💱GBPCAD - Triangle on the background of the uptrend GBPCAD in the format of a global ascending price channel forms a setup that may resume upward movement after a small stagnation in the flat format
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The market is in a bullish trend. Consolidation is forming above 1.71000.
2) The liquidity area on the support side may not let the price down, but on the contrary, push it up and make the price break the resistance
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A triangle continues to form. The price is consolidating
2) A false breakout of resistance is formed, the price forms a rebound.
3) Two scenarios are possible: 1) price will form a quick retest of resistance - a situation with a high chance of a breakout. 2) price will reach the support and market reaction will be formed from this area.
Key support📉: 1.70987
Key resistance📈: 1.71750, 1.71910
Ascending Channel
Bitcoin - The next crash is coming! But first, bullish action.
The next crash is coming for the price of Bitcoin, but first we need to correct the recent downtrend! This correction can be pretty significant up to the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is at 27,609. You probably want to set your limit orders to short BTC at this level!
After a bullish correction, I expect another huge crash, kindly to 20k. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line; there will be a lot of bullish corrections, so you need to be clever on when to short Bitcoin.
Resistance 2 (start of the GAP + 0.618 FIB) is at 27609, and Resistance 1 (end of the GAP + 0.382 FIB) is at 26406. I see only these 2 levels where the bears should step in again!
Above the current price, we have an unfilled CME gap exactly between resistance 1 and resistance 2. These gaps tend to be filled, but of course, it's not mandatory.
Bitcoin spiked significantly last week on the GBTC news; a lot of people were really optimistic and bought the pump, but a huge crash followed. It's similar to the XRP news: XRP pumped by 100% and then went down below the starting point of the pump.
From the Elliott Wave perspective on the chart, we can see a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of weakness for the price. The expectation is that we need to make an ABC bullish correction before continuing to the downside in the downtrend.
This is my current outlook on BTC; I am still bearish, but we need to open short at higher prices!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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💱GBPJPY - Price may form a bearish momentum GBPJPY forms potentially different signals on different timeframes. But there are localized preconditions that increase the chances for a fall.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price failed to form an impulse after breaking through the resistance at 183.76. A consolidation with locally declining highs is forming. We see pressure from the sellers.
2) On H4, a kind of reversal pattern is forming in relation to the local resistance area.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The price has been in an ascending price channel for a long time. After the formation of a double top reversal set-up, the market forms an attempt to change the trend.
2) Price breaks the bullish channel support, a correction is formed and we see a strong consolidation forming over the last 24 hours.
3) If the price breaks the support at 184.74, we may see an impulse towards 183.00.
4) If the price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel - the growth will continue.
Key resistance📈: 185.59
Key support📉: 184.74
GOLD → Market is at the 0 point on which the direction dependsOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the 1947 resistance again but after updating the low. The market is in place and is forming flat consolidation. Let me remind - globally the price is testing the resistance of the key descending channel
Locally we have a bullish price channel. Globally, a bearish trend is forming on D1, the price is testing the resistance after a month of correction. Consolidation is formed above the resistance of the channel. Distributive growth to the mentioned zone reduces the chances of resistance breakout, and if the price goes below the 1935 area, the market may form a rather strong bearish impulse.
We are currently interested in the levels of 1947 and 1939. A breakout of 1947 will confirm an attempt to change the trend and in this case the price will head towards 1980-2000. A decline below 1939 will send the price to 1935, a break of which will be a bearish signal for the medium term.
Support levels: 1939, 1935, 1932
Resistance levels: 1947, 1950
I expect a retest of 1939 in the nearest future. Further it will be necessary to follow the price reaction to the level, as well as the area of 1947.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Lots of assumptions. False breakout or breakdown? OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 is forming the preconditions for further growth, but there is no such thing on H1. NFP played no role for gold while the dollar is strengthening strongly
There are not many key news this week, but they all come out on Wednesday and are all worth paying attention to as the data indicator will give us a medium-term view on pricing:
1) SP Global US Services PMI
2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices
Monday is a holiday in the US, so we do not expect high volatility.
On the hourly timeframe there was a breakout of the resistance of the ascending channel earlier, everyone expected further growth, I told you that there is a chance of a false breakout. On Friday, after the publication of NFP and unemployment the market forms a shakeout in both directions, brings the price back to the boundaries of the ascending channel (false breakout) and in addition, the closing price remains in place of the opening price of the Friday session. The market is weak.
BUT! The dollar index TVC:DXY is testing strong resistance around 104.5, if the area is broken, the price will head towards 105.5, and this will negatively affect the formation of the gold price.
In this case, if the dollar starts its active growth, then on D1 gold will make a false breakdown of the bearish price channel, which will give a strong bearish signal and a huge potential for the price to fall as much as 6% and almost 1100 points.
