VET - weekly chart analysisVET has broken back ABOVE its massive Symmetrical Triangle and has so far successfully tested it as support on this 1w timeframe. VET needs to 110% CLOSE this weekly candle ABOVE the Descending Trend-line of the Symmetrical Triangle.
Note that VET is still safely above its Longterm Upwards Trend-line (Ascending Dashed Line) on this 1w timeframe.
VET is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that VET has room to move up before hitting the Bollinger Bands Upper Band on this 1w timeframe.
VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1w timeframe. For this indicator, ABOVE the LSMA is a potential ‘BUY’ and BELOW the LSMA is a potential “SELL’.
Note that VET is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range POC for the fixed range of 5 weekly candle that i have selected.
Note that Volume has increased slightly but note that the Volume Bars are still Below its Volume 20 Period MA.
I have added various support and resistance areas on this chart and you can clearly see the interaction with theses area. Note that VET has found some resistance from its first resistance line.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating that the trend strength is sideways but strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 22.69. Note that the 9 Period EMA is above the ADX at 25.38 but is dropping. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped slightly to 21.79 but the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped slightly to 14.34. This indicates both positive and negative momentum has dropped slightly. We will potentially see a massive move upwards if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) if the +DI (Green Line) is still above and moving away from the -DI (Red Line) on this 1w timeframe.
The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating momentum is sideways within a range. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) has crossed back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating upwards strength on this 1w timeframe.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating that we have had the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1w timeframe. Note that the MACD is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line and note that we have had our first proper Green Histogram for the first time in 7 weeks.
I have also added a Trend-Based Fib Extension to show some potential FIB levels if VET continues the upwards trajectory on this 1w timeframe.
VET is also in a very thin Rising Wedge Pattern. VET needs to invalidate this bearish pattern by breaking back above it and successfully testing it as support on this 1w timeframe. What is interesting is that the Rising Wedge takes us right up to the 4.236 Fib Level at $0.5147. This is something to keep an eye on on this 1w chart.
Note that this chart is looking at the longterm without taking into account what is happening on lower timeframes, which you should be watching & analysing as well. All in all, VeChain is looking great so it should be an interesting couple of weeks for VET providing BTC behaves herself.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Notes:
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart
LSMA = Blue squiggly line on chart
VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart
VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart
50EMA = Yellow squiggly line on chart
Symmetrical Triangle = Converging ascending and descending black lines
Rising Wedge = Ascending converging dotted lines
Longterm upwards Trend-line = Ascending dashed black line.
Support and resistance areas = Horizontal black lines with yellow shading
ADX
LSK (LISK) lateralizingLSK has a very ugly long-term chart.
On the daily, it looks like it's in a "Shoulder-Head-Shoulder" pattern, however the Stochastic, RSI and ADX indicators indicate a sideways move with a possible rally.
If the BTC rises it can only follow later.
However, now is not the best time to position yourself on altcoins.
I would particularly be left out.
The risk return would be approximately 1 to 1, which should be reflected if it is really worth it.
"Not to act is also to act. Sometimes the best thing is to do nothing."
Bitcoin Three Day Directional Index just got bearishFresh off the presses from the 3 day close. The current top and the top of early 2021 have a lot of similarities. Key for this idea are the bearish rising wedges which are confirmed by falling volume as the pattern continues. If this is going to keep going with the similarities we are going to see the red volume really begin to pick up now that the DI+ has crossed under the DI-. There is always a chance that this DI cross will not be maintained but that remains to be seen. I have not shown the ADX because with price in a consolidation/reverersl pattern the ADX is low. I am looking to use this DI+/- cross in conjunction with the chart pattern and volume to predict an increase in the ADX.
Linked ideas show broader bearishness in crypto.
BTC will touch 40k before continuing to riseBTC will touch 40k before continuing to rise
It still brings downward force, the Squeeze Momentum and the ADX confirm it, we must wait for the Squeeze to form a red valley and for the ADX to change directionality.
