Apple Stock Falls Despite Strong EarningsApple stock is down more than 4% in the final session of the week, following the company’s earnings release yesterday. Apple reported earnings per share of $1.57, beating expectations of $1.43, while total revenue reached $94.04 billion, surpassing the $89.53 billion forecasted by the market.
However, despite the strong results, the stock is once again facing a notable short-term bearish bias as investor concerns grow. The primary issue is the perception that Apple is falling behind in the race for artificial intelligence, especially compared to its main competitors. In addition, shortly after the earnings announcement, it was noted that the company may face challenges in sustaining growth throughout the remainder of 2025, which has fueled additional downward pressure on the stock.
Sideways Range Emerges
In recent weeks, Apple’s price action has consolidated within a clear lateral range, with resistance around $211 and support near $194. So far, price fluctuations have not been strong enough to break this structure, and the latest bearish candlestick has reinforced the validity of the channel. For now, this sideways range remains the most relevant technical formation to watch in the upcoming sessions.
Technical Indicators
RSI:
The RSI line is falling rapidly and is now approaching the oversold zone at the 30 level. If the indicator reaches that threshold, it could suggest a technical imbalance, opening the door to a short-term bullish correction.
MACD:
The MACD histogram has moved into negative territory in recent sessions, suggesting a clear dominance of bearish momentum in the moving average structure. If this persists, selling pressure may continue to build in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$211 – Main Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish trend.
$200 – Psychological Support: Round number zone, a breakdown here could activate an immediate bearish bias for the next sessions.
$194 – Key Support: Corresponds to recent weekly lows. A move below this level would likely confirm a more extended bearish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Apple
Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍
After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : NASDAQ:AAPL .
Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart...
Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into:
🧭 1. Trade War Revival
New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk.
🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race
While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading.
🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk
~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away.
🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty?
There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium.
⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic
The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens.
🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing.
The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks.
Downside levels I’m watching:
📉 177.65 (first support)
📉 154.53 (next key level)
❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates
Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned.
Let me know your thoughts—still long NASDAQ:AAPL , or hedging this weakness?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base.
2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential.
3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout.
4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter.
5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Apple - The next major push higher!🍎Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) will head for new highs:
🔎Analysis summary :
Apple has been underperforming markets for a couple of months lately. However technicals still remain very bullish, indicating an inherent and substantial move higher soon. All we need now is bullish confirmation and proper risk management and this setup looks very decent.
📝Levels to watch:
$200, $300
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
APPLE: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Looking at the chart of APPLE right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AAPL Weekly Breakout – Targeting $266Hello Traders,
Here’s my latest analysis on Apple (AAPL) based on the weekly chart.
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
Main Uptrend Channel (Blue): Price has respected this channel since 2023.
Red Downtrend Sub-Channel: Recent corrective phase is now broken.
Breakout Signal: Last week, AAPL closed above the sub-channel’s upper line, confirming bullish momentum.
📌 Updated Trade Setup Section:
Entry Zone: Around $215 (current price)
Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $195 (Risk = $20)
Targets:
✅ $230 (Reward = $15 → R:R = 0.75:1)
✅ $266 (Reward = $51 → R:R = 2.55:1)
Always confirm with your own strategy before entering a trade. Position sizing and risk control are key.
💬 Do you think AAPL can reach $266 before Q4 2025? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:AAPL
TESLA 400 BY END OF YEAR !! 5 REASONS !!!
1. **Strong Earnings and Revenue Growth**
Tesla has a track record of exceeding earnings expectations. If the company reports robust financial results in Q3 and Q4—driven by higher vehicle deliveries and growth in its energy storage business—investors are likely to gain confidence. This could push the stock price upward as Tesla demonstrates its ability to scale profitably.
2. **Advancements in Autonomous Driving**
Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is a game-changer in the making. If Tesla achieves significant progress toward Level 4 or 5 autonomy—where vehicles can operate with little to no human intervention—it could position the company as a leader in transportation innovation. Such a breakthrough would likely excite investors and drive the stock price higher.
