BANKNIFTY--Fakeout or Breakout ??Observations::
----->> After breaking the trendline, price tested the Resistance zone,
price is fall from resistance but not able to break the last HL, @ 43400 Level.
Again a strong buy ness is observed from these level.
Price is in consolidation @ Resistance and Support and not able to break any previous higher low, and previous Higher High
now its clear showing strong bullishness, we are still in bullishness its confirmed + In Bullish consolidation
between the Support and Resistance.
see the below picture,
If it's a Rally--Base--Rally, we will go for buying up to 45000
we have 2 possibilities,
If price breaks HH @44150 levels, Breakout happens and price falls immediately below the 44150 levels is may happens,
called fake breakout.
If price consolidate between Supply zone 43900-43850 @ and supply zone @44080-44150,
and breakout happens consider it as a fake out and we wait for the break out.
If price comes below to these levels, @43650 demand Zone and 43400 demand zone,
if price consolidates in these two zones and gives us a breakdown will wait its a fake breakout or breakdown possibility.
we have to check all these conditions in Range bound market.
In between we have a common point zone @43800-43850 that will back to the supply zone again.
The same zone @43800-43850 will pushes the downside as well.
All these are range bound Scenario's, look @ all these possibilities.
Bankniftytrading
Bank Nifty Trade Setup (29-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. This is for only for my learning purpose and maintaining my trading journal.
As posted in previous day setup that from price as Banknifty is in parallel channel with 44151 to 44071 as resistance zone and 43470 to 43370 as support zone and on 26-May-2023 price was near support zone after a sell off in previous sessions and it took support near that support zone and moved all the way up to resistance zone moving almost 400 points in a day. so far it was a good session and worked as per trade setup.
( Cannot post previous day chart to keep record of this price action have to look for previous day trade setup.)
For tomorrow this will be my trade setup:
1.) If opens flat which is near resistance zone. if price doesn't hold near this resistance on 15 min TF then will look for selling after break of nearby support of 43880. If price took support on break of this resistance zone i will look for buying. (Views are bullish so will only trade against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target levels.
2.) If opens gap up above resistance zone and if takes supports above the resistance zone on 15 min TF with good candle pattern and volume. then will look for buying only for target will be open with stop loss of 44151 (ATH).
3.) If opens gap down at nearby support 43880 will look for price to take support or if it became resistance and target will be as per this parallel channel support zone which is 43750, 43650 and 43500.
Things to keep in mind:
As mentioned above views are bullish so will trade cautiously against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target level on downside.
Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal as it only take less then few seconds to hit like but it gives me motivation for preparing for my session. also one can comment how i can make it better or need any improvements in my trading setups and improving this journal. as this is my only trading journal not keeping any excel or any online sheets as i never used before.
BANKNIFTY@ Breakout or Consolidation??observations::
--------->>Price is still in the range only, 44200- 43600 range only. we cannot predict the next momentum until price breaks this range.
------->>until keep in the buy side from 43400 and sell side from 44200 levels.
Use the principle range bound market, buy @ support and sell @ Resistance.
If we see the same chart in different way it looks like this,
Broken the trendline and retest of the trendline and falls below the resistance.
again rise from the support @43400 levels.
Until price breaks out of the range, we can clearly consider the BANKNIFTY is bullish in higher timeframes. so we are looking for buy opportunities only.
If we see clearly today price exactly closed @ resistance previous support may acts as resistance, and if price falls to below levels @43400 again will go for buying, because price is in range, for target of 44200 only.
if price breaks and gives retest will go for sell. Fake breakdowns and fake breakout may also happen.
26/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONEHello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Flat is going to open
After A Flat opening if Banknifty sustain Above 43700 and taking Support from 43700 then open target for T1-43900,T2-44000,T3-44100
If the Banknifty after a Flat opening sustain Below 43700 and taking resistance below 43700 then the open Targets for T1-43600,T2-43500,T3-43400
Major Levels 43600,43500,43700
BANKNIFTY--Breakout or Breakdown ??------>> Finally the trendline broken strongly, after a long time.
-------->> if price again wants to test the Resistance or continue to fall down.
price is exactly closed in the demand zone, stronger one, actually its supply zone acts as demand.
if this acts as support price is again bullish, and will test the supply zone again, and fall back or continue to move upside.
Plan A:: Keep on the buy side from 43600 levels until it breaks. if price again breaks 43850 level and not able to go below yesterday low, we will be on buy side for target of 43950 and 44040 and 44160 level.
plan B::
If price falls below demand zone, we will sell on retracement.
