872 💬 How will CPI impact Gold? Will it break down or reverse? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Riding the BNX Wave: Next Trade SetupsSince BNX surged an astounding +381% in just 3.5 days, it has rapidly reached a key high. However, the dramatic move on low volume has left the market in a tight range, raising questions about a potential correction. Let’s break down the current market structure and explore the key support and resistance levels, followed by specific trade setups. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends BNX’s meteoric rise over a short period has captured attention, but such rapid gains often invite consolidation or a pullback. After hitting the key high, the price was tested and subsequently rejected, particularly on low volume. This rejection signals that the bullish drive may be exhausting, setting the stage for a possible downward correction. Since then, BNX has been trading in a narrow range, reflecting market indecision as traders await further direction. Key Support Zones & Confluences Primary Support Zone – Around $0.6: Moving Averages Confluence: The 21-period EMA and SMA on the 4-hour, weekly, and monthly charts are clustered between approximately $0.585 and $0.553. This convergence creates a robust support area where price is likely to find stability. Lower Timeframe Trend Insight: My beta indicator on the 15-minute chart, which marks the edge of the bullish trend, further reinforces this support level. Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits at around $0.5426, lending additional support. The Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.5 level) aligns near $0.56, complementing the overall support picture. This confluence of technical factors makes the $0.6 zone a crucial area to monitor, as it represents a potential floor should the market trend lower. Resistance Levels & Confluences Key Resistance – The Recent High: Rapid Price Surge & Rejection: BNX’s swift ascent culminated in a key high that was subsequently tested and rejected. The rejection, especially on low volume, indicates that the upward momentum may be losing steam. Fibonacci Resistance: Notably, the price has also encountered the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.75, which acts as an additional layer of resistance. Psychological Resistance: The key high now serves as a significant resistance level, acting as a barrier that the price must overcome to resume its bullish trend. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup Given the rejection at the key high and the low-volume consolidation, a breakdown from this level is anticipated. This scenario makes a short position attractive, as a failed test of the high could trigger further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Initiate a short position at the key high, followed by a rejection. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the key high to mitigate risk. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: Aim for the primary support zone around $0.6, where multiple indicators converge. Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets a favourable risk/reward ratio of 3:1 or better, making it an appealing opportunity for traders. Long Trade Setup Despite the clear support confluence around the $0.6 area, entering a long position at this stage carries a less compelling risk/reward profile compared to the short trade. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Consider a long entry if the price shows strength and decisively holds above the support zone. Stop Loss: Position the stop loss just below the support area to accommodate minor fluctuations. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: The target for a long setup would be the previous swing low. Risk-Reward Ratio: This trade offers a ratio in the range of 1:1 to 2.5:1, which is alright compared to the short setup.
Short
by SiDec
8