AudUsd- Is Aussie finally done?From the beginning of June, AudUsd is trading in an ascending channel which is contracting and contracting and looks more like a rising wedge.
We also have a false break above the channel's resistance which, in my opinion, marks the top for the pair.
Is clear for me that Aussie lacks power at this point and a much-nedded correction is just around the corner.
At the time of writing AusUsd is trading at 0.7266 and a daily close under 0.7250 would reinforce my opinion and should trigger sales for the pair.
My soft target for this pair is 0.7 but Aud can fall even to 0.68 which is the target for the rising wedge pattern
Audusdidea
The probability of the end of wave A and the beginning of the doThe Ending Diagonal pattern is placed in the 5th wave from point C, by the completion of wave 4, wave 5 is finished in the range of 0.74135. In order to confirm the downtrend, initially the uptrend line must be broken, for the confirmation of the main downtrend, the price needs to cross the range of0.7132, which is the end of wave 4.
AudUsd- rallies should be soldIn my opinion, the false break above the channel's resistance for AudUsd marks a clear top for the pair and after a 200 pips drop from this top the pair is now in a normal correction.
I expect a new leg down after this correction and rallies should be sold
The bearish outlook is valid as long as the pice stays under 0.74
AudUsd- extremely bearish under 0.7250Since mid-March AudUsd has had a fabulous run, with the pair gaining almost 2000 pips, but more importantly, this translates in a 40% gain.
Coming back in August, we have a false break above wedge resistance which gives me reasons to think that a deep correction will follow.
0.7250 is now important support with a confluence of horizontal and trendline and a break here would put AudUsd in a downtrend in the medium term
AUD/USD moving in upward channel.Currently, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7303. The pair is trading in upward resistance and support channel and about to break its entry level. The price is moving towards its support level at 0.7200 and it can rebound back after touching support level. So, it it breaks the entry level at 0.7300, it may continue its down trend and can touch its target price ( support level ) at 0.7200.
Follow proper risk management strategy to avoid unnecessary losses and to increase profitability, don't risk more than 2% of your capital on each trade.
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Rishikesh Lilawat
AUDUSD short trade ideaPlan: support level breakout --> wait for the price to bounce off from resistance level --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bearish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> SELL
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AudUsd- waiting for a catalyst Like its sister Nzd, AudUsd is consolidating in a range for the last 4 days.
Yesterday we have a pin bar which is also contained in the previous red candle indicating a lack of power to stay above 0.72.
I'm bearish this pair as long as the price stays under 0.7220 on a daily close basis and a dive under 0.7140 should accelerate losses towards 0.7 important figure.
AUD/USD Trading in channel.Currently, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7149. The pair is trading in an up trend from some time in a channel pattern, price has just touched the support level and It may rebound back from here. The pair may touch its strong resistance level at 0.7334 if it breaks the resistance level. It may also touch its strong support level at 0.7032 if it breaks the support level.
Follow proper risk management strategy to avoid unnecessary losses and to increase profitability, don't risk more than 2% of your capital on each trade.
Do follow us for future Forex trend analysis and Ideas.
Thank you,
Rishikesh Lilawat
AUDUSD reaches the top of the price channel, time to drop?AUDUSD has reached the top of the ascending price channel. If we see some bearish price action at the top of the channel, it will be a good idea to start looking at some sell trades.
There is a chance that AUDUSD may drop back to the support level at 0.7150.
Traders can look at sell trades between 0.7263-0.7284 with SL above 0.73 and TP at 0.7150
AUDUSD 4-hour chart analysis, uptrend intact but be carefulAUDUSD is still bullish on the 4H Chart. However, the bullish momentum has slowed down considerably. That makes this pair vulnerable to a sharp pullback.
Currently, price is still above the support level and the 100-period EMA. So, the buyers are still running the show here.
However, keep an eye on the level that I have highlighted in my chart. A strong break below this level will be negative for the buyers.
AUDUSD SELL OPPORTUNITY Waiting for AUDUSD to decrease down to the point, shown in the post.
..Take it into consideration anything can be possible to happen, if it breaks up the support level this idea would be failed.
You never quite know where the next big wave or gust of wind is coming from, but you know it is out there.
AUD/USD AnalysisA number of Chinese language firms have been listed within the US over the previous two months, and it seems that Chinese language commerce information is just not disturbed by hostile measures and rhetoric between the 2 largest economies on this planet. And that's in defiance of economists' expectations for decrease Chinese language exports, as they rose 7.2% (yr over yr) after June's 0.5% achieve. Imports decreased 1.4%. Economists had anticipated a slight enhance. The web results put a putting commerce surplus of $62.33 billion ($46.Four billion in June).
Of explicit curiosity, exports to the US rose 12.5% (yr over yr), the strongest enhancement in two years. Imports from the US elevated 3.6% (11.3% in June), dropping 3.5% year-on-year, whereas the Part 1 commerce settlement, in fact, known as for a rise not solely throughout 2019 but in addition throughout 2018 as nicely. China's commerce surplus of $32.46 billion with the US was barely lower than the commerce surplus in March and April mixed ($38 billion). Individually, China's oil imports declined 3.6% in the course of the month, whereas imports of commercial minerals (iron ore + 11% month-over-month) and copper ore (+ 13%), and China's metal exports rose 13%.
It seems that the sharp fluctuations within the international change market final month helped enhance the greenback's worth as international central financial institution reserves. South Korea lately introduced a rise of Four billion {dollars} to 416 billion {dollars}. Japan stated its reserves rose by $19.Three billion, the most important enhancement in six years, to $1.402 trillion. China's reserves rose by $42 billion to $3.154 trillion, the most important enhancement in six years.
Short Trade Ideas
>> Brief entry following bearish value motion on the H1 timeframe instantly upon the following contact of 0.7245 or 0.7300.
>> Place the cease loss 1 pip above the best latest value.
>> Modify the cease loss to interrupt even as soon as the commerce is 20 pips in revenue.
>> Take off 50% of the place as revenue when the commerce is 20 pips in revenue and depart the rest of the place to experience.
AUDUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisAUDUSD pulled back on Friday but so far the uptrend is intact on the 4H chart. The area that I have highlighted in my chart could work as a support level to push the price higher towards 0.73.
However, a break and consolidation below this level will indicate that the uptrend may have ended.
Either way, I will be looking at the price action at this critical level before placing any new trades.