It is important for us to wait for confirmation of the market action. The dollar index may fail to pass the mentioned mark and form a flat correction, which is another scenario and gold may get a chance to rise to 2000-2100 in this case
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Retest of support for decline before further growth BITSTAMP:ETHUSD breaks the global trend support. The breakout is not false. Local support at 1631 is forming on the chart. After a small correction there are prerequisites for further decline.
A wedge is formed on the global timeframe, the price bounces off the resistance and in the format of correction is heading towards the range support. Before the global growth the market is separated by the global descending line (red dotted line)
In the medium term, I expect a rebound from the support of the wedge with further retest of the indicated resistance line. If this area is broken through, the market will get a new potential.
Locally the price is in flat, a break of 1631 will lead the price to fall to the range support and the key liquidity area of 1500. A strong bullish reaction is likely to follow from this area, which could lead the market to a recovery. The moving averages are signaling a breakout of support.
Resistance levels: 1696, 1750
Support levels: 1631, 1501
I expect a breakout of 1631 and reaching 1501 before a further rise to 2021.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCADUSDCAD was trading in bullish ascending channel and then buying pressure seems limited. Now the pair is seems to be under strong sell pressure and break through important support zone with enormous sell pressure.
If the bears pressure is still on then bear's next target will be 1.3400.
What you guys think of it ?
🥇GOLD - Retest of global resistance. Trading in the channelGold on the global chart is testing the resistance of the key descending channel. There is little chance of a breakout of this area as gold's growth has been distributive. A pullback after a false breakdown may follow
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A retest of the descending channel resistance is formed
2) The retest is formed after a month, that's a lot of time for price to break resistance the first time around
3) The chance is higher that the decline will start.
4) DXY is testing an important level, if a bullish bounce happens, gold will start falling
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A breakout of the ascending channel is forming, but at the same time the price is bumping into a strong descending resistance line
2) The price can no longer update the local high, the retest forms a local high below the previous one.
3) If the price returns to the channel, under the 1942 area, it will start falling towards 1930.
Key support📉: 1942
Key resistance📈: 1948
GOLD → Pre-breakdown consolidation near resistance OANDA:XAUUSD makes another jump and updates the high of almost 4 weeks ago. All this is happening after breaking the resistance of the ascending channel.
Locally, a symmetrical triangle is formed, which can form an impulse both up and down, the main idea here is that consolidation is formed, which indicates that the market is preparing for further action.
Within the bullish impulse the price tests the previously mentioned resistance level 1947 and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. This level is not a target level and most likely the growth may continue. There is also a possibility that a small correction may be formed before further growth. Moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend.
Support levels: 1943, 1942
Resistance levels: 1947
I expect another retest of resistance with a chance of a breakout and further growth towards 1950-1955.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakdown or breakdown? What's next? OANDA:XAUUSD forms a false break of 1919 support and forms a rally. Yesterday I talked about consolidation on D1, relative to resistance, where we should expect a breakout. It happened, but the momentum was bigger than expected
As part of the bullish momentum and breakout of the consolidation, the price also breaks the resistance of the ascending channel, which can be interpreted differently, depending on the view.
1) It can be a breakout followed by consolidation of the price in the green zone, which gives us a buy entry point and a long position scenario. In such a case, price could consolidate to 1947 quite quickly
2) It could be a false breakout. If the consolidation is prolonged and there is no bullish reaction, a false break of trend support is likely to happen, for us the important level will be 1932, consolidation below this line will allow us to enter the trade comfortably. We follow the price reaction on the chart and look for confirmation of signals.
Support levels: channel boundary, 1932.
Resistance levels: 1937.6, 1947
A flat is forming on d1, within this pattern there is a chance that the price will reach resistance, but globally, the situation with further price growth still looks suspicious.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDCHFAUDCHF is trading in ascending channel but it seems like the buying stream is being limited. As the pair has started to form bearish candles from resistance zone. Currently the pair is hovering at local resistance zone but looks like sellers will take charge and continue to downside.
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GOLD → Gold is consolidating, there could be a lot of traps.OANDA:XAUUSD updates the local high, forms a retest, but cannot pass the area. The price is forming a correction that may reach the trend support area
Within the medium-term perspective on D1, the price is forming a setup for medium-term sales, but there is no confirmation yet. On the local chart the price is in an uptrend and is preparing to continue rising. On the d1 chart on the left we see consolidation formation for 4-5 days, most likely gold may try to break the resistance to reach the liquidity area of 1925 and 1935, but from the mentioned resistance area in the medium term price may react in a bearish way. At the moment gold is slowly rising and at the same time forming strong bearish impulses, the market is saving energy to move in one direction or the other, partly the situation depends on the DXY dollar index.
