Silver (XAGUSD) how to construct a trade:Medium bullish take:
OANDA:XAGUSD is trading around the $30 price level for the first time in years. Is there a trade here? Could we see $40 by EOY? Let’s draw some charts:
We're trading in a Bullflag at the $30 level
Triple top, we're not quite ready to hold above the level
Find nearby price targets
Establish long term support lines
Use momentum indicators and price action to draw a reasonable path which engages the price structures you've established.
So according to our charts, we should expect a bounce above $27 Be mindful, there are exogenous events that push the price around. Shifts in the macro landscape will impact the path price takes.
For details, I've included a fun GIF, animating the construction of this chart. Check out my twitter for more!
NOTE: Original idea posted 7/23
Antifiat
$DXY about to hit THE WALL?Love TVC:GOLD , stocks, real estate? Well I'm about to make your day.
TVC:DXY is strolling into historic resistance at 115. On the WEEKLY timeframe, we have two conjoining forces: A major resistance from the '85 high of 160 (in yellow), and a triple top high of 118 during the early '00s(in yellow). We're also riding the bottom support of 104 in our current rising channel.
Fundamentals: The Fed and US fiscal policy will face pressure to weaken the dollar to strengthen exports, boost GDP. This means inflation isn't going away and any rate cuts are going to be like tossing gasoline on a bonfire.
Dollar milkshake fans will be shocked to see flight to the dollar fading, as harder money like Gold plays a larger role in sovereign bank collateralizations, trade imbalances. The assumption that the US will remain the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry may well flip by the end of the decade as multipolar alternatives become more attractive and the debt markets increasingly realize the US debt is beyond repayable (in today's dollars).
This is going to provide a tail-wind to all #antifiats, chief among them: GOLD, Bitcoin, and any stock with pricing power. I also see real-estate doing well as foreign US treasuries holders (like China, India, Japan) decide they'd rather bid up US homes, commercial property than earn a pretend yield on terrible debt instruments.
ANTI-FIATS: Bitcoin, GOLD on Track for Repeat +300%, +400%TVC:GOLD is at all-time highs but remains significantly undervalued. This is evident both in the price action on our charts and in the changing geopolitical landscape, which impacts our financial tactics and the price action we expect to see in the coming years.
Fundamentals :
We must consider the actual and increasingly perceived risks to USD currency hegemony and the sovereign debt crisis. Between BRICS+, the waning strength of the petro-dollar agreement, and the monetization risk to government treasuries, a move to $4000 or $5000 in the coming 18 months feels plausible.
Technicals :
We're experiencing a bullish impulse following the breakout of the 2011-2023 cup and handle (in white) at the $2k price level. I've marked the two most significant price levels over the past 30 years ($400 and $2k). By extending a symmetric, measured move from the 2005 $400 level to the 2011 $2k level, we can identify a target of $6k before 2030.
What's the Play? :
While I'm catching tomatoes from both my TVC:GOLD bugs and BTCUSD maxi friends, the case is clear to me that all ANTI-FIAT assets are poised to excel in the coming years. Stagflation, debt monetization, and high interest rates are here to stay. At some point, we might see Gold vs. Bitcoin square off to see who gets to eat the other's slice of the pie, but for now, the enemy of my enemy is my friend. So let's pack our bags!
GOLD two case scenario, will it drop down or make new highs?Gold has been trading in a channel for a while and soon it should breakout. Because we are in a bullish trend, I favour more of the upside continuation to the upside as opposite to being a bear, even though like possible. Make sure you have a sound trading plan if you are taking this one.
Comment what you think about gold and share your charts. PM me if you got questions.
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Chainlink analysisChainlink spearheading the defi space of blockchain and crypto. Looks like it has completed a 5 wave impuslive 12345 structure and completed the correction ABC.
The god market for crypto is Bitcoin and the god market for bitcoin is gold and gold goes up when the dollar weakens. It is unclear whether the short term structure of gold is bullish or bearish, and it'd be hard to confidently say that Chainlink can go up regardless of what is happening to gold, but the structure says we should form another 5 wave structure.
If you are trading, keep your stops wide, and make your positions small, for long term investors, this is a bullish sentiment.
Comment with your charts, let me know what you think. For any questions, hit the DM
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Update on DXYI initially had a target of 93.15 for the dollar index. The target has been reached and the price broke the level and the next estimate is 92.66.
There is also a possibility of over performance to the 91 level. EURUSD is currently in a very significant level and if the level repels the price (which it will most likely do) it probably will be followed back by a pull back in silver and gold as well as crypto, however at the moment DXY is not showing signs of recovery