I estimate this will be between 38k and 40k.
QS Long - Fibonacci TradeDaily Chart - Swing Trade - Fibonacci Retracement Strategy
QS retraced significantly from its ATH and is currently consolidating at the Point of Control (POC) also a Demand Zone right around $50.00. ADX is below 25, meaning QS is not trending right now. You'll notice on the left that the fib retrace level shows, just over 78.6% price retraced, which is big and a good opportunity to take a position for this kind of strategy when the price moves up to retest that Supply Zone in Purple.
MACD crossed so we should see some price action to the upside. RSI is good, not overbought, not oversold.
Earning was today and was... o k.
Looking long term QS has potential with the solid-state battery technology for EVs.
This was the first significant retrace and I've taken a position on this trade with a target of 150%.
I am speculating but maybe by mid-summer, we could see this.
Trade at your own risk. This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
Buy ABFRLA Symmetric Triangle formation has occurred on the weekly charts.
Above average high volume on breakout.
Also price has been in an expanding formation since 11th May 2020.
Price objective as per Triangle formation comes to 382.9
Other near term price targets are shown by green horizontal lines
Rising ADX line + Bullish MACD crossover on weekly charts further confirm the bullish trend
Stop Loss can be kept at 184.3
Risk/Reward Ratio is 4.35
Unity $U formming a "low cheat"I usually have a number of stocks that I like because of the fundamentals, and I just wait for the technicals to do what I like. This time NYSE:U is doing it in a very good way. The price is not yet above its MAs but it has a strong divergence with the MACD and the ADX is below 20 points, all this while formming a "low cheat" which is like a mini "cup & handle" (I learned this reading Mark Minervini).
Normally the "cup & handle" pattern is one of the best reversal patterns, adding this with the other technical signals I think this stock is close to a buy point. Still, for my strategy this setup is high risk. I always wait for confirmation with a second base. IBD has NYSE:U in rank 7 in its industry, and a realtive stength rating of 37; not my usual stock.
The thing adding to my optimism is that breakouts have been working better for the last 2 weeks. I even missed a few stocks because I was being cautious. With this one I would add just half my position size and if it goes my way I'll add my full postion.
All bullish signs for $GBTCI'll open this saying that always wait for confirmation. Now, all I can see in this chart are bullish signs. The ADX is above 40 points stating the end of a trend. The MACD is making the bullish cross while in good divergence with the price action for the last month. Last week OTC:GBTC made a bullish candlestick pattern called "the island reversal", is when two gaps are formed on the same zone creating an "island" on at least one candle; and to add, that candle is a "shooting star", one of the most bullish candle formations.
Regardless of what I see, OTC:GBTC is still on a downtrend. This could only be the start of a reversal, which it would be foolish, at least for me, to buy it. This analysis is to have a close eye on this security that's all.
I'll leave a bearish analysis to give some perspective. Is in spanish.
VeChain - a 4hr chart analysisVeChain 4hr Chart update:
VET is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
VET is testing the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud resistance. Which is also where the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA is located at the moment.
We need VET to eventually close a 4hr Candle within the Equilibrium Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud, above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) resistance.
VET is below its 50EMA. We should expect strong resistance at this 4hr 50EMA level. VET needs to close a 4hr candle above this level and turn it into strong support.
Volume has increased with the Volume Bar above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. Hopefully VeChain can end this 4hr candle green.
VET is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 4hr timeframe.
VET is above both its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) and above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC). VET 110% needs to stay above the POC for this 4hr timeframe.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating accumulation has dropped from 0.08 to 0.07 but the CMF (Green Line) is still in the accumulation zone and still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.04. We need the CMF store stay above the Zero Line and in the accumulation zone for this 4hr timeframe.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating trend strength is sideways with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 25.53 above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 22.66. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 24.63 but is still above its+DI (Green Line) which is at 14.54. Notice that the -DI (Red Line) is indicating negative momentum had dropped with the =DI (Green Line) indicating positive momentum has risen but is now sideways on this 4hr timeframe.
