Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) - UPTREND✨ AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) ✨ (UPTREND) BLO1 @ 0.5632 - TRIGGERED BLO2 @ 0.5566 ⏳ TP1 @ 0.61564 TP2 @ 0.6500 TP3 @ 0.6866 TP4 @ 0.73143 TP5 @ 0.7585 SLO1 @ 0.7685 ⏳ SLO2 @ 0.7725 ⏳ 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER HTF = HIGH TIME FRAME PA = PRICE ACTION SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT NOTE: Our BLO has triggered but further analysis shows a potential area of interest between 0.5575 to 0.5546. Due to market conditions, PA might not make it back down to this area. However, if it does, I have a set up there to grab an deeper entry for this long term trade. Let's see what happens. Long-term time frames (1 week to 1 year): — Shows the big picture, revealing major trends and economic factors. — Less volatile, price movements are slower and smoother. — Suitable for long-term trend trading and position trading. — Requires less frequent monitoring but may offer fewer trading opportunities.
Long
by oktane
Opening (IRA): IBIT January 17th 48 Covered Call... for a 46.16 debit. Comments: Adding to my IBIT position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put to take advantage of call side IV skew and to have the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 46.16/share Max Profit: 1.84 ROC at Max: 3.99% 50% Max: .92 ROC at 50% Max: 1.99% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll out short call on break even or take profit test.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): USO Jan 17th 66 Covered Call... for a 64.89 break even. Comments: With 42 DTE in the January monthly, adding a "rung" to my USO position at strikes better than what I currently have on at the 68, selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. The ROC at max isn't stellar here with the usual metric I'm looking for being at least 2.0%. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 64.89/share Max Profit: 1.11 ROC at Max: 1.71% 50% Max: .56 ROC at 50% Max: .86% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short call on test of my take profit at 65.45.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
DAX and SPX - brother & sister How to read the chart? In the historical point of view, the ratio between the DAX und S&P 500 is swinging in significant boundaries. This boundaries are signed in the Chart with red dashed lines above or below a center line (average). What you also can see, is the developement of DAX and S&P500 in EUR resp. USD with separate scales. Where is the beef? The extremes of these ratios show very reliable extremes of the DAX and S&P. And it doesn‘t matter, wether the extremes in DAX are significant lows OR significant highs. Last monthes: Because the last relativ low below the red dashed line was a relative Low in DAX and SPX, the actual low below the red dashed line must be the indicator for a relativ High in the DAX and SPX. So: for sure, big direction is ahead, even DAX and SPX can gain another 5-8%. Dan, 11th of december.
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 10/12/2024Yesterday, we got a trading setup on EURUSD. This came after a week of little activity with the Judas Swing strategy, where we executed just one trade. Fortunately, that trade turned out to be a winner, yielding a 2% gain to conclude the week. It felt great to finally get some activity with the strategy earlier in the week with EURUSD, and we plan to guide you through the trading day's events. We aim to arrive at our trading desk five minutes before the trading session starts (08:30 EST), to ensure we're fully prepared for the session. The session has finally begun, and a crucial aspect of this strategy is establishing a trading bias for the session. This involves waiting for a sweep of liquidity at either the high or low of the trading zone. Typically, a sweep of liquidity occurs a few minutes into the session; however, this time it was delayed. Despite this, we didn't rush into any trades. Instead, we waited patiently and eventually got a sweep of liquidity on the sell side, indicating that in this session, we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities. Once the liquidity sweep requirement is complete, the next step is a break of structure to the buy side to confirm our bias for the session. Keep in mind, all this needs to occur before 11:00 EST. Once the break of structure to the buy side occurred, it was followed by a retrace into the Fair Value Gap formed by the subsequent candle, indicating that all the criteria on our entry checklist were satisfied. We executed our trade after meeting all our criteria. Initially, we saw profits for the first five minutes, but then a large bearish marubozu candle appeared, plunging us into a significant drawdown. This exemplifies why we avoid tight stop losses and maintain a minimum stop loss requirement of 10 pips. Upon reviewing the position again, we noticed that the trade had begun to move in our favor. However, since the objective has not yet been met, we must wait for one of two outcomes: either our stop loss is triggered or our take profit is reached Our patience finally paid off when our trade, where we risked just 1% of our capital, yielded a rewarding 2% return. This trade was a testament to the importance of sticking to your trading plan and waiting for the right setup, rather than chasing trades out of impatience
