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GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of Earnings ! Sell-Off Thesis !If you haven`t sold GOOGL here: or reentered here: Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet Inc prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $6.15. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. While Google currently holds a dominant position in the search engine market, the landscape is dynamic and subject to change. If Microsoft successfully leverages its partnership with OpenAI to enhance Bing's capabilities, coupled with strategic marketing initiatives, it could potentially chip away at Google's market share over time. You can read my full GOOGL Sell-Off thesis here: Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by TopgOptions
2
Alphabet vs. Tech Giants: Analyzing Investor Pessimism...Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has faced scrutiny from various angles, including the emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) tools like ChatGPT, heightened regulatory oversight, and a slowdown in digital advertising spending. Despite being a major player in the technology industry with diverse ventures, Alphabet's stock performance has garnered more skepticism from investors compared to other prominent tech companies. Although Alphabet has seen a modest increase of over 9% in the past 12 months, it has lagged behind its counterparts and the overall performance of the S&P 500 index. While Alphabet is considered a solid investment, it is crucial to consider the timing of investing in the company. Despite its long-term potential, the current circumstances call for cautious evaluation. Alphabet has been entangled in prolonged legal battles with European Union regulators for over a decade, primarily related to antitrust violations. The company has incurred substantial fines from the EU, including a $3.5 billion penalty in June 2017 and a fine exceeding $6.1 billion in September 2022. More recently, the European Commission has notified Alphabet of its breach of EU antitrust rules, specifically in the advertising technology (adtech) industry. Bloomberg has reported that the EU may impose another significant penalty, potentially surpassing $8 billion. Apart from the financial implications, the potential requirement for Alphabet to restructure and divest portions of its adtech business to maintain operations within EU countries is a significant concern. This obstacle looms large, considering that Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) contribute 30% of Alphabet's revenue. Considering all these factors, it is essential to carefully assess the risks and potential consequences before deciding whether it is the right time to invest in Alphabet. Alphabet heavily relies on Google's advertising business, which accounted for $54.5 billion out of its total Q1 2023 revenue of $69.7 billion. It constituted over three-quarters of the company's fiscal 2022 revenue, underscoring its importance to Alphabet's overall financial performance. Despite a 2.6% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1, Alphabet experienced an 8.2% decline from Q4 2022, with Google's advertising revenue declining for consecutive quarters. Recognizing the risks associated with a weakened advertising business, Alphabet has prioritized diversifying its revenue streams, particularly through the growth of Google Services and Google Cloud. Google Cloud revenue reached $7.4 billion in Q1, up from $5.8 billion in Q1 2022, and has finally achieved profitability. For Alphabet to ensure long-term sustainability, it must rely less on Google advertising and focus on strengthening other segments, especially Google Cloud, which currently lags behind competitors like Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure in market share. However, the profitability achieved in Google Cloud is an encouraging sign for investors. Returning to the initial question of whether Alphabet is a favorable investment at present, the answer is yes for long-term investors with a substantial time horizon. Alphabet possesses the resources and resilience to withstand the challenges it faces. Concerns regarding Google search are valid but possibly overstated, as it will likely remain a significant revenue source for the foreseeable future, albeit with reduced reliance. However, the response becomes more complex for investors concerned about short-term stock performance. The overall hype surrounding the tech industry has propelled Alphabet's stock price by over 35% year-to-date as of June 23. Nevertheless, a market pullback, not only for Alphabet but also for the tech sector as a whole, may be on the horizon. Given the circumstances, it may be an opportune time to gradually accumulate Alphabet stock through dollar-cost averaging. This approach involves consistently investing fixed amounts over time, thereby mitigating the impact of short-term market fluctuations.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by FOREXN1
15
Google -> Pumping With The AI HypeHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock just retested and with a weekly bearish candle perfectly started to reject major previous structure at the $130 level. You can also see that weekly market structure is still quite bullish, Alphabet is now retesting the 50% fibonacci retracement level and also previous weekly resistance which is now turned support at the $120 level so I simply do expect more continuation towards the upside from here. On the daily timeframe you can see that Google stock just created and confirmed a daily head and shoulders reversal pattern so I am now just waiting for a break back above the neckline - then we would also have bullish market structure again - and then I simply do expect also a daily rally to retest the next resistance at the $130 level. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