3. **Battery Technology Innovation**
Tesla is working on developing cheaper, longer-lasting batteries, which could lower production costs and improve profit margins. If the company announces advancements in battery tech—such as improvements from its Battery Day initiatives or new manufacturing processes—it could signal a competitive edge, boosting the stock to $400.
4. **Global Expansion and Production Increases**
Tesla’s new Gigafactories in Texas and Berlin are ramping up production, while potential market entries like India loom on the horizon. Increased output and access to new customers signal strong growth potential. If Tesla successfully scales its operations, investors may see this as a reason to push the stock price toward $400.
5. **Favorable Market Trends and Government Policies**
The global shift toward sustainable energy and electric vehicles (EVs) is accelerating, supported by government incentives and regulations favoring clean energy. If EV adoption continues to rise and policies provide a tailwind—such as subsidies or stricter emissions standards—Tesla, as an EV leader, could see increased demand and a higher stock valuation.
While reaching $400 by year-end is ambitious, Tesla’s strong brand, innovative edge, and leadership under Elon Musk could make it achievable. That said, risks like market volatility and growing competition from other EV makers could pose challenges. If these five factors align, however, Tesla’s stock has a solid shot at hitting that target.
APPLE A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The market is trading on 211.18 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 205.87
Recommended Stop Loss - 213.80
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple: Consolidation Before Potential Breakout Toward $260Apple shares have recently pulled back into a consolidation phase. We see further upside potential in magenta wave (B) before a pullback occurs as part of the same-colored wave (C), which is expected to target the low of green wave . After that, we anticipate a new upward move: Green wave should take over—remaining above support at $168—and drive the stock toward the next major resistance at $260.10. However, if the price drops back below the $168 support level, our alternative scenario comes into play: in that case, we would expect a lower low for blue wave alt.(IV), with a probability of 32%.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
APPLE Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 211.08 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 206.69
Recommended Stop Loss - 213.91
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple Stock Is Surging! Here’s What Most People MissWhen it comes to trading, we don’t care about the latest news headlines or whether some analyst has upgraded or downgraded Apple stock. We focus on one thing and one thing only: the undeniable forces of supply and demand imbalances on higher timeframes.
Right now, Apple’s monthly chart is a textbook example of how waiting for a strong demand imbalance pays off. That $178 monthly level is no random number. It’s the exact origin of a massive bullish impulse that happened in June 2024 — the kind of move that only happens when smart money and big institutions step in, creating an imbalance that pushes the price away rapidly.
📈 It’s Not About Fundamentals. It’s About Imbalances.
Most retail traders waste time chasing news, earnings, or rumours about iPhone sales. But if you think about it, all those factors are already priced in once a strong imbalance is formed. Institutions don’t wait for tomorrow’s news — they plan their positions weeks or months ahead, and those footprints are visible right on your chart.
The $178 level indicates a significant drop in supply and a surge in demand large enough to propel Apple higher, marked by consecutive large bullish candlesticks. That’s our signal — nothing more, nothing less.
Apple Is Climbing the Fibonacci Channel Ladder – Step 5 Ahead?On the monthly chart, Apple (AAPL) is steadily moving within a well-defined ascending Fibonacci channel, like climbing a ladder — step by step.
The price is currently testing Step 4 , a zone that has acted as a strong resistance barrier.
Despite the pressure here, the structure still appears bullish, and even a minor pullback might simply be a pause before the next move.
If momentum picks up, we could soon see a breakout toward the next step — targeting 234 at Step 5.
The trend remains technically intact unless the channel is broken, and the overall formation still leans toward continuation.
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 213.58
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 208.03
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short APPLE
Entry - 213.58
Sl - 217.99
Tp - 204.49
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
APPLE: 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years just formed.Apple is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.490, MACD = 1.760, ADX = 17.850) and yesterday it started forming the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years. This signals the extension of the 2nd major bullish wave of the 3 year Channel Up. The previous one made an incredible extensino to +78.49%. That gives us the target to work with for the rest of the year. The trade is long, TP = $290.