by CleoFinance
Ryde's Zero-Commission Model: A Disruptive Shift!!The e-hailing industry thrives on competition, but few have innovated as boldly as Ryde. Traditionally, e-hailing platforms operate by charging drivers a commission fee on each trip, often ranging from 10% to 25%. While this provides platforms with a steady revenue stream, it has long been criticised for cutting into drivers’ take-home pay. Ryde’s new model of zero-commission charged on drivers eliminates this commission structure entirely, ensuring they retain the full fare for every ride. To make this approach viable, Ryde has introduced a nominal platform fee for riders, charging S$0.55 for trips costing S$18 or less, and S$0.76 for rides above S$18. For non-cash payments, a small transaction fee of 1.9% plus S$0.24 is applied. This transparent pricing strategy balances affordability for riders and operational sustainability for the platform. By adopting this model, Ryde directly addresses a key pain point in the e-hailing industry: the financial strain faced by drivers. Empowering drivers to earn more from their rides not only increases their financial stability but also fosters greater loyalty to the platform. This innovative approach positions Ryde as a driver-friendly alternative, distinguishing it from competitors that rely heavily on commissions to generate revenue. For riders, the benefits are equally significant. Ryde’s pricing remains competitive despite the introduction of platform fees. Transparency in fare calculations builds trust among passengers, ensuring they know exactly what they are paying for. In an industry where fare structures are often complex and opaque, this clarity enhances the user experience and strengthens Ryde’s reputation as a reliable and ethical service provider. Now is the time to watch Ryde closely. Its innovative business model has already begun to draw attention, and the potential for growth is significant. The zero-commission structure is likely to increase driver participation, enabling Ryde to expand its services and reach. Furthermore, its ethical and transparent approach builds trust among both drivers and riders, laying a strong foundation for continued success. Ryde’s decision to embrace innovation and fairness demonstrates its adaptability in a rapidly evolving industry. This willingness to challenge the status quo makes it more than just another e-hailing platform. Ryde represents a shift towards a more equitable future in ride-hailing, one where drivers, riders, and the platform itself can thrive together. In an era where consumers and stakeholders value ethical practices, Ryde is not just a company to watch—it’s a company worth supporting.
AMEX:RYDELong
by HASHInvests200
ES going into CPICame back to analyze the ES pre-CPI one more time. I didn't manage to publish this prior to release, as the inflation data just came out as I'm typing this, but looks like CPI came in as expected so no surprises. Ultimately, we did get a potential buy signal on Monday as I expected. It did come with a bit of a push down. I'm still not sure I want to go Long, especially as the ES contract is running on Z24, which will expire soon. The official expiry is the third Friday of the month, but depending on the broker it may cut you off a few days before that, so there isn't much time to hold that trade and the ESH25 contract coming in is already about 70 points higher than our current position. I will likely look for entry into 6E or 6C contracts if they dip lower or show good data into entry points for even soft rebounds. Look for potential disruptions if we get PPI higher than normal that mathematically shows CPE could come in higher than expected. Fed Decision is next week also, which may setup the sentiment going into long term planning of 2025. Safe trading, and remember your risk management!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
Is there any bearish case against the ES?Hope you enjoy the video. I finished my trade on the 6E this morning from 1.037ish to 1.063, so I came back to look at the ES and see how I felt things were looking for a bearish case scenario. Ultimately, while I want to find one, I don't see one, and will likely continue to stay out of my beloved ES for the moment, in spite of my urge to short this overbought market. I am getting signals all over, but most will require a decision at EOD today or I could always make the decision Sunday evening or early Monday before markets open. Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
ETH/USDT IN 15 minutes AnalysisETH/USDT 15-Minute Analysis On the 15-minute time frame, ETH/USDT has successfully broken out of a triangle pattern, indicating potential bullish momentum. If the breakout is supported by strong volume and sustained buying pressure, we can expect the price to move toward the green target zone. Target zone: The green zone is the current target area, aligning with the measured move from the triangle breakout. At this moment, it’s crucial to monitor whether the price finds support at the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the trend.