36
GOOGL:A Compelling Investment Opportunity with Growth CatalystsAlphabet, with its heavy reliance on digital advertising, faces challenges during weaker economic periods. However, its recent revenue growth slowdown of 3% reflects the current macroeconomic conditions. To address this, Alphabet is implementing cost-cutting measures, including significant layoffs. Despite these challenges, Alphabet's shares have seen a 40% increase in 2023, albeit remaining 17% below their all-time high. The question arises: Is Alphabet a good investment? The answer is a resounding yes, and here's why. Google Search, contributing 58% of Alphabet's ad revenue, maintains an overwhelming global market share of 92.8%, while competitors like Bing struggle to gain traction. Thus, Google's dominance remains secure. Alphabet's Google Cloud Platform (GCP) shows impressive growth, with revenue increasing by 28% year over year, outpacing Amazon Web Services (AWS). GCP's recent achievement of its first operating profit indicates further potential for increased profitability. Alphabet's commitment to artificial intelligence (AI) is evident, enhancing search capabilities, providing real-time updates, and combating spam. The integration of AI across Workspace products and tools demonstrates Alphabet's ongoing commitment to innovation. The Other Bets segment, including Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous driving unit, is making strides. The recent partnership with Uber expands Waymo's reach and paves the way for mass adoption of autonomous driving technology. Despite the surge in shares, Alphabet's valuation with a trailing P/E ratio of 27.6 and forward P/E ratio of 23.2 appears reasonable, considering its dominant position and growth catalysts. Alphabet generated $17.2 billion in free cash flow, showing a 12% increase, and maintains a robust balance sheet with $115 billion in cash and securities, enabling it to pursue new initiatives. Considering these factors, Alphabet presents an attractive investment opportunity and can serve as a core holding in a long-term portfolio strategy.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by FOREXN1
13
Google-> BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock is finally breaking above a major previous weekly support/resistance level exactly at the $105 area. You can also see that weekly market structure and moving averages are bullish, the next major resistance is sitting at the $120 level and it overall seems like the bottom is in for Google so I just do expect more continuation towards the upside. On the daily timeframe you can see that with today's candle Google stock is up almost 5%, creating a massively bullish breakout and breaking all resistance towards the upside so I am now just waiting for a retest of the $105 level and then I do expect more continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
54
Alphabet (Google) Ready to break up above the brim to $124.00Cup and Handle formed on Alphabet Inc. The price action before that played to the Letter (no pun intended). And now we are seeing a gradual increase in demand (buying) with the price ready to break above the brim level. 7=21 Price>200 - bullish Target $124.00 SMC: Sell Side Liquidity Order block has formed below the handle of the Cup, showing Smart Money coming in sweeping the selling side and buying into it, hence the upside over the last few days. ABOUT Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational conglomerate that was created in 2015 as a holding company for Google and several other subsidiaries. The company's primary subsidiary is Google, the world's most popular search engine. Alphabet is headquartered in Mountain View, California, USA. The company's founders are Larry Page and Sergey Brin, who are also the co-founders of Google. Alphabet has a market capitalization of over $1.5 trillion (as of April 2023). Google is responsible for developing some of the most widely-used software products in the world, including the Android operating system, Google Maps, and Google Drive. The company generates most of its revenue through advertising, with over 80% of its revenue coming from Google ads. Alphabet has over 200,000 employees worldwide and is known for its unique company culture, which emphasizes innovation and collaboration. The company is committed to sustainability and has set several ambitious goals, including a goal to operate on 100% renewable energy by 2030. Alphabet is one of the largest technology companies in the world and is a member of the prestigious FAANG group of companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google). The company is also a major player in the cloud computing industry, with Google Cloud Platform being one of the leading cloud computing services in the market. Alphabet is known for its extensive research and development activities, with the company investing heavily in areas such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and quantum computing. The company is also active in the self-driving car industry through its subsidiary Waymo.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Timonrosso
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsI you haven`t sold GOOGL here, to buy it cheaper later: Then analyzing the options chain of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the $106.5usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-6-16 for a premium of approximately $2.17. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by TopgOptions
GOOGLE Ahead of a 1D Golden CrossAlphabet Inc (GOOGL) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is a very bullish pattern, that can be enough to break above the Channel up pattern that the stock has been trading in since the November 03 2022 market bottom. In that case we will target Resistance 1 at 122.50. If however we get a candle close below the 1D MA200, we will sell towards the bottom of the Channel Up and then buy for a 115.00 Higher High target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by TradingShot