You all know how strongly i feel about the future crypto giant VeChain, so any major dips n drops should be used to DCA & acquire more VET before it does and ADA and gets over that crucial $1 mark.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC - Don't get corrupted by the emotion of othersBTC Daily Chart update:
BTC is still above its WEEKLY 50EMA.
BTC is back above its Descending Pitchfork Median line.
BTC needs to turn its Bollinger Bands Middle Band 20 Period SMA into strong support.
Volume has increased and is now above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. Hopefully BTC can close this day as a green bar.
BTC is still in a Descending Triangle so BTC needs to close a daily candle above the downwards trend-line and turn it into strong support.
I have added a Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), you can see the Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range. BTC is trying to get above this POC.
I have also added a Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR), you can clearly see that BTC is above the Point of Control (POC) for the fixed range that I’ve selected. The VPFR gives us a more clearer, macro view of buying and selling for an actual candle fixed range.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating an increase in accumulation withe the CMF (Green line) in the Accumulation Zone at 0.10. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at 0.06.
The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is showing the ADX (yellow Line) has dipped slightly at 54.13 and is slightly still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 54.07. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 28.08 and the +DI (Green Line) has risen to 11.94. Notice that the -DI (red Line) is pointing downwards and the +DI (Green Line) is pointing upwards.
An important point that I said in my previous BTC post when BTC wicked below the Weekly 50EMA was that BTC may WICK a few more times below that level, but that the real CRUCIAL thing is if BTC CLOSES THIS weekly candle BELOW the weekly 50EMA. if or until that happens, any post about BTC dropping to $20K and below is pure speculation and traders trying to convince you & the masses to join them in their short sell. Seriously its true, when BTC wicked below the Weekly 50EMA, some people on TradingView thought that this was the end, it clearly isn’t, and as I’ve said many times, if your longterm, its where the candle closes that counts not where it wicks to! Remember that BTC still has 4 1/2 days left on this weekly candle. Don’t let people make you emotional and make hasty decisions, try to study a bit of TA and FA, practice and do your own research as that is the only way to cut out the BS. Because remember, it’s your money!
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BTC - Crucial times ahead for Bitcoin on the weekly chartBTC - A look at the Weekly Chart:
BTC is still above it’s 50EMA on this weekly timeframe.
BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this weekly timeframe. Note that the Lower Band has risen up indicating volatility has slowed and now brought back into equilibrium for this weekly timeframe. Note that the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways.
If we look at the Longterm Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), BTC is still above its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Median Line.
At the moment, BTC is still below its Volume Moving Average (Orange Line) for this weekly timeframe which is a 20 Period MA. Overall volume is still low for this week.
I have added the 100EMA and 200EMA so you can see where these potential levels of support are at the moment of typing this for this weekly timeframe.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Yellow Line) dropping to 50.33 and its below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 58.25. The -DI (Red Line) is at 22.97 above its +DI (Green Line) 15.59. Notice however that the -DI (Red Line) is pointing downwards indicating negative momentum has also dropped. We eventually need the +DI (Green Line) to start curving upwards and eventually cross back over the -DI (Red Line) that will indicate renewed longterm positive momentum for this weekly timeframe.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing that accumulation has dropped massively from its high but the CMF (Green Line) is still in the Accumulation Zone at 0.03. Notice that the CMF (Green Line) is starting to curve slightly sideways. I have added a Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) to the CMF, note that the CMF (Green Line) is below its LSMA (Blue Line) which is at 0.15, a very good sign will be if the CMF curves upwards and gets back above the LSMA.
This week and next will be very crucial for BTC, if you are longterm long then you need BTC to stay above the Longterm Pitchfork Median Line and the 50EMA on this weekly chart. If BTC cannot stay above the 50EMA & Pitchfork Median Line on this weekly timeframe then BTC may drop into the Distribution Zone on the CMF for this weekly timeframe.