Support levels: 1916, 1910
Resistance levels: 1920, 1925, 1930
I expect consolidation in the specified range, a false breakout of one of the trend boundaries or flat is possible, while the market is consolidating it is difficult for us to determine the exact future direction.
Regards R. Linda!
Ascending Channel on XPT/USD @ D1An ascending channel pattern formed on the daily chart of the XPT/USD pair (Platinum CFD) after a downtrend that lasted for about one month. It can now be used for a bearish breakout trade setup. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The position of both lines is calculated based on the channel's width. The stop-loss is to be set to the high of the breakout candle (or to the high of the preceding candle if the breakout one is trading mostly outside the channel) - it isn't shown on this chart.
🥇GOLD - Support Retest. What can it lead to? Gold continues to strengthen.On Monday, the price is strengthening and testing the nearest key resistance. On the D1 chart we see a bearish trend, and on the local chart a gradation of resistances from 1922 to 1916 is forming, forming a tightness
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Gradually declining highs points form a bearish trend
2) Price forms a rebound after updating the local minimum
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Gold is in a bullish channel
2) A rebound from support is forming and the price is testing 1918.97.
3) A bounce from resistance to support may be followed by a bounce to support and then price may strengthen and form a shakeout against 1916-1922 before falling further.
4) From Friday to Monday we see a strong spike down - a shakeout in the market, now price may see the same thing, only upwards.
Key resistance📈: 1918.97
Key support📉: 1911, 1910
💱GBPJPY - Support retest on the background of bullish trend GBPJPY is forming an ascending price channel, but at the same time we see a reversal pattern forming and a retest of trend support.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price breaks the resistance at 184.76 and forms a local high of 186.764
2) The liquidity area forms a density from which the price bounces and tests the key resistance
TA on the low timeframe:
1) An ascending price channel is formed
2) The price bounces from the trend support and forms a retracement of 184.800.
3) If the level is broken, bullish momentum is possible
4) If the price does not break the resistance, returns to the support retest, then we should wait for the support breakout for further sales
Key resistance📈: 184.800
Key support📉: 184.47
GOLD → XAU bumps into a strong resistance area OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form counter-trend correction within the upward price channel. On the global timeframe the resistance area 1920-1935 plays an important role, the price is testing it
Globally, the market has a bearish trend, an upward correction is forming on the 1H while the DXY continues its strengthening. The forex market, where the dollar is in a sign, as with XAUUSD has already broken the support area, most likely this can be taken as a premise.
DXY continues to strengthen after consolidation and forms momentum towards 105.5 area, which could bearishly affect XAU pricing.
Gold bounces off trend support and heads towards 1920 resistance but falls short. The liquidity area has a big impact and prevents the price from approaching a local high. The price is at a strong resistance, a fall and a possible retest is likely to follow
Resistance levels: 1920, 1922.5
Support levels: 1912
The market has been strengthening since the opening of the session, but still can't update the local maximum. If the bulls do not let the price above 1919.45, it will be the beginning of further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The currency pair will form a correction before the falFX:GBPUSD breaks the trend support and is in the red zone, but the price may form a false breakdown and counter-trend correction before further fall
On the chart we see a global uptrend within the price channel, but at the moment of strengthening of the dollar, the currency pair gbpusd breaks the support of the trend and is in the red zone.
As part of the breakout and strong impulse, the price is testing the flat support and may form a false breakdown of 1.26065, followed by local growth either to 1.26800 or to the previously broken channel line (counter-trend correction)
Most likely, the dollar will continue to strengthen and thus weaken the pound, which will affect the chart. In the medium term, we may see a fall to the above support lines
Resistance levels: 1.26065, 1.26800
Support levels: 1.25600, 1.24868
I expect the formation of upward correction before the further fall of the price.
Regards R. Linda!
HZN ASX Price action has been adhering to the uptrend channel for a while. Tested res @ 0.165 several times and a base forming on the 0.150 support with the 200 day EMA coming in.
Might look for a slight retrace and see whether this candle closes above the 10 day EMA. Has respected most of the uptrend with solid support & resistance points interacting with the 200 day EMA.
Watching:
28/8/23
0.160
GOLD → Prerequisites for further decline, or?OANDA:XAUUSD is within the descending price channel. The trend break occurred at the end of June. Within the current channel, the price makes a false breakdown of 1902 and forms a rebound to resistance, which many perceived as a trend change, but it is not so
There are not many key news releases this week, but all of them are published on Wednesday, they are worth paying attention to, for the data indicator will provide us with a medium-term insight for pricing:
1) SP Global US Services PMI
2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices
Monday is a day off in the US, hence we do not expect high volatility.