5
Google -> Finally The BottomHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock just recently perfectly broke above and is now retesting a major previous weekly structure area which is now turned support at the HKEX:104 level. You can also see that weekly market structure is now bullish, moving averages are also bullish and the recent price action on Alphabet stock just looks like a solid bottom formation so I simply do expect more continuation towards the upside from the current levels. On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is about to shift bearish so I am now just waiting for a clear bullish impulse and break above the daily HKEX:107 resistance before I then do expect more continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by basictradingtv
45
Google -> Ready For The RallyHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock just recently broke above a quite obvious bearish trendline, breaking out of a multi-month downtrend. You can also see that weekly market structure is bullish again, we already broke above the $100 resistance area and retested and rejected the area so everything seems very bullish on the weekly timeframe. On the daily timeframe you can see that Google stock is retesting previous daily resistance at the FWB:108 area so I am now just waiting for a simple break and retest before I then do expect more continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by basictradingtv
39
Should Investors Consider Buying Alphabet Stock ?Alphabet's stock has risen by 25 percent from its 52-week low, but the emergence of artificial intelligence ChatGPT poses a real challenge to the company's search engine. However, investors may not fully comprehend the nature of the company or overlook the reasons to invest in Alphabet's stock. Therefore, they should take a macroeconomic perspective when evaluating the company. Despite concerns about its position in search, Alphabet has evolved beyond its advertising-funded search engine, which helped it grow to its present size. With a growing interest in other parts of the technology industry, the company has been working for years to shift away from its ad-dependent model. It is worth noting that 79 percent of Alphabet's revenue still came from advertising last year. Nonetheless, Google Cloud has become a significant source of revenue for the company. It accounts for 9% of Alphabet's revenue in 2022, up from just over 7% the previous year. Additionally, Alphabet owns numerous companies, including Verily Life Sciences, DeepMind, and Waymo, among others. While Alphabet allows most of these companies to operate under different brands and rarely breaks down the financials separately, investors should not be surprised if some of these companies become more prominent within Alphabet if advertising growth continues to slow. If Alphabet's multiple companies fail to save it from an advertising slump, its balance sheet can. The company's success in advertising has made it incredibly wealthy, with nearly $114 billion in liquidity. Although that amount is down from $140 billion in 2021, the cash reserves give Alphabet considerable leeway. Alphabet generates around $60 billion in free cash flow in 2022 alone, and therefore, even if some concerns about Google's competitiveness in search prove valid, Alphabet is still likely to generate revenue from various other sources. Despite Alphabet's favorable macroeconomic outlook, the stock price has steadily declined amid a bear market in technology and a downturn in the digital advertising industry. The stock price plummeted to $83 a share, about 45% from its peak to its low, due to concerns about ChatGPT. Although the stock has recovered somewhat since then, it is still selling at a 30 percent discount from its high in early 2022. Moreover, the price momentum has driven its P/E ratio down to 23, making it a cheaper stock than all of its mega-tech peers. Given Alphabet's macroeconomic situation, investors may have an opportunity to purchase its stock. Nonetheless, it remains uncertain when ad spending will recover, and ChatGPT poses a real competitive threat to the search engine. However, even if Alphabet loses its edge in these businesses, the company has plenty of other investments and a cash reserve of $114 billion, which ensures a long-term recovery regardless of how the search and digital advertising business develops.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by FOREXN1
11
Google - A Manipulation Dump and an Antitrust Exit PumpIf you have a taste for anything like freedom of speech, neither Google nor YouTube are companies you will like. This thing started as a search engine that actually had the motto "Don't Be Evil" before it was corrupted by the Chinese Communist Party when "very smart people" wanted to get it into China. You see, doing business with "China" right now always means licking the boots of the "Chinese Communist Party." This means you have to toe the Party Line, and that means topics like the June 4 Tiananmen Square Massacre and the persecution against Falun Gong, and Hong Kong democracy have to be suppressed in accordance with whatever the regime says during the previous, current, and future 2 hour periods of each and every day. It was then that Google developed a taste for its own form of shadowbanning and thought itself smart to roll out the CCP's ethos into its worldwide business model. When you search for content you get curated whatever gibberished and extreme leftist-establishment stuff it thinks it can give you to either attempt to nudge your opinion and values (DONALD TRUMP BAD!), or to just cover up the