A very good sign to look out for is if this weekly candle and especially next week’s candle closes green with a higher high and a higher low and especially above that crucial support of the 50EMA and Pitchfork Median Line.
Here is a closer look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
Here is a closer look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI):
I hope this is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BTC Analyze Time Frame 4H/ Symmetrical Triangle 👀Unfortunately, my last three posts have deleted, because I did not comply with the '' house rules ''.
About BTCUSDT Chart, I can say some info; First, we are at Symmetrical Triangle (trusty == more than 45 _60 candles are on our Triangle) + We have Hidden Divergence ( HD- ) between MACD and Price , until now + Evening Star (Bearish candlestick Pattern)+ TRZ + End of microwave 5 (price was at the golden number of Fibonacci), So we have to wait for Correction waves + Price was near upper line of our Pitchfork + Resistance Zone (cluster) + Fib circles (If you look at the circle lines and you will know that these lines have worked well in the past) + ADX=15.58 (Over 20 or 25 initial trends will start ) ===== RESULT ==== BTC Will go Down again until Take profit zone 1 or 2 .
My Suggestion : we had enough reasons for open Short positions (The above reasons).
Take profit 1: 36620$ - 36460$ (Weekly Pivot point + 61.68% Fib + support zone).
Take profit 2: 35430$ - 35120$ (Cluster of Fibonacci) === on this zone, BTC will decide to go DOWN or UP.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open)
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas on this post.
Please do not forget the 'like' button :) & Share it with your friends, Thanks, and Trade safe.
Good luck
ADX/BTC Continuation PatternTrading BTC pairs is a great way to be accumulating some more BTC. ADX is looking like its getting ready for the next move up as we have a continuation pattern and is on the verge of breaking out... Can either get in early before the breakout and have a stop loss in play incase of downside, or can wait for a breakout and a retest flipping resistance into support before it seeing some new highs!
The price has finished its momentum (ADX), now it's heading downIn ADX indicator, level 40 has been reached which means it's overbought. The momentum ends and the price will change the direction.
There is a small head and shoulders as a confirmation of direction reversal.
The price goes down and breaks out the demand area number 1 but it bumps the next demand area (number 2). It executes the buy orders and goes up again and hits the resistance line of the head and shoulders. The price will go down and break the demand area number 2 and bump the demand area number 3.
GBPUSD - Daytrade by Keltner - Stochastic & ADX 12 Thu 2021- Higher High for Uptrend.
* Take advantage of the 59% success rate of order 1 to enter position 2 with a higher Risk / reward ratio,
- Command 1: risk / reward 1/1. 59% success percentage.
- Order 2: risk / reward: 1 / 1.5 If you use Fibonacci retracement, it is 0.6 or 60%. Percent success 51.5%.
- Number of consecutive wins in the past: 9.
- Number of consecutive losses in the past: 6. So to avoid psychological influence, choose risk = 1% x6 = 6% for 1 trading signal.
Currently, the Bot assumes 2% (orders 1: 1%, orders 2: 1%)
-------
Max risk: 2%.
1. Trend identification:
... Keltner: Price through Upper1 / Lower 1 gives 1 point.
...... Uptrend: If price crosses above the close on Upper 1.
...... Downtrend: If the price goes down once, closes below the 1st line.
... Stochastic:
..... d> 67 for Buy, d <16 for Sell
... ADX: 30 indicates strong trend.
...... ADX smooth: 7.
...... DI length: 7.
2. Entry point:
... Buy (BUY): When k cut up D in an uptrend, when D> 67.
... Sell (SELL): When k cuts D in a downtrend, when D <16.
ADX Breakout strategy for insane returns on the GBPJPY 30minLike the EUR/USD this pair looks amazing on the ADX Breakout strategy once tuned properly. It even has far less draw down! The one thing i did notice is like what is shown on the chart. GBP/JPY does have a tendency to near the limit order and then make a run in the opposite direction occasionally. So in an attempt to see if i can trim losses while maintaining a high return. I will be testing this strategy live but with a trailing stop loss.