Plan C:
If price reaches the All time high again, we will go for short with confirmation only. if again price fall below 43950and takes the support @43850 pushes the price up, then sell @43950 zone.
Plan D::
Price may consolidate between the Supply zones moves up breaking the all time high.
25/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONEHello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Gap-Up is going to open
After A Gap-Up opening if Banknifty sustain Above 44000 and taking Support from 44000 then open target for T1-44200,T2-44400,T3-44500
If the Banknifty after a Gap-Up opening sustain Below 43600 and taking resistance below 43600 then the open Targets for T1-43400,T2-43200,T3-43000
If the market remains in the range of 43600 to 44000, then it is possible that even today the market will remain in the range.
Major Levels 44000,44100,43500
BANKNIFTY--Case1 or Case2 or Case3??The yesterday supply zone clearly resisting the price to down, after breaking the supply zone price reached the demand zone that form today.
clearly the price is bullish again, still no sign of bearishness in the BANKNIFTY.
Consolidation + Downside movement = Bullish again
All the banking stocks are near its supply zone, SBIN,HDFCBANK @ Demand zone, Axisbank at Supply ready to test, ICICI In bullish channel,
witness clearly in buyside, let's see what happens tomorrow.
Case 1::
if tomorrow opens gap down and clearing demands and price again comes back to the supply we will go for sell in bank nifty.
Case 2::
If price is again bullish from demand zone, will be on buyside above supply zone candle, it may reject again, until all time high.
Case 3::
if price rejects from supply zone and not able to go below demand again buyside until ATH.
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BANKNIFTY--Weakness in Demand Zones??Observations:
What is the sign of weakness in demand zones ,is this a reversal is going to happen in BANKNIFTY.
Until one of the demand zones gets broken we cannot expect a reversal in bank nifty , it has to break strongly, and has to reverse for test again.
until don't expect a reversal. Hope this expiry is in Rangebound.
Look at demand zone created @43500 move is strongly, when its tested again strong but not as strong as previous.
Every demand failed to create high also. purely failed demands.
Now look @ 43800 clearly weak one, if we observe a strong supply that breaks demands then only expect a reversal mechanism works.
Until wait.
BANKNIFTY-- Monthly Expiry is Trending??BANKNIFTY index Statistics::
We have seen clearly a bullish movement from Start of April ,from 40600 levels.
April Month : Is said to be bullish price, rise from 40600 to 43200 - an overall of 2600 points moved upwards.
May Month:: 43200 -43800(Today) levels = Almost +500 points range.
If price falls below @43200 we can say that the overall month is bearish.
Consolidation::
------>>what is the sign of this huge upward momentum stops and trading in a range,
the price is clearly trading in a range bound, from last one month.
Will the range be broken, we have 3 days left for monthly expiry, can we expect any trending movements.
if this range is broken, we will observe a strong fall or strong rise is happens.
If we consider it as a rally base rally,
Rally from 40600 - 43200
Base from 43200-43800 Still bullish
Rally --- From 43800 -- 46400 levels. Make it Round to 46000.
Case 1:
If It is a Rally--Base--Rally, we can expect the next month to be bullish.
Case2:
If it is sign of reversal, we can say that it's still positive....So No bearish.
Case3::
If we expect some retracement , again we can say that bullish.
Strong Upward momentum + Consolidation = Retracement((again Bullish Continuation)).
So if retracement occurs, until which price we can expect, so if we see the technical chart
we don't have any strong bullish movement is observed,
every move depends on Resistance (Previous Resistances are pushing the price towards upside) ,acts as support and price moves upwards.
previous resistance @42000 pushed the price up, 43000 fall acts as support, and now 43600 fall is giving support to move again.
if price failed to acts as support @ 43600,we may expect a fall till 43000, and 42000.
Consider this as a retracement and be bullish from these levels. The last Hope.
This is another Scenario will explain Later Clearly::
From 46500 levels, if price started falling again we may see a strong sell of until 35000 and below is possible.
From bottom again price creates strong Demand Zones and moving again upwards.
so its clearly showing that we have only one last movement to bottom side that to 35000-34000 levels.
we have gaps below @ 35600 and @34400.
So clearly from 34000-35000 is the last move we can expect to the downside.
while breaking the previous resistance @41800 created on oct 2021, price fall back 4400 points.
After breaking the resistance price moved 2300 points from 41800 - 44200 levels.
now we are at the resistance 44200, if price fall from this levels,
we will expect the previous resistance @41800 level will push the price towards upside 2300 points from resistance, 44200+ 2300 = 46500 range.
If price failed to break the high 44200 level and breaks below 41800 then only think of sell side.
Elliott wave::
wave 1: 32300 to 41800
wave 2: 41800 to 37400
wave 3: 37400 to 44200
wave 4: 44200 to 38600
wave 5 : 38600 to 44200 + 2300 = 46500 levels.
If we consider the Elliott wave theory wave 5 is more than wave 3,
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22/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONE
Hello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Flat is going to open
After A Flat opening if Banknifty sustain Above 44200 last day high above and taking Support from 44200 then open target for T1-44300,T2-44400,T3-44500
If the Banknifty after a Flat opening sustain Below 43500 and taking resistance below 43500 then the open Targets for T1-43400,T2-43200,T3-43000
If the market remains in the range of 33500 to 44000, then it is possible that even today the market will remain in the range.
Major Levels 44000,43800,43500
BANKNIFTY--Enters in to Consolidation ??----------->>the stock is trending upwards in daily time frame. now the price is facing resistance 44000 levels.
------------>> We will wait for the price to break the range for confirmation of the trend of bank nifty, still it is in bullish trend.
------------>> Yesterday the price is in ranging.
------------>> the previous supply zone@43900-43850 clearly resisting the price to go down.
------------->> the previous demand zone @43450-43400 level failed to take the price above 44150 levels.
------------->>If price clears both these supply and demand zones , price heavily falls below 43400 levels and reach to 43100-43000 levels.
------------->> Keep track these zones, will the range be broken or not.
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If price breaks 44150 levels, we will observe again bullishness in bank nifty will take to new levels.
be careful here false breakouts may happen at these levels.
Now the plan C is working, may plan B also be possible. Manipulation and turning back again to below.
19/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONE
Hello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Gap-Up is going to open
After A Gap-Up opening if Banknifty sustain Above 44200 last day high above and taking Support from 44200 then open target for T1-44300,T2-44400,T3-44500
If the Banknifty after a Gap-Up opening sustain Below 43500 and taking resistance below 43500 then the open Targets for T1-43400,T2-43200,T3-43000
Major Levels 44000,43800,43500
BANK NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR 19TH MAY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSEIf bank nifty sustain the level of 43750 and spend time, then 43850-43950-44050-44150
If bank nifty break down the support level of 43750 and spend time, then bank nifty 43650-43550-43450-43350
This video is for educational purpose and my personal view .
Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor.
BANKNIFTY--Bearish or Bullish??The demand zone @ 43900 acts as supply zone and price falls back, below 43900 levels.
the previous demand zone @ 43450 level acts as support again and price moved back to the supply zone created at 43850 levels.
@this level previously a strong sell off is observed, after strong sell of price is consolidated and moved up again.
while breaking this area we will again see some consolidation, if price opens still in this range, consolidation to downside is observed.
if 43900 -43850 level acts as resistance price will fall back to below 43300 levels.
key level of support 43100-43000.
Note::
In Higher time frame still the trend is uptrend.. keep in mind, this is the phase to observe if it is a bearish turn or bullish again .
As a expiry today, price is still in the range 43300 - 43850 range.
17/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONEHello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Gap-Down is going to open
After A Gap-Down opening if Banknifty sustain Above 442000 last day high above and taking Support from 44200 then open target for T1-44300,T2-44400,T3-44600
If the Banknifty after a Gap-Down opening sustain Below 43800 and taking resistance below 43800 then the open Targets for T1-43600,T2-43500,T3-43400
Major Levels 44000,43800,43500
15/05/2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONEHello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market Gap-Down is going to open
After A Gap-Down opening if Banknifty sustain Above 43900 and taking Support from 43900 then open target for T1-44000,T2-44200,T3-44400
If the Banknifty after a Gap-Down opening sustain Below 43500 and taking resistance below 43500 then the open Targets for T1-43300,T2-43100,T3-43000
Major Levels 43500,43400,44000
BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS FOR MONDAY 15TH APRIL FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE
If bank nifty sustain the level of 43750 and spend time, cross above 43800 then 43850-43950-44150
If bank nifty break down the support level of 43750 and spend time, cross down 43500 then bank nifty 43200-43100-43000
This video is for educational purpose and my personal view .
Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor.