Banksector
FEDRAL BANK MY VIEW The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
Thanks for your support
Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy KG
KOTAK BANK - MY VIEW The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
Thanks for your support
Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy KG
Big Citibank Opportunity Citibank Opportunity - NYSE:C
Company Market Cap: $82.2 billion
Share Price Today: $42.68
Dividend: 0.53c per quarter (Annual Dividend of c.$2.06)
Annual Dividend Yield: 4.82%
Next Earnings Report: Friday 13th October 2023
Citibank (Citigroup) is the 20th largest bank in the world & a member of Global Systemically Important Financial Institutions (G-SIFIs) meaning it has stricter prudential regulation such as higher capital requirements and extra surcharges and more stringent stress tests. under the scheme deposits can be 100% guaranteed in the event of a crisis, which is not the case for smaller banks that are not considered systemically important. This additional security can add weight to a longer term hold for Citibank combined with a good 4.82% dividend yield.
Citibank has recently been in the headlines with negative news for completing a management re-org with substantial lay-offs. Whilst the news is interpreted as negative, the chart appears to reaching a point of exhaustion after 31 months of downward price pressure and a roughly 50% reduction in price from $81 down to $42. We may be forming a 3rd higher price cluster or price launch pad here at $42.
Earnings release is in a 4 and half weeks on 13thOctober and after 13 quarters of positive earnings the trend is green. Its worth noting that upon earnings release, the price can capitulate or ascend aggressively (historically this has been the way), this is why it is important to be placing bids or positions well in advance of the release (now) and on the day of the release we should be nimble and on our toes to capitalize or reduce risk with stop losses. Obviously for long term position players this is not all that important, we have our long term target and stop loss on the chart.
There is a long term trade opportunity with a stop loss at BASE 2 at $34.37. As you can see the trade has a Risk/Reward of 4:1. People who want to play it even safer could wait for a bounce off BASE 2 but for me a retracement this low could mean lower price momentum and a break of the RSI resistance. This is why I am inclined to take a position now off this base well in advance of the earnings release.
This is not my typical style of trade however I could not pass up the chart given the mid-term 31 month 50% reduction and exhaustion in price combined with the higher bases on the longer term trajectory, and to be honest the negative news really got me the contrarian in me rustled. If you look hard enough you can see a potential long term ascending triangle forming out into the 5 year time horizon. As a cherry to the trade, the dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for a systemically important institution – to big to fail.
In Summary
- Citigroup is one of the top 20 banks in the world
and is considered systemically important.
- Citigroup share price has been declining 31 months
with an approx. 50% reduction in price.
- Three Price Bases establishing higher lows are
reinforced by a rising RSI support line.
- To fully take advantage of the earnings release on
13th October 2023 positions need to be placed now
as the stock is extremely volatile on the day of
release.
- If the RSI support line fails to hold this could be a
warning signal of a break down into STRONG
SUPPORT ZONE (Red).
- The dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for
a systemically important institution offering a little
incentive for a longer term hold.
Bullish potential detected for WFCNYSE:WFC represents a potential bullish opportunity should momentum continue and newer highs be made.
Entry condition:
(i) breach of the upper confines of the Darvas box formation - i.e.: above high of $61.76 of 23rd April.
Stop loss for the trade (based upon the Darvas box formation) would be:
(i) below the support level from the low of 3rd May (i.e.: below $59.12) - most conservative exit, or
(ii) below congestion area composed of volume profile zone and rising 10 day moving average (i.e.: below $60 area).
NYCB could bounce back from the inflation report LONGNYCB on the 30 minute chart had an abrupt reaction to the inflation report. This is not a
surprise. Many traders and investors know that banks make more money when the prime rate
is lower because they do not need to pay much on savings accounts and deposit certificates.
NYCB has been challenged and is more volatile than the average bank stock being a penny
stock with hard fundamental issues. NYCB has reversed and the relative volume indicator
shows the flip. Price has climbed back into the lower part of the high volume area of the
profile which shows some bullish momentum.
I see this as a risky long trade but still take it for the quick 6-7% upside back to the POC line of
the volume profile. The stop loss will be the low pivot of the prior trading session.
JPM a financial rockstar in stampede mode LONGJPM on the daily chart has plain and obvious consistent momentum albeit with corrections.
The markets are expected to thrive in this lection year and three rate cuts are projected
in the net 8 months. The best time to buy JPM was both March 22 and October 23. I suggest
the next best time is now before the forecasted rate cuts are factored into price ahead of
the cuts. I just got notified of unusual options volumes for a price of 220 for the July 24
expiration which is not a surprise and is the month of the presidential nominating conventions.
That is 10% above current price and suggests the options buyers are expecting price to be
in that money by July meaning maybe a target for price is 225-250. No matter, I am getting
mine now before the prices rise.