truth (try finding an update on the pandemic situation in China that isn't 2 weeks old). As scary as all of that is, more terrifying is the way that Google is able to control the editorial direction of every single website on the planet, especially news media, by strictly controlling the web ads market, which it has controlled 90% of for many years. Don't want to follow the Party's edicts on stuff like the Marxist revolutionary group Black Lives Matter destroying cities? Don't want to promote masking, social distancing, and mandatory vaccination during a "pandemic"? Then they take your site's ad revenue away, for real. Hint: there aren't many ways to make money with a website whose product is free words ("news") besides advertisements. On Jan. 24 the US Department of Justice finally launched an antitrust suit against Google , seeking to financially penalize and force Google to divest its share of the markets. What's scary about this for investors is that Google inked $209 billion in revenue from web ads in 2021. According to Q3 Financials, ~$167 billion of its $207 billion in revenue for the 9 months ending in September 2022 came from web advertisements. This part of its business is pretty much what Google actually is. The search engine is really just there to dominate the Internet for the purposes of keeping the ad revenue train clutched in their own claws. And curiously, when the DOJ made the suit's announcement, Google's share price only fell $6, and over the course of two days, before rebounding in the big tech short squeeze. This is kind of a big deal because Google losing its web ad business means Google goes out of business, and US Government antitrust lawsuits aren't this kind of thing that they drop one day or that the courts or a jury will side against the administration on. Google's Q4/FY22 earnings is Feb. 2 postmarket. This timing is especially significant considering that the FOMC rate hike is Feb. 1. The question when facing a strange price action situation underwritten by big fundamental changes with multiple culminating timing catalysts is always: Is the stock going to go up or is it going to go down? The thing about Google's monthly bars is there's a very small gap at $81.05, which was conveniently evaded in the October dump and kept off during the Nov-December market retrace. The clearest view of overall price action is on the weekly candles: My thesis is that Google will have a terrible earnings call, regardless of whatever data it puts out, because of the pending lawsuit. I suspect markets will bear trap with FOMC, regardless of the fundamentals. All of these come together to make me believe that February prints $79-$81. Makes for a nice 25% short. But when this arrives, I believe Google and the Nasdaq in general will actually turn around and really trend hard upwards, regardless of the fundamentals. This makes for a nice 29.5% long if Google really only retraces into the $95 gap, and a 50%+ long if she goes into the $81 range. I believe the reason a tech pump will happen is because the sector attracts the biggest suckers (retail, Robinhood, Reddit, Cathy Woods, Jim Cramer) and Wall Street will be using them to empty their bags. Citadel and JPM and friends always buy low and sell high. They don't buy high and sell low. That's what you do. If banks and funds did that, they'd be broke like you are, and we'd have Bear Sterns every month. Once big tech starts to trend upwards, you have to be careful. The market will more or less do what Tesla did the last two weeks and just go uppy as weekly puts expire worthless. And there will be no real sign of anything fundamental that should stop the train. Everyone will flip bullish for one reason or another (mah 200 DMA, meh trendlines, moh 76.321847234% Fibonacci) and it'll seem like it's time to get back to the good old days of 2021. But it's not 2021. It's 2023, and everything is broken. Summer is going to be harsh, and Autumn will scare you. And then the Chinese Communist Party will be destroyed by Wuhan Pneumonia seemingly overnight, and all the plans will be interrupted. My advice to traders is to just risk a lot less and try to keep your risk within your winnings as much as possible. Also, if you really do see a black swan with China that crashes markets, don't buy that dip. Not even a scalp. It won't be like COVID hysteria was with 1,000 point up and down swings on the Dow this time. Everything will just gap down and stay down. Liquidity will be a precious commodity. One thing I've learned is that people never believe in what they think can't happen until it's unfolding in front of their face. Then they come back and are like "Wow it really did happen!" Even I am subject to that flaw, because the length of time things take to unfold makes actually believing you are right very, very difficult. That being said, I believe that we're looking at overall feverish bull market hysteria heading into May. But what happens starting in May and heading into July is very likely going to change everyone's lives forever and ever.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by LordWrymouth
6
Google -> The Stock Is BackHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock has been trading in a range for quite some time now, you can also see that the upper resistance of this trading range is exactly at $105. You can also see that we are currently again retesting this resistance area, from a weekly perspective the market seems definitely ready for a breakout so I think that this time Google stock will actually break above this key resistance area. On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for a breakout above this resistance area and if we then get a retest and bullish confirmation, it is quite likely that from there we will then see more continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by basictradingtv
34