AUDUSD is in sell zone!!AUDUSD (4H) long-term bearish market, the price currently has tested this neckline of a double top on the 4H highly likely to be rejected as long term trend is down and the price is in an important area of value. At the same time price has completed a head & shoulder could potentially prepare for a further drop.
Audusdtrade
AUDUSD preparing for drop!AUDUSD (4H) has formed a strong bearish price action on all timeframes. After a daily bearish engulfer on the last day of the trading week, today's price dropped early, now the price is testing this daily support and showing significant rejection on 4H forming a doji candle. It is highly likely that the price will continue to drop from this as the long-term trend is bearish.
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Has (AUD/USD) started a 5-wave movement?I think that this currency pair has started a big movement that will be in the form of 5 waves.
In my opinion, wave 1 is being completed and will soon enter the corrective phase.
The corrective wave that will start soon is wave 2, so consider that the best price to buy is wave 2.
Wave 2 itself will be in the form of (ABC), so note that if you use Fibonacci, pay attention to the numbers 50 and 61.8 and set your loss limit at 83.6
Be successful and profitable.
AUDUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUDUSD analysis: MACD bullish crossoverThe latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes, which opened the door to more interest rate hikes, may provide only marginal support to the Australian dollar when compared to the US dollar ( AUD/USD ).
Stronger global economic growth, a Chinese industrial recovery, more risk appetite among investors, and widespread gains in commodity prices are required for the Australian dollar to thrive. These factors would strongly reverse the Aussie’s trajectory, pushing the AUD/USD comfortably back above 0.70.
Therefore, for the time being, the RBA’s pledge serves to provide a floor, thus containing the potential downside risk of the AUD/USD pair, since the Fed is likewise convinced of rising interest rates forcefully.
AUD/USD technical analysis
Technically speaking, we are starting to notice positive indications from a short-term viewpoint. The momentum is rising on the daily chart, with the 14-day RSI climbing from 37 to 48. Breaking 50 would mean bulls might overtake bears in the near-term.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator produced a bullish crossover signal yesterday, as the MACD line (blue line) passed from below to above the signal line (orange). Four of the six MACD crossovers that had occurred in 2022, then provided the right signal.
The 0.6875 level, which corresponds to the highs reached on July 8th, is the barrier that has to be broken in the very short term. Breaking this level might boost bulls’ convictions to target the 50-day moving average at 0.697.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodities analyst at Capital.com
AUDUSD Short: Bearish Engulfing on 1Hr TimeframeTrend: Downtrend according to DOW theory a series of LL and LH
Reason for Taking Short: A formation of Bearish Engulfing Candle at the LH of the trend right at the resistance level indicates a downfall in the price.
SL: At the privous LH of the trend.
TP1: At the nearest support of the trend.
TP2: Nill.
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- Currently AUDUSD is going down very fast. The reason for that is the VIX UP and the strength of the dollar. A MARKET FEAR about the economic recession is currently underway.
- Thus COMMODITIES are going down. It also affects AUSD very strongly. The Australian dollar was shown as the WEAK CURRENCY of CURRENCY STRENGTH.
- AUDUSD can move further until it reaches 0.6670 LEVEL. And after that, if the MARKETS RISK is ON, you can definitely BREAK the TREND LINE in AUDUSD and BUY up to the 0.7212 LEVEL.
AUD/USD forms double bottom: 0.727 in sight? The AUD/USD daily chart formed a double bottom at 0.685 last week, a level reached by the pair in mid-May before rebounding to 0.727.
A double bottom is a chart pattern that consists of two pretty equal lows separated by a tiny peak that creates a 'neckline.' It often occurs near the end of a downward trend and may foreshadow a positive reversal.
The last time a double bottom happened was in December 2021, after which the AUD/USD pair rallied 10% to its peak on January 5th.
This might potentially lead to a fresh advance to the 0.727 neckline, which, if broken, would confirm a bullish trend reversal.
The governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Philip Lowe, stated this morning that more hikes are likely in the coming months after raising its main rate from 0.35% to 0.85% on June 7, exceeding market expectations of a smaller move.
Inflation in Australia is expected to peak at 7% by the end of the year, according to the latest RBA's projections.
AUD/USD could fall from here!Hey tradomaniacs,
technically a great spot to sell AUD/USD but be cautious with the FED today!
If interest-rates are even higher than expected AUD/USD could get very volatile.
This is because the market might price-in a FED considered to be ahead the Curve in order to get
buffer for upcoming rate-cuts in case of a recession.
In this case we could see bulls in equities and so a struggeling AUD/USD.
What do you think?
AUD/USD likely to fall!Hey tradomaniacs,
recent news have caused a huge stop-hunt at the topside of the range which is a strong indication of a move down.
If the current breakout continues and we see more momentum we can expect price to re-test the market-up support-zones.
Be cautious as we are going to see NFPs tomorrow, means price can stay choppy until then.
What do you think?
AudUsd- 0.7000-0.7050 is very strong ceiling nowLike all Usd pairs, AudUsd also has lost a lot of its value in the past 6 weeks( almost 10%).
After reaching a strong resistance above 0.76 at the beginning of April, the pair fell hard and the recovery from the beginning of May was also met with strong selling from 0.73 resistance.
Yesterday's test of 0.7+ was reversed hard leaving a very long-tailed Pin Bar on our daily chart and now the pair seems determined for further losses.
I'm strongly bearish as long as the price is under 0.7050 and I expect a drop to 0.67
Sell rallies can be a good strategy in AudUsd's case