NYCB Community Bank falls to support and rises LONGOn the 15 minute chart the price action reflects the rough time that NYCB has had. Apparently it had a good rally to finish the week due to reports of floods of new deposits . Down the road
it may be a problem if premium interest is being paid on the deposits. In the meanwhile, I
see NYCB as taking back half of the trend down and floating up gradually into the range of 7
or about 60% upside. This will be a volatile and risky trade but with good upside. I will set a
8% or ATR x 2 stop loss yielding a Reward to risk of about 7.
NASDAQ BANK INDEX ready to reverse ? LONGBANK is tracking bank stocks within the NASDAQ. I cannot find if it is market cap weighted or
instead an unweighted composite I wanted to check this out to see if the banking sector might
reverse and perhaps have some trade candidates based on relative strength or even
rising trading volumes.
On the 15 chart, BANK's price is in a descending channel or wedge. It is too early to tell if
it is breaking out although it is sandwiched between the SMA10 and SMA20 as so in limbo at
least of this time frame. The MACD indicator shows downgoing lines that had crossed one
another above the histogram. This appears to be a bearish divergence. The mass index shows no
signs of a rise into the threshold and trigger zone as it did on January 31st.
Overall, I conclude that the price is still in the channel and not yet an early breakout. I will
recheck this at intervals. Once a breakout is confirmed and even retested, I will find
some relatively strong bank stocks from which to pick a long trade at a low pivot for
a safe high return from the upside shown.
New York Community Bank - Another Banking Crisis? New York Community Bank 🚨
❌Price takes out the June 2000 lows
❌Market cap falls from $9.6b - $2.82b since July '23
(over $6.7 billion of valuation lost in 7 months)
Is another Banking crisis on the horizon right before the Bank Term Funding program halts on March 11th?
Almost one year on from the U.S. Banking Crisis in early March 2023 and we are starting to see another bank fail.
PUKA
KBE - S %& P Small Bank ETF LONGKBE is an unleveraged bank ETF which on the 60 minute chart is currently trending with a buy
signal from the machine learning algo indicator. Banks are reporting. Interest rate changes by
the fed are flat for the time being. The volume profile shows KBE took a dip to try to fall back
into the high-volume area and bounced. It has recovered from a VWAP band breakdown
correcting from the 3rd upper band to the first upper band. The dual time RSI indicator
shows the faster RSI line crossing over the slower RSI line and both in the healthy 60 range.
I see this as a buying opportunity on KBE and will also take a look at DPST. I see price as
targeting the February 23 high about 20% upside.
What Too Big to FAIL Look Like? JPMThis chart was originally looking at GANN angles for JPM. Keep in mind this is not scaled- primarily to show the graphics better, but also suggests the volatility is native to the price action when it is scaled. JPM is the largest bank in the US. As far as I can see the top was reached 2 yrs ago during CV19 height. The new paradigm is a down wave. There is already a hint of an additional bearish pattern forming. This harmonic is a shark pattern, but they have a tendency after the C wave to turn down and sometimes very harshly (just the nature of the harmonic). They can be bearish or bullish, but only after the entire bearish embedded harmonic sentiment has ran their course. Note this same type of pattern in Bitcoin (slightly different but the same). How far down?? Leave your comment below.
The FED is printing money at an unstoppable rate and has been doing so. Inflation is rising not just nationally but Globally. Sure we do get the hints of better days, but they are short lived. I think this is primarily because there wasn't as harsh of an economic impact during COVID. Now that the pandemic is subsiding some (still not gone), the money printer is being over worked to a point where it may not be able to do much at all. Large companies are laying off (reminiscent of pre COVID days). There are other indicators as well in the DOW and NYSE to further support something BIG is bound to happen THIS YEAR and within the next 30-90 days which could further last well into the next few years. How bad will it get??? I am only providing the acronyms as they relate to the different levels. Keep in mind we are still in an overall bearish cycle and these small pumps we get are the hints of the money injections attempting to revive things. Banks are teetering and a few have failed. NOTE: There are banks out there in worst condition than the ones that were bailed out. What happens to them? It has already been noted that there is not enough FDIC insurance to cover everyone so when PANIC sets in it just doesn't look good. I hope this is all wrong, because if it is not May God have Mercy on the souls of the many across this Nation and the Globe. I am also looking at crypto markets taking a dive as well, but maybe not as bad as the traditional markets which more people are exposed to. Once the PANIC level is reached I think its going to get ugly very quickly. It may happen sooner than later. Stay vigilant!