Long
by rebenga93
CTKS Method Analysis: Oil Prices in FocusCrude oil is stuck between two structural monthly resistance lines (blue). On the daily chart, there’s a descending broadening wedge with a 50/50 breakout ratio — not very helpful as a leading indicator. A breakout could surprise the market and have a massive impact, as one of the CTKS Masterclass rules emphasizes: consolidation fuels explosions 💥 Scenarios: 🟢 Positive: Break above $72-$73 → strong bullish momentum 🟡 Neutral: Price stays between $67-$72 → consolidation 🔴 Negative: Break below $67 → potential drop toward $60 Given current conditions, I expect a neutral scenario with potential for a bullish breakout in January. Where do you think oil will end this month? #CTKSmethod #Oil #Trading #MarketAnalysis
TVC:USOIL
by AlphaHarbinger
GOLD History:Gold has been a cornerstone of wealth for over 6,000 years, valued for its rarity, durability, and universal acceptance. From ancient coins to modern bullion, it has served as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and economic turmoil. Potential: Store of Value: Proven stability across centuries. Inflation Hedge: Trusted during periods of high inflation. Portfolio Diversification: A low-correlation asset to balance risk. Risks: Price Volatility: Fluctuates with market demand and macroeconomics. No Yield: Unlike stocks or bonds, it generates no income. Geopolitical Risks: Mining disruptions and regulations may impact supply.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by JoeSignals
Is The Reversal End? Will the rebound party last?FX:HKG33 Is the Index rebound strong? Based on the 1h chart, you know the answer. What is the range to look out for? 10EMA crossing down 52EMA on 1h chart. Not good. MACD signal break through zero line level indicate bearish mode. Histogram bearish color in deep red like the index. Required "blood/live" to boost. From the Money Flow Profile : 20208.39 level shown the selling pressure with huge volume. You know where to get the indicator and how to read it. KDJ Indicator, kind of confirming the bearish zone for the hour. Consolidation area : 19750-20300(the index dance between the rangebound) as mentioned in previous post reaccumulate at 19730-20300. D Chart Price 20165.88 closed below 52EMA - 20354.18 (Down 171.28; -0.84%) For the Week, as of today - it is still gaining 391.15 +1.98% from Open : 19,774.73 on 9Dec24. Let's continue to monitor and see if the authority fiscal policy benefit and boost the reversal. Happy Trading!
H
by ChenQianYu
Can Coffee's Future Brew a Global Economic Storm?In the high-stakes world of global commodities, coffee has emerged as an unexpected harbinger of economic complexity, revealing how climate volatility can transform a morning ritual into a geopolitical and financial chess game. The current market is experiencing unprecedented turbulence, with Arabica coffee prices surging over 80% in 2024, shattering decades-old records and signaling a profound disruption in one of the world's most beloved agricultural products. This dramatic price escalation is not merely a statistical anomaly, but a stark illustration of interconnected global systems under extreme stress. Brazil and Vietnam, the twin titans of coffee production, have been ravaged by climatic extremes—from the most severe drought in 70 years to unpredictable rainfall patterns—creating a perfect storm that threatens not just coffee supplies, but exposes the fragile underbelly of global agricultural supply chains. Leading traders like Volcafe are projecting an unprecedented fifth consecutive year of supply deficits, a scenario that challenges traditional market resilience and demands innovative strategic responses. Beyond the immediate economic implications, this coffee crisis represents a microcosm of broader challenges facing our increasingly complex and climate-vulnerable global economic ecosystem. As major manufacturers like Nestlé begin to signal potential price increases and package reductions, consumers and businesses alike are forced to confront a fundamental question: How do we build sustainable, adaptable systems in an era of escalating environmental uncertainty? The coffee market's current volatility is not just about a potential price hike in your morning brew, but a compelling narrative about resilience, adaptation, and the intricate dance between human enterprise and natural systems. For the astute observer and strategic thinker, this coffee market disruption offers a compelling lens through which to examine broader economic trends. It underscores the critical importance of diversification, technological innovation, and proactive risk management in an era where climate change is no longer a distant threat, but an immediate and transformative economic reality. The story of coffee in 2024 is more than a commodity report—it's a provocative invitation to reimagine our understanding of global economic interdependence.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by signalmastermind
Dollar Weakens Amid Tight U.S. Election Race and rate cuts Dollar Weakens Amid Tight U.S. Election Race and Upcoming Fed Decision The U.S. dollar dropped as the latest polls indicate no clear leader in the presidential race, reducing bets on a Trump victory. Treasury futures rose, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid the uncertainty. Citigroup strategists suggest that a Trump victory could see the dollar rally by 3%, while a Harris victory could result in a 2% decline. This highlights the significant impact the election outcome could have on the USD. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut, adding to market volatility already heightened by the election. Traders are keeping a close eye on early results from swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania for insights into the potential election outcome and its implications for the financial markets. Source: Information derived from Bloomberg
by Eleazarahmath