From the technical analysis point of view:
The price is in a descending price channel. The nearest resistance that may play an important role for the price is at 1920, 1935, on Monday and Tuesday the price is likely to reach this area before falling further. Why am I expecting a fall? Pay attention to the DXY chart. The dollar index has consolidated above the strong 103 level, forming an impulse and testing a false break of 104.3. In the medium term, the DXY could continue to rise towards 105.65, which would give a bearish push for gold
Support levels: 1902.9, 1884
Resistance levels: 1920, 1935.5
The direction of the dollar will give us the primary movement of the gold price in the first half of the weekly session, the news on Wednesday will determine the further movement.
Regards R. Linda!
Zooming out in Crypto InvestingLet's take a step back and chat about the power of zooming out when it comes to analyzing Bitcoin's price chart. It's like getting a bird's-eye view of the crypto landscape – and trust me, it's full of valuable insights. Ready to dive into the benefits of zooming out and uncovering a decade-long ascending channel? Let's go!
🔍 The Magic of Perspective: Imagine looking at a single brushstroke versus the entire painting – that's the essence of zooming out. When you expand your view, you're not just seeing the trees; you're taking in the entire forest. Zooming out offers context, a broader picture, and a chance to spot long-term trends.
🚀 A Decade of Growth: Believe it or not, we've been riding the crypto rollercoaster for over a decade. And guess what? Bitcoin's price action during this time has been unfolding within an ascending channel – a dynamic corridor of growth. This channel showcases higher lows and higher highs over the years.
💡 The Power of Patterns: Identifying a long-term pattern like the ascending channel can provide valuable insights for investors. It's like having a roadmap for potential price movements. Higher lows and higher highs suggest an overall bullish sentiment in the long run.
📈 The Investment Angle: For investors, zooming out is like tapping into the matrix of market movements. It's not just about day-to-day fluctuations; it's about understanding the overarching trend. And the ascending channel might just be the canvas where Bitcoin's future is being painted.
🌐 The Big Picture: So, where does this take us? Over the past ten years, Bitcoin's price has been following a steady trajectory within the ascending channel. While there will always be short-term fluctuations, the long-term trend indicates a gradual upward momentum.
So, what's the big takeaway from this zooming-out adventure? 🌄 It's all about gaining perspective, understanding the long-term trend, and making more informed investment decisions. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious newcomer, taking a step back can be the key to unlocking a clearer view of the crypto journey.
Stay curious, keep those charts zoomed out, and get ready to ride the waves of the crypto future with a newfound clarity! 📊🌊
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🥇GOLD - Rally. The price strengthens and forms a retest XAUUSD surprises by forming a rather strong movement on the background of weak news. This movement is based on technical factors, namely the realization of consolidation within the framework of correction on the background of bearish trend
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price is correcting and aiming for resistance at 1937.5
2) Globally we have a bearish trend, locally this trend is opposite to the global one.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) I have marked support at 1918 and an ascending support line
2) Price may form a liquidity retest if this area is retested. If sellers sell the level on a pullback, price will break support and fly to 1900
3) At the moment there is a chance that from 1918 area the price will break up and hit 1930.
Key support📉: 1918.9, trend line
Key resistance📈: 1930
USDJPY → Double top on the background of the uptrend FX:USDJPY continues to form an ascending price channel. After breaking one of the resistance lines, the price is forming a pattern that could weaken the price during the DXY stop.
On the chart, I have marked two levels that are quite close to each other. Pay attention to the levels 145.06 and 144.9. The price forms a correction after the formation of a double top reversal pattern, to realize the pattern the price needs to wait for confirmation (breakout of the base of the pattern).
If the price returns above the level of 145.06 and forms consolidation of the price above the level, then in the short term the currency pair may update the local maximum and test the trend resistance
If the price breaks the support at 144.9 and forms consolidation below the level, we will see a fall to the support zone.
Resistance levels: 145.06, 145.515
Support levels: 144.9, 144.59
Consolidation near these levels in the short term will determine the future direction, our task is to follow the price reaction to these key points.
Regards R. Linda!
💱GBPUSD - Rising channel. Is growth to 1.29000 possible? GBPUSD forms a rebound from 1.26525 support and forms a local counter-trend correction
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price in the range of 1.28484 - 1.26525
2) After a false breakdown of support there is a potential for strengthening to resistance
TA on the low timeframe
1) A local bullish channel is formed
2) Price consolidates at support and forms a retest of resistance
3) Within the up-trend, the retest of 1.27836 may form a breakout and growth to 1.29000.
Key support📉: 1.27155
Key resistance📈: 1.27836