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Apple: More Room to RunWe still allow more room for Apple’s magenta wave (B) to extend upward before wave (C) takes over, pulling the stock toward the low of green wave . Thereafter, green wave should start (above $168) and initiate the next advance, lifting the stock toward resistance at $260.10. A break below $168, however, would activate our alternative scenario, in which blue wave alt.(IV) targets a deeper low (32% probability).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
XLK ETF. TO WAR, OR NOT TO WAR — THAT IS THE QUESTION..US stock futures edged lower Wednesday evening ahead of Thursday’s market closure for Juneteenth.
The moves came after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, with Chair Jerome Powell striking a cautious tone amid rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Powell reaffirmed a data-dependent approach, pointing to unclear inflation impacts from President Trump’s tariffs and the risk of stagflation.
Fed projections now include two rate cuts in 2025, alongside downgraded growth expectations and higher inflation forecasts.
Investor sentiment was further dampened by escalating tensions in the Middle East, as the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict stoked fears of deeper US involvement, while North Korea has recently launched 10 rockets from near capital Pyongyang.
Futures for 7 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the Prime Day holiday in the red, led by declines in energy, while technology outperformed.
What is more important Technology sector is the one and only over 11 S&P 500 sectors that has printed recently new all the history high, just one - two days before Prime Day.
What is XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF
AMEX:XLK ETF is respectively The Technology Select Sector ETF, that seeks to provide investment results correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Technology Sector Index.
The largest 5 holdings of this ETF are Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Oracle NYSE:ORCL , while all together they weight nearly 50 percent of the fund by market cap.
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT shares have experienced a significant upward trend in 2025, reaching new all-time highs and reflecting the company’s robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the technology sector.
Record Highs and Price Momentum
As of June 18, 2025, Microsoft’s stock closed at $480.24, marking its highest closing price ever. This price is just below its 52-week high of $481.00 and represents a 14% gain year-to-date, making Microsoft one of the best-performing stocks among the so-called “Magnificent Seven” tech giants in 2025. The stock’s average price over the past 52 weeks was $422.77, and its 52-week low was $344.79, which is 28.2% below the current level, highlighting the impressive rally over the past year.
Short-Term and Long-Term Performance
In the immediate term, Microsoft’s stock has shown steady gains. Over the past week, the share price rose by 2.03%, and over the past month, it increased by 6.36%. Looking at a broader horizon, the stock is up 6.79% over the last year, underscoring consistent investor confidence and the company’s ability to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Drivers Behind the Rally
Several factors have contributed to Microsoft’s recent share price surge:
Artificial Intelligence Investment. Microsoft continues to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, with plans to spend $80 billion in fiscal 2025. This aggressive investment is seen as crucial to maintaining a competitive edge in cloud computing and AI services, areas that are driving much of the company’s growth.
Cost Management. Despite the heavy spending on AI, Microsoft is also focused on controlling costs. The company is reportedly planning to trim thousands of jobs, particularly in sales, to offset rising expenses and protect profit margins. This follows earlier workforce reductions and reflects a broader trend among major tech firms to optimize operations amid escalating AI-related costs.
Diversified Revenue Streams. Microsoft’s strong position in software, cloud computing, and AI, along with its subscription-based business model and consistent dividend growth, have bolstered investor sentiment. The company’s cloud platform Azure and productivity tools continue to show strong adoption across industries.
Market and Analyst Sentiment
Microsoft’s market capitalization recently reached $3.55 trillion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.94, indicating high investor expectations for future growth. Analysts’ price targets for MSFT range from $432 to $700, suggesting a wide spectrum of views but generally positive long-term sentiment.
Competitive and Operational Challenges
Despite its strong performance, Microsoft faces competitive pressures, particularly from OpenAI, which has been offering discounted ChatGPT subscriptions, impacting Microsoft’s own AI products like Copilot. Additionally, negotiations with OpenAI over continued access to its technology have reportedly stalled, introducing some uncertainty into Microsoft’s AI strategy.
Technical challenge and summary
While Microsoft shares have recently hit record highs, driven by aggressive AI investment, disciplined cost management, and strong core business performance, it robustly helped to all the Technology sector came back to 6-month key resistance after nearly 40 percent recovery rally.
While the market faces different challenges, we keep our strategic focus on next positions and further stock market development.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