I warrant that the information created and published, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Goldman Sachs Pennant Re-Test (earnings release details inc)Goldman Sachs - NYSE:GS
Chart looks promising
✅ Rising 200 week and 200 day
✅Break out of long term pennant
✅ Pull back would be healthy here
🚨 Main concern would be a double top rejection from red line on the chart
Earnings Perspective
Rev ~~ $11.32B, EST. $10.84B
EPS ~~$5.48 VS. $3.32 Y/Y
AUM ~~ $2.81T, EST. $2.77T
PUKA
XBK.AX ~ Snapshot TA / ASX 200 Banks IndexChart mapping/analysis for ASX 200 Banks Index ASX:XBK
Constituents:
- Big 4 Banks = ASX:ANZ ASX:CBA ASX:NAB ASX:WBC
- Mid Tier = ASX:BEN ASX:BOQ ASX:JDO ASX:VUK
- Small Banks = ASX:ABA ASX:BBC ASX:BFL ASX:KSL ASX:MYS
Note: Macquarie Group Ltd classified as Diversified Financials but also facilitates Banking ASX:MQG
ASX ETFs
- Pure-Play Banks: ASX:MVB
- ASX Financials (Banks/Insurance Providers): ASX:OZF ASX:QFN
Global Banks ETF: ASX:BNKS
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XFJ
Retested and moving up to $160Daily Chart
On daily timeframe, JP Morgan Chase & Co ( NYSE:JPM ) has broken and retested the support around $144. That means price will go up after retest completed.
I expect JPM can go up to $160 that level very fit with Fibo Extension Tool (1.618 Re)
Wait and see next move
#ABFRL... Looking good for 21.07.23 #ABFRL...
Intraday as well as swing trade
All levels given in charts ...
IF good potential seen then we work in options also
if activate then possible a good movement Keep eye on this ...
We take trade only when it activates...
Possible to give good target
TRADING FACTS
DPST a triple leveraged bullish ETF for Regional Banks LONGWhile tracking regional banks DPSt had a bad time in the spring with the
small and regional bank failures/rescues and the federal actions to buttress the faith of
citizens in them. There has been no runs on the banks. Larger banks may be taken
some business from small banks sattled with securities with diminished
value due to rising interest rates and the effect on the face value of those
fixed-rate securities. No matter, things are better now. This is not to say
the whole banking sector stress is resolved. Banks have enjoyed great
returns on credit cards. The 15-minute chart here shows a good overall
uptrend within ascending parallel support and resistance trendlines.
Price is presently at the bottom of that parallel channel. The relative
trend index signal is near zero meaning at least in this instance trend
is fairly quiet with low volatility. Relative strength lines have bounced
up from the lows of about 20 and now are in the 40-50 range.
Overall, I see this as a good entry point for a long-swing trade targeting
the top of the channel which I estimate will be about 100 buy the
end of next week estimating the trade duration to be 5 trading days.
My reasonable opinion is that next week's volatility will be far less than
this past week and that DPST will do well. I will also take a look at
the KRE and KBE ETFs. I like this as a long setup with a 15% potential
for a ver low risk in a stop loss set $.50 below the channel.
DPST- Banks will thrive if rate hikes are over LONGDPST is shown here on the 15- minute chart- This triple leveraged bank stock hit
a double bottom in late June and early July with a double bounce from the lines one
standard deviation below the mean VWAP lines anchored at pivots in mid-May. These
lines provide dynamic support and resistance unlike vertical lines from pivots. From
the VWAP breakout, price has crossed over the mean VWAPs and is not at the level of
the volume profile's POC line and the one standard deviations above the mean VWAP.
The two time frame RSI indicator shows the lower time frame rising from below 20
to over 50 and crossing over the higher black line TF RSI is for me a clear and convincing
sign of bullish momentum in its extreme form.
Fundamentally, bank stocks are gaining in the federal news data regarding CPI and PPI.
Based on this analysis, I will take a long trade here targeting the second deviation lines
at about $70.5 representing about a11% upside in one week or less.
💾 U.S. Bancorp 2008 Type Of Crash IncomingWe are now at #5 of the TOP10 biggest banks in the USA, this one seems pretty bad as well.
Let's start with the weekly chart and then we move to the monthly for the bigger picture:
✔️ This week USB had the worst week since Feb. 2020, Covid days.
✔️ A major support level failed in the form of 0.618 Fib. which can lead to lower prices.
✔️ We have a bearish cross on the MACD and RSI trending lower; I will show you the charts this time.
USB Weekly MACD:
USB Weekly RSI:
✔️ While the monthly chart lost EMA10 and EMA100, support was found at MA200.
✔️ The MACD is trending down while already bearish.
How far down it goes will depend on the politics, how much money they decide to print, if the banks will get a bailout or not, etc.
We have to see how it all develops.
The side effects of raising interest.
They wanted to crash the economy... It is working